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Kretinga vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-77
18-20 24-13 18-23 15-21
Position#13
Record9-21
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game84.0
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Ukmerges Stekas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#8
Record13-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game78.2
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas
10 Oct 2026
KRET95
UKME99
15 Jan 2026
KRET113
UKME79
06 Feb 2025
KRET75
UKME77
26 Oct 2024
KRET69
UKME64
03 Feb 2024
KRET107
UKME92
16 Dec 2023
KRET75
UKME81
11 Mar 2023
KRET63
UKME90
26 Nov 2022
KRET72
UKME85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
96avg 70
H12/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
89-97
89
97
-8
82avg 70
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
56avg 70
H19/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
58-76
58
76
-18
45avg 70
A21/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
57-72
57
72
-15
45avg 70
H05/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
64avg 70
A09/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
69-78
69
78
-9
63avg 70
H11/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
80-61
80
61
+19
83avg 70
A16/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
100avg 70
H18/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
88avg 70
A25/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
26-20
27-21
10-21
22-26
23-19
13-24
31-28
15-14
20-19
8-23
21-18
13-21
12-17
19-21
14-17
11-19
23-12
10-18
13-23
20-24
21-15
20-28
12-20
21-18
18-14
13-19
17-27
16-17
23-14
20-16
21-14
31-26
17-19
23-25
17-18
25-25
20-22
23-24
19-18
158.6Avg total
76.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.484.0162.4-5.730%
Season at home (15)77.382.1159.4-4.740%
Season away (15)79.486.0165.4-6.620%
Last 10 (10)76.981.7158.6-4.830%
Last 5 (5)82.282.4164.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.885.6161.4-9.829%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.483.6164.0-3.225%
vs Weaker (4)81.280.0161.2+1.250%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
110avg 69
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
68-59
68
59
+9
61avg 69
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
51avg 69
A19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
76-58
76
58
+18
77avg 69
H21/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
71-60
71
60
+11
58avg 69
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
60avg 69
A09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
85avg 69
H11/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 69
A16/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 69
H18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
69avg 69
A25/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
24-20
31-13
25-27
21-16
19-10
17-19
11-14
18-22
21-24
8-10
15-12
21-13
17-12
21-19
17-14
10-9
21-20
22-12
18-19
18-18
13-28
21-18
25-19
24-15
21-23
26-21
20-15
19-22
29-22
16-15
18-30
18-20
23-26
23-11
20-12
20-24
20-26
22-13
13-19
150.8Avg total
78.7Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.478.2155.5-0.843%
Season at home (15)79.975.6155.5+4.367%
Season away (15)74.980.7155.6-5.920%
Last 10 (10)78.772.1150.8+6.660%
Last 5 (5)81.879.4161.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (24)75.777.9153.6-2.238%
vs Weaker (4)87.078.8165.8+8.275%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
KretingaUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H19/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A21/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H05/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H11/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A16/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A25/01
NKL
78.9Avg total
40.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.882.1-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.542.182.6-1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.481.5-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.578.9+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.881.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.443.082.4-3.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.940.381.2+0.642%-
vs Weaker (4)41.541.883.2-0.250%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H21/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A16/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A25/01
NKL
78.7Avg total
39.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.977.4-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.536.573.9+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.543.380.8-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.978.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.885.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)37.240.377.5-3.242%-
vs Weaker (4)41.035.876.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.3
50.3%
52.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.5
29.4%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.514.8
68.8%
70.5%14.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.5
50.1%
52.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
32.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.312.5
61.6%
70.5%12.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LWWLLLLLLW
Ukmerges Stekas
LWLWLWWLWW
#13
League position
#8
-6.5
Net rating
+9.2
98.3
Offensive rating
102.3
104.8
Defensive rating
93.1
47.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.3%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.4%
3-point %
31.5%
73.5%
Assist %
59.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 102.3Defence104.8 · 93.1Shooting47.8% · 49.0%3-point %29.4% · 31.5%Ball care18.7% · 20.3%Off. rebounds28.4% · 36.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Kretinga   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kretinga wins
7
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga76-58
26/10/24Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas69-64
22/02/24Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga93-79
03/02/24Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas107-92
16/12/23Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas75-81
28/10/23Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga82-64
11/03/23Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas63-90
04/02/23Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga94-75
22/12/22Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga74-90
26/11/22Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas72-85
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AVilkaviskis87-89
18/01/25HSilute102-97 OT
16/01/25AAlytaus Alytus80-61
11/01/25HPlunges Olimpas69-78
09/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas 273-87
05/01/25HJurbarkas57-72
21/12/24AUkmerges Stekas58-76
19/12/24HBC Olimpas Palanga64-74
14/12/24ANeptunas 289-97
12/12/24HVytis VDU90-86
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas 275-82
18/01/25HJurbarkas84-69
16/01/25AVilkaviskis82-89
11/01/25HNeptunas 291-74
09/01/25AVytis VDU77-83
04/01/25HPlunges Olimpas71-60
21/12/24HKretinga76-58
19/12/24ATelsiai62-68
14/12/24HRytas 268-59
10/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis101-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL30%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game78.477.379.4
Allowed / game84.082.186.0
Point differential-5.7-4.7-6.6
Avg total162.4159.4165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %43%67%20%
Points / game77.479.974.9
Allowed / game78.275.680.7
Point differential-0.8+4.3-5.9
Avg total155.5155.5155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai3123874%86.478.6+7.8
2 Jurbarkas3022873%82.578.8+3.7
3 BC Olimpas Palanga31211068%81.572.9+8.5
4 Vytis VDU31211068%90.585.0+5.5
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 231211068%80.475.5+4.8
6 Vilkaviskis31191261%83.578.7+4.8
7 Suduva-Mantinga30171357%82.078.4+3.6
8 Omega-Tauras31171455%81.681.3+0.3
9 Neptunas 230151550%79.279.7-0.5
10 Ukmerges Stekas30131743%77.478.2-0.8
11 Rytas 230121840%79.282.0-2.8
12 Silute31121939%81.283.7-2.6
13 Plunges Olimpas31102132%77.481.1-3.8
14 Kretinga3092130%78.484.0-5.7
15 Alytaus Alytus3192229%78.487.9-9.5
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3142713%78.992.5-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1824181575
Ukmerges Stekas2013232177
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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