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Kretinga vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-98
14-22 18-26 16-25 29-25
Position#8
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game81.3
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#10
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game75.0
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center (Kretinga)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
24 Oct 2026
KRET85
ZALG101
07 Feb 2026
KRET64
ZALG104
10 Oct 2024
KRET65
ZALG90
09 Mar 2024
KRET72
ZALG88
26 Oct 2023
KRET77
ZALG98
10 Nov 2022
KRET80
ZALG103
08 Jan 2022
KRET55
ZALG82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
79-97
79
97
-18
no box
H25/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
H04/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A09/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
63-90
63
90
-27
no box
H11/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
72avg 72
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
92avg 72
A07/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
56avg 72
H12/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 72
A14/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
65avg 72
A19/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 72
A21/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
18-28
22-16
13-29
25-16
13-27
16-24
20-22
23-24
16-29
20-21
18-18
22-26
10-19
19-20
12-25
13-27
31-15
14-23
20-15
22-25
21-17
22-24
25-18
16-25
15-21
27-24
14-17
18-21
31-15
17-19
21-18
13-26
24-20
22-15
15-18
16-16
27-13
14-27
17-29
162.4Avg total
76.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.281.3160.5-2.233%
Season at home (1)72.087.0159.0-15.00%
Season away (5)80.680.2160.8+0.440%
Last 10 (10)76.885.6162.4-8.820%
Last 5 (5)79.481.6161.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.881.9155.7-8.136%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.483.3162.8-3.925%
vs Weaker (3)81.078.7159.7+2.367%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Silute
#6
W
68-61
68
61
+7
no box
A02/04
NKL
Silute
#6
W
83-65
83
65
+18
no box
H06/04
NKL
Telsiai
#3
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
A21/04
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
no box
A22/04
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
72-55
72
55
+17
71avg 68
H05/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
52avg 68
A07/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
72avg 68
H09/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
70-79
70
79
-9
66avg 68
A12/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
69avg 68
H14/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 68
H21/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
17-19
22-16
15-14
24-24
22-20
24-13
13-8
19-21
7-15
29-17
24-18
22-19
10-20
13-13
24-13
19-20
14-5
18-22
21-8
19-22
20-23
15-18
18-24
18-18
16-23
17-19
22-22
22-23
18-22
17-18
13-16
20-20
23-22
17-17
12-16
23-17
27-16
25-21
10-18
145.5Avg total
74.3Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.075.0149.0-1.033%
Season at home (4)75.571.0146.5+4.550%
Season away (2)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)74.371.2145.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)74.479.0153.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.676.0146.6-5.420%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.472.9149.3+3.657%
vs Weaker (18)74.367.8142.1+6.667%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
KretingaZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H25/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H04/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#14
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A09/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H11/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H12/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A21/10
NKL
83.4Avg total
40.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.842.180.9-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.844.181.9-6.217%-
Last 30 away (18)39.440.880.2-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.483.4-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.880.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.442.577.9-7.29%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.542.182.6-1.644%-
vs Weaker (3)42.041.083.0+1.067%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A02/04
NKL
Silute
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/04
NKL
Telsiai
#3
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/04
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A22/04
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H05/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A07/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H09/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A12/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H21/10
NKL
75.5Avg total
37.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.073.1+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.135.074.1+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)35.136.972.1-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.175.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.282.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.237.073.2-0.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.637.475.0+0.157%-
vs Weaker (18)37.235.172.3+2.150%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.717.5
45.3%
51.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.0
37.8%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.015.8
68.8%
70.3%15.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.5
50.8%
51.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.8
34.2%
33.3%20.5
🏀 Free throws19.212.2
63.5%
70.3%12.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLWLWLLLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
WLLLLWWWWW
#8
League position
#10
-4.4
Net rating
-0.9
107.6
Offensive rating
98.9
112.0
Defensive rating
99.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.0%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
25.8%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
37.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.8%
3-point %
34.2%
67.9%
Assist %
56.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 98.9Defence112.0 · 99.8Shooting49.6% · 51.0%3-point %37.8% · 34.2%Ball care16.9% · 25.8%Off. rebounds33.3% · 37.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Kretinga   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kretinga wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
12/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga71-75
10/11/22Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 280-103
08/01/22Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 255-82
06/11/21Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga83-64
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23ASilute74-85
19/10/23AVilkaviskis74-79
14/10/23ARytas 287-73
12/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga72-87
07/10/23AVytis VDU90-84
05/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis78-80
11/03/23HUkmerges Stekas63-90
09/03/23ANeptunas 277-92
04/03/23HDelikatesas Joniskis74-89
25/02/23HRytas 279-97
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HNeptunas 285-72
14/10/23HJurbarkas72-75
12/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis70-79
09/10/23HSuduva-Mantinga73-82
07/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga72-87
05/10/23HRytas 272-55
22/04/23AMazeikiai69-65
21/04/23ATelsiai79-71
06/04/23HSilute83-65
02/04/23ASilute68-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %33%0%40%
Points / game79.272.080.6
Allowed / game81.387.080.2
Point differential-2.2-15.0+0.4
Avg total160.5159.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game74.075.571.0
Allowed / game75.071.083.0
Point differential-1.0+4.5-12.0
Avg total149.0146.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai660100%90.376.7+13.7
2 Jurbarkas76186%82.776.9+5.9
3 BC Olimpas Palanga65183%85.774.0+11.7
4 Suduva-Mantinga54180%86.075.4+10.6
5 Delikatesas Joniskis64267%81.784.3-2.7
6 Vilkaviskis74357%77.977.0+0.9
7 Silute63350%77.880.8-3.0
8 Ukmerges Stekas63350%73.776.8-3.2
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 262433%74.075.0-1.0
10 Kretinga62433%79.281.3-2.2
11 Kauno Atletas72529%77.082.7-5.7
12 Vytis VDU51420%81.482.0-0.6
13 Neptunas 271614%77.385.0-7.7
14 Rytas 26060%73.587.3-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1418162977
Zalgiris Kaunas 22226252598
← all games of the day
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