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Kretinga vs Kauno Atletas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 65-81
5-9 24-22 17-19 19-31
Position#8
Record9-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.3
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Kauno Atletas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#11
Record10-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game78.7
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Kauno Atletas
09 Jan 2027
KRET v KAUN
upcoming
20 Jan 2024
KRET65
KAUN81
04 Nov 2023
KRET84
KAUN73
17 Dec 2022
KRET77
KAUN78
21 Dec 2021
KRET74
KAUN68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kauno Atletas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 69
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
66-67
66
67
-1
56avg 69
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
84-87
84
87
-3
72avg 69
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 69
H09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
no box
A14/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 69
H16/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
67-95
67
95
-28
64avg 69
H21/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 69
A23/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
92avg 69
H04/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
72-101
72
101
-29
61avg 69
A06/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-20
15-17
26-19
15-16
19-18
15-21
17-12
18-22
21-22
21-26
24-17
24-16
11-22
21-18
19-27
18-26
18-7
18-14
10-17
23-22
27-14
9-27
16-18
20-19
23-21
15-30
9-25
22-22
23-22
26-16
14-18
28-19
22-18
19-17
20-28
24-23
17-22
15-27
16-29
159.1Avg total
76.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.382.3159.6-5.135%
Season at home (13)77.882.8160.7-5.031%
Season away (13)76.781.8158.5-5.238%
Last 10 (10)76.982.2159.1-5.340%
Last 5 (5)77.687.4165.0-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.086.7155.7-17.70%
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.281.8162.1-1.645%
vs Weaker (1)77.092.0169.0-15.00%
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 67
H06/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
70-66
70
66
+4
57avg 67
A09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
63avg 67
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 67
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-88
63
88
-25
50avg 67
A21/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 67
H23/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 67
H04/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
68-69
68
69
-1
60avg 67
A06/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
83-62
83
62
+21
74avg 67
H09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
77-82
77
82
-5
64avg 67
H18/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
26-17
18-17
24-22
13-11
19-17
22-14
16-24
15-18
17-22
22-15
19-14
25-17
21-17
19-19
16-20
19-20
19-18
20-25
5-25
22-22
22-23
16-26
18-14
22-24
17-19
21-20
18-23
15-17
11-22
25-21
17-9
16-19
21-13
19-11
27-19
25-19
18-18
16-24
18-21
150.3Avg total
75.3Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.978.7154.6-2.837%
Season at home (14)77.780.8158.5-3.136%
Season away (13)74.076.5150.5-2.538%
Last 10 (10)75.375.0150.3+0.350%
Last 5 (5)76.876.8153.6+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.482.9150.3-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (19)75.577.4152.9-1.942%
vs Weaker (2)96.070.0166.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
KretingaKauno Atletas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H16/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A23/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/01
NKL
80.5Avg total
41.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.681.4-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.941.180.9-1.231%-
Last 30 away (14)39.942.182.0-2.343%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.280.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.486.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.442.379.8-4.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.040.681.7+0.445%-
vs Weaker (1)39.053.092.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H06/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H23/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H04/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A06/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/01
NKL
74.4Avg total
37.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.777.4-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.340.379.6-1.031%-
Last 30 away (14)35.839.174.9-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)37.736.774.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.277.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.441.677.0-6.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.239.376.4-2.132%-
vs Weaker (2)52.536.088.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.5
48.8%
51.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.9
32.9%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.813.4
71.3%
70.3%13.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.7
48.8%
51.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.05.7
30.0%
33.3%17.1
🏀 Free throws23.216.4
70.7%
70.3%16.4
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LWWLLWLLLW
Kauno Atletas
LWLLLLWWWW
#8
League position
#11
-8.3
Net rating
+1.5
98.5
Offensive rating
101.8
106.8
Defensive rating
100.3
49.0%
Effective FG%
47.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.5%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.9%
3-point %
30.0%
63.9%
Assist %
51.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 101.8Defence106.8 · 100.3Shooting49.0% · 47.6%3-point %32.9% · 30.0%Ball care18.4% · 18.5%Off. rebounds26.1% · 31.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Kretinga   ■ Kauno Atletas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kretinga wins
2
Kauno Atletas wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Kauno Atletas v Kretinga78-85
04/11/23Kretinga v Kauno Atletas84-73
17/12/22Kretinga v Kauno Atletas77-78
22/10/22Kauno Atletas v Kretinga69-84
21/12/21Kretinga v Kauno Atletas74-68
07/10/21Kauno Atletas v Kretinga96-58
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24ASuduva-Mantinga72-101
04/01/24HJurbarkas89-82
23/12/23AKauno Atletas85-78
21/12/23HTelsiai67-95
16/12/23HUkmerges Stekas75-81
14/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas 275-71 OT
09/12/23HVilkaviskis75-83
07/12/23HSilute84-87
02/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga66-67
30/11/23HRytas 281-77
Kauno Atletaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HNeptunas 277-82
09/01/24HDelikatesas Joniskis83-62
06/01/24ANeptunas 268-69
04/01/24HSuduva-Mantinga78-86
23/12/23HKretinga78-85
21/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga63-88
14/12/23AVytis VDU81-73
12/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas 273-69
09/12/23ASilute70-66
06/12/23HUkmerges Stekas82-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLLLLW31%
AwayWLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%31%38%
Points / game77.377.876.7
Allowed / game82.382.881.8
Point differential-5.1-5.0-5.2
Avg total159.6160.7158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Kauno Atletas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL37%
HomeWLLWL36%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %37%36%38%
Points / game75.977.774.0
Allowed / game78.780.876.5
Point differential-2.8-3.1-2.5
Avg total154.6158.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2723485%87.773.5+14.2
2 Telsiai2722581%83.072.3+10.7
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2621581%82.072.1+10.0
4 Vytis VDU27151256%86.383.6+2.7
5 Jurbarkas27151256%80.079.0+1.0
6 Ukmerges Stekas27141352%75.776.2-0.5
7 Vilkaviskis27141352%81.383.4-2.1
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 227131448%75.573.4+2.1
9 Delikatesas Joniskis27121544%77.484.6-7.2
10 Kauno Atletas27101737%75.978.7-2.8
11 Kretinga2691735%77.382.3-5.1
12 Rytas 22781930%81.790.1-8.4
13 Silute2772026%77.282.9-5.6
14 Neptunas 22752219%75.884.5-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga524171965
Kauno Atletas922193181
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