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Kretinga vs Kauno Atletas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game90.7
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Kauno Atletas
Lithuania
Position#17
Record2-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game94.4
LithuaniaNKLRound 26· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kretinga v Kauno Atletas
09 Jan 2027
KRET v KAUN
upcoming
20 Jan 2024
KRET65
KAUN81
04 Nov 2023
KRET84
KAUN73
17 Dec 2022
KRET77
KAUN78
21 Dec 2021
KRET74
KAUN68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kauno Atletas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
95-99
95
99
-4
89avg 74
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 74
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 74
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
70-90
70
90
-20
56avg 74
A22/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
85-101
85
101
-16
74avg 74
H24/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 74
H29/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
73avg 74
A31/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
H05/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A07/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
98-107
98
107
-9
no box
A12/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
20-22
20-27
30-31
18-31
24-21
23-15
18-21
23-16
24-23
17-10
20-23
15-25
21-23
13-25
21-17
16-25
22-24
23-23
24-29
23-21
18-19
25-27
13-19
18-22
14-19
18-14
25-17
19-27
23-21
18-18
26-34
21-22
21-25
20-19
17-25
17-28
24-28
28-24
29-27
174.0Avg total
83.4Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.590.7172.2-9.215%
Season at home (6)84.094.2178.2-10.20%
Season away (7)79.487.7167.1-8.329%
Last 10 (10)83.490.6174.0-7.220%
Last 5 (5)83.491.2174.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.991.9171.8-12.018%
vs Similar (10)83.981.7165.6+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)97.390.7188.0+6.7100%
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#16
L
72-84
72
84
-12
56avg 66
H17/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
85-97
85
97
-12
75avg 66
A22/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
63-113
63
113
-50
48avg 66
A27/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
66avg 66
A29/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
88-97
88
97
-9
85avg 66
H31/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A05/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H07/11
NKL
Silute
#7
W
102-92
102
92
+10
no box
H10/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
75-96
75
96
-21
no box
H12/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
81-115
81
115
-34
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
23-24
10-17
23-20
21-34
16-25
22-14
26-24
9-32
26-33
12-28
16-20
16-29
13-17
17-21
30-33
24-26
15-20
24-32
25-19
25-15
22-17
16-20
17-14
17-19
22-20
23-13
12-31
23-22
22-19
36-27
21-24
23-27
19-26
20-20
13-23
23-20
16-33
23-30
19-32
173.9Avg total
79.6Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.194.4173.6-15.314%
Season at home (7)80.791.1171.9-10.414%
Season away (7)77.697.7175.3-20.114%
Last 10 (10)79.694.3173.9-14.720%
Last 5 (5)82.490.4172.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.194.4173.6-15.314%
vs Similar (14)77.178.9156.0-1.736%
vs Weaker (2)87.587.5175.0+0.050%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
KretingaKauno Atletas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A22/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H24/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H05/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A12/11
NKL
86.7Avg total
40.6Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.982.8-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.342.683.9-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)38.743.281.9-4.519%-
Last 10 (10)40.646.186.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.486.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.945.383.2-7.412%-
vs Similar (10)40.139.079.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)50.742.393.0+8.3100%-
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#16
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
37-59
37
59
-22
A22/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A27/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A29/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H31/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A05/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H07/11
NKL
Silute
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H12/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A14/11
NKL
87.2Avg total
39.1Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.081.6-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.642.080.6-3.433%-
Last 30 away (15)38.544.182.6-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.148.187.2-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.686.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.946.985.8-8.114%-
vs Similar (14)37.738.476.1-0.657%-
vs Weaker (2)42.548.591.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.3
54.2%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.5
31.1%
31.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.014.8
64.3%
67.1%14.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.2
51.6%
54.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.05.1
25.5%
31.3%15.3
🏀 Free throws21.113.6
64.5%
67.1%13.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLLWLLLWLL
Kauno Atletas
LLWLWLLLLL
#16
League position
#17
-9.7
Net rating
-20.4
89.2
Offensive rating
83.0
98.9
Defensive rating
103.4
51.0%
Effective FG%
47.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.1%
3-point %
25.5%
60.1%
Assist %
59.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.2 · 83.0Defence98.9 · 103.4Shooting51.0% · 47.5%3-point %31.1% · 25.5%Ball care16.1% · 18.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Kretinga   ■ Kauno Atletas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kretinga wins
4
Kauno Atletas wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Kauno Atletas v Kretinga72-84
17/02/24Kauno Atletas v Kretinga87-84
20/01/24Kretinga v Kauno Atletas65-81
23/12/23Kauno Atletas v Kretinga78-85
04/11/23Kretinga v Kauno Atletas84-73
17/12/22Kretinga v Kauno Atletas77-78
22/10/22Kauno Atletas v Kretinga69-84
21/12/21Kretinga v Kauno Atletas74-68
07/10/21Kauno Atletas v Kretinga96-58
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AVytis VDU98-107
07/11/26ARytas 279-91
05/11/26HBC Olimpas Palanga86-100
31/10/26AOmega-Tauras75-72
29/10/26HJurbarkas79-86
24/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas 285-101
22/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai70-90
17/10/26AKauno Atletas84-72
15/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga83-88
10/10/26HUkmerges Stekas95-99
Kauno Atletaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABC Olimpas Palanga81-115
12/11/26HOmega-Tauras75-96
10/11/26HSilute102-92
07/11/26HNeptunas 274-83
05/11/26AKedainiai BC80-66
31/10/26HMazeikiai88-97
29/10/26ATelsiai76-100
27/10/26ASuduva-Mantinga63-113
22/10/26AVytis VDU85-97
17/10/26HKretinga72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL15%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%0%29%
Points / game81.584.079.4
Allowed / game90.794.287.7
Point differential-9.2-10.2-8.3
Avg total172.2178.2167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kauno Atletas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL14%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%14%14%
Points / game79.180.777.6
Allowed / game94.491.197.7
Point differential-15.3-10.4-20.1
Avg total173.6171.9175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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