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Ukmerges Stekas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 82-64
21-20 26-13 18-13 17-18
Position#5
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#8
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game83.7
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla (Ukmerge)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga
12 Dec 2026
UKME v KRET
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
UKME103
KRET107
20 Nov 2025
UKME98
KRET88
21 Dec 2024
UKME76
KRET58
22 Feb 2024
UKME93
KRET79
28 Oct 2023
UKME82
KRET64
04 Feb 2023
UKME94
KRET75
22 Dec 2022
UKME74
KRET90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A18/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
101-84
101
84
+17
no box
H21/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
A23/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
60-88
60
88
-28
47avg 64
A05/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 64
A07/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
70avg 64
A12/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
68-83
68
83
-15
55avg 64
A14/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
67-72
67
72
-5
60avg 64
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
79-62
79
62
+17
68avg 64
H21/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
58avg 64
A26/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
23-25
18-24
19-20
28-21
24-19
29-21
20-23
18-22
23-17
28-25
16-28
12-32
15-20
18-15
15-21
22-25
24-18
30-22
19-21
20-8
18-16
21-14
14-32
19-25
20-15
15-21
14-22
10-22
19-10
24-15
14-25
22-12
16-19
15-17
26-14
17-20
14-16
11-24
21-22
159.0Avg total
77.7Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.177.6149.7-5.443%
Season at home (1)79.062.0141.0+17.0100%
Season away (6)71.080.2151.2-9.233%
Last 10 (10)77.781.3159.0-3.640%
Last 5 (5)70.073.8143.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.280.0150.2-9.80%
vs Similar (7)74.178.3152.4-4.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.578.1162.6+6.453%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
H04/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A09/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
63-90
63
90
-27
no box
H11/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
72avg 71
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
92avg 71
A07/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
56avg 71
H12/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 71
A14/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
65avg 71
A19/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 71
A21/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
77-98
77
98
-21
64avg 71
H26/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
13-27
16-24
20-22
23-24
16-29
20-21
18-18
22-26
10-19
19-20
12-25
13-27
31-15
14-23
20-15
22-25
21-17
22-24
25-18
16-25
15-21
27-24
14-17
18-21
31-15
17-19
21-18
13-26
24-20
22-15
15-18
16-16
27-13
14-27
17-29
14-22
18-26
16-25
29-25
162.3Avg total
76.6Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.983.7162.6-4.929%
Season at home (2)74.592.5167.0-18.00%
Season away (5)80.680.2160.8+0.440%
Last 10 (10)76.685.7162.3-9.120%
Last 5 (5)76.884.4161.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.881.9155.7-8.136%
vs Similar (17)79.384.2163.5-4.924%
vs Weaker (2)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
Ukmerges StekasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A18/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H21/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A23/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A05/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A07/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A12/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A26/10
NKL
77.7Avg total
39.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.377.5+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.536.681.2+7.985%-
Last 30 away (17)36.837.974.7-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.777.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.667.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.538.074.5-1.525%-
vs Similar (7)35.337.372.6-2.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.737.279.9+5.574%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H04/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#14
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A09/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H11/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H12/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A21/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H26/10
NKL
81.8Avg total
38.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.581.0-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.444.481.8-7.015%-
Last 30 away (17)39.341.180.4-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)38.843.081.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.079.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.442.577.9-7.29%-
vs Similar (17)40.042.482.4-2.441%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.0
50.0%
51.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.6
30.0%
33.3%25.7
🏀 Free throws19.713.4
68.1%
70.3%13.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.917.9
44.8%
51.9%35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.315.9
71.2%
70.3%15.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LWLLWWLLWL
Kretinga
LLLWLWLLLL
#5
League position
#8
-8.5
Net rating
-7.4
98.4
Offensive rating
106.2
106.9
Defensive rating
113.7
47.6%
Effective FG%
48.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.2%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.0%
3-point %
37.2%
72.1%
Assist %
67.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 106.2Defence106.9 · 113.7Shooting47.6% · 48.9%3-point %30.0% · 37.2%Ball care17.4% · 17.2%Off. rebounds25.5% · 32.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ukmerges Stekas wins
1
Kretinga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga63-82
21/10/23HKauno Atletas79-62
19/10/23ANeptunas 267-72
14/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga68-83
12/10/23AJurbarkas73-70
07/10/23ARytas 295-86
05/10/23AVilkaviskis60-88
23/03/23ARytas 285-92
21/03/23HRytas 2101-84
18/03/23ARytas 286-94
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas 277-98
21/10/23ASilute74-85
19/10/23AVilkaviskis74-79
14/10/23ARytas 287-73
12/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga72-87
07/10/23AVytis VDU90-84
05/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis78-80
11/03/23HUkmerges Stekas63-90
09/03/23ANeptunas 277-92
04/03/23HDelikatesas Joniskis74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeW100%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games716
Win %43%100%33%
Points / game72.179.071.0
Allowed / game77.662.080.2
Point differential-5.4+17.0-9.2
Avg total149.7141.0151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%0%40%
Points / game78.974.580.6
Allowed / game83.792.580.2
Point differential-4.9-18.0+0.4
Avg total162.6167.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai660100%90.376.7+13.7
2 BC Olimpas Palanga76186%85.172.4+12.7
3 Jurbarkas76186%82.776.9+5.9
4 Suduva-Mantinga54180%86.075.4+10.6
5 Delikatesas Joniskis64267%81.784.3-2.7
6 Vilkaviskis85362%79.676.4+3.2
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 273443%77.475.3+2.1
8 Silute73443%77.981.4-3.6
9 Ukmerges Stekas73443%72.177.6-5.4
10 Kretinga72529%78.983.7-4.9
11 Kauno Atletas72529%77.082.7-5.7
12 Vytis VDU51420%81.482.0-0.6
13 Neptunas 271614%77.385.0-7.7
14 Rytas 281712%74.886.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas2126181782
Kretinga2013131864
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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