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Vilkaviskis vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 89-87
25-25 22-20 24-23 18-19
Position#6
Record18-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#13
Record9-20
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game83.9
LithuaniaNKL· Vilkavi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Kretinga
03 Oct 2026
VILK84
KRET65
08 Nov 2025
VILK83
KRET94
25 Jan 2025
VILK89
KRET87
19 Oct 2023
VILK79
KRET74
16 Feb 2023
VILK93
KRET61
08 Dec 2022
VILK56
KRET86
18 Nov 2021
VILK86
KRET73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
78-59
78
59
+19
70avg 70
H07/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
96-70
96
70
+26
87avg 70
H12/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
60-84
60
84
-24
47avg 70
A14/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
95-86
95
86
+9
83avg 70
H19/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
74-63
74
63
+11
62avg 70
A21/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
88-75
88
75
+13
78avg 70
A04/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 70
A07/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
74avg 70
H09/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
89-82
89
82
+7
92avg 70
H16/01
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
74avg 70
A18/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
14-18
22-11
25-12
26-14
16-25
28-15
26-16
15-19
8-26
17-26
20-13
26-20
26-21
23-20
20-25
16-14
13-20
22-9
23-20
17-25
25-17
23-19
23-14
30-24
15-25
14-16
18-21
21-21
26-20
17-14
24-16
22-19
22-29
15-16
30-18
20-26
22-23
19-25
23-21
160.0Avg total
82.9Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.977.7160.6+5.262%
Season at home (14)87.174.1161.1+13.086%
Season away (15)79.081.1160.1-2.140%
Last 10 (10)82.977.1160.0+5.870%
Last 5 (5)85.281.8167.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.781.3167.0+4.333%
vs Similar (16)79.677.2156.8+2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.777.4163.1+8.482%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
86avg 70
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
96avg 70
H12/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
89-97
89
97
-8
82avg 70
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
56avg 70
H19/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
58-76
58
76
-18
45avg 70
A21/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
57-72
57
72
-15
45avg 70
H05/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
64avg 70
A09/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
69-78
69
78
-9
63avg 70
H11/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
80-61
80
61
+19
83avg 70
A16/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
100avg 70
H18/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
25-17
16-12
26-19
27-24
26-20
27-21
10-21
22-26
23-19
13-24
31-28
15-14
20-19
8-23
21-18
13-21
12-17
19-21
14-17
11-19
23-12
10-18
13-23
20-24
21-15
20-28
12-20
21-18
18-14
13-19
17-27
16-17
23-14
20-16
21-14
31-26
17-19
23-25
17-18
157.0Avg total
76.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.183.9161.9-5.831%
Season at home (15)77.382.1159.4-4.740%
Season away (14)78.985.8164.6-6.921%
Last 10 (10)76.880.2157.0-3.440%
Last 5 (5)76.279.0155.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.985.3160.2-10.431%
vs Similar (13)80.784.0164.7-3.323%
vs Weaker (4)81.280.0161.2+1.250%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
VilkaviskisKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H12/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A14/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H19/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A21/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A07/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H16/01
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/01
NKL
82.1Avg total
39.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.879.6-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.638.279.8+3.480%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.479.3-3.520%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.482.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.889.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.339.778.0-1.367%-
vs Similar (16)39.940.280.1-0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.039.279.2+0.845%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H19/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A21/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H05/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H11/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A16/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/01
NKL
78.4Avg total
40.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.681.4-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.842.281.9-2.450%-
Last 30 away (14)39.841.080.8-1.236%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.178.4+2.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.675.8+4.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.042.781.7-3.746%-
vs Similar (13)40.040.580.5-0.538%-
vs Weaker (4)41.541.883.2-0.250%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.5
53.8%
52.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.0
27.4%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.113.1
65.2%
70.5%13.1
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.3
51.5%
52.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.5
27.9%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.314.9
70.0%
70.5%14.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
LWWLWWWLWW
Kretinga
WWLLLLLLWW
#6
League position
#13
+7.4
Net rating
-4.2
108.8
Offensive rating
99.3
101.4
Defensive rating
103.5
48.6%
Effective FG%
47.4%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.4%
Turnover %
17.6%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.4%
3-point %
27.9%
55.4%
Assist %
75.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 99.3Defence101.4 · 103.5Shooting48.6% · 47.4%3-point %27.4% · 27.9%Ball care15.4% · 17.6%Off. rebounds37.7% · 28.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vilkaviskis wins
4
Kretinga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ATelsiai84-95
16/01/25HUkmerges Stekas89-82
09/01/25HSilute88-71
07/01/25AOmega-Tauras77-86
04/01/25AAlytaus Alytus88-75
21/12/24ARytas 274-63
19/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis95-86
14/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas 260-84
12/12/24HJurbarkas96-70
07/12/24HPlunges Olimpas78-59
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HSilute102-97 OT
16/01/25AAlytaus Alytus80-61
11/01/25HPlunges Olimpas69-78
09/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas 273-87
05/01/25HJurbarkas57-72
21/12/24AUkmerges Stekas58-76
19/12/24HBC Olimpas Palanga64-74
14/12/24ANeptunas 289-97
12/12/24HVytis VDU90-86
07/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %62%86%40%
Points / game82.987.179.0
Allowed / game77.774.181.1
Point differential+5.2+13.0-2.1
Avg total160.6161.1160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW31%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %31%40%21%
Points / game78.177.378.9
Allowed / game83.982.185.8
Point differential-5.8-4.7-6.9
Avg total161.9159.4164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%13%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai2922776%85.778.0+7.7
2 Jurbarkas2921872%81.978.2+3.7
3 BC Olimpas Palanga3021970%81.672.6+8.9
4 Vytis VDU29191066%90.584.9+5.6
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 229191066%80.375.4+4.8
6 Vilkaviskis29181162%82.977.7+5.2
7 Suduva-Mantinga29171259%82.178.2+3.9
8 Omega-Tauras29171259%81.980.6+1.4
9 Neptunas 229151452%79.880.2-0.4
10 Ukmerges Stekas29131645%77.478.0-0.6
11 Silute29111838%81.083.2-2.3
12 Rytas 229111838%79.782.8-3.1
13 Kretinga2992031%78.183.9-5.8
14 Alytaus Alytus2992031%78.487.5-9.1
15 Plunges Olimpas3092130%76.581.3-4.8
16 Delikatesas Joniskis292277%77.993.2-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vilkaviskis2522241889
Kretinga2520231987
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