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Kvarner vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 107-74
31-17 31-20 22-24 23-13
Position#1
Record21-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game72.7
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
vs
Stoja
Croatia
Position#13
Record3-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game90.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 24· Dvorana Mladosti
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kvarner v Stoja
23 Mar 2024
KVAR107
STOJ74
14 Jan 2023
KVAR105
STOJ74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
89-56
89
56
+33
86avg 86
A24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
96-56
96
56
+40
92avg 86
H28/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
85-69
85
69
+16
85avg 86
A04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
92-70
92
70
+22
82avg 86
H10/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#2
L
67-82
67
82
-15
62avg 86
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
86avg 86
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-78
72
78
-6
54avg 86
H24/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
102-69
102
69
+33
111avg 86
A03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
79avg 86
H09/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
84-70
84
70
+14
91avg 86
A16/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
14-9
27-15
30-16
24-14
21-19
26-15
25-8
19-25
20-14
24-12
22-18
22-15
14-18
34-21
22-16
20-19
11-16
11-27
25-20
21-18
32-18
12-16
27-24
30-11
15-23
14-24
13-20
36-23
22-14
19-20
25-12
20-19
23-9
19-25
18-20
30-15
15-17
21-20
18-18
155.8Avg total
85.9Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)90.072.7162.7+17.391%
Season at home (11)89.670.3159.9+19.491%
Season away (12)90.374.9165.2+15.492%
Last 10 (10)85.969.9155.8+16.080%
Last 5 (5)86.073.2159.2+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.373.0136.3-9.733%
vs Similar (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)89.072.1161.1+16.888%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
L
48-90
48
90
-42
28avg 70
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
88-116
88
116
-28
75avg 70
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
59-91
59
91
-32
53avg 70
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 70
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 70
H10/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 70
A18/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
77avg 70
H28/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
84avg 70
H03/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
72avg 70
A09/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
76-88
76
88
-12
72avg 70
H16/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
10-25
16-17
12-23
20-30
15-31
20-31
33-24
24-19
12-17
9-25
14-30
16-31
17-25
15-28
22-12
22-23
20-24
27-22
25-18
23-28
22-33
18-14
22-17
16-24
24-12
20-19
20-26
32-38
29-23
11-17
15-14
15-26
25-20
16-11
21-28
21-22
20-17
18-21
17-28
168.2Avg total
76.4Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.690.2168.8-11.613%
Season at home (12)78.890.2169.0-11.517%
Season away (11)78.590.1168.5-11.69%
Last 10 (10)76.491.8168.2-15.410%
Last 5 (5)81.087.6168.6-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)84.494.2178.6-9.823%
vs Similar (5)75.884.8160.6-9.020%
vs Weaker (3)80.080.7160.7-0.733%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
KvarnerStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H09/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A16/03
Prva Liga
75.9Avg total
42.7Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.036.180.1+7.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.534.277.8+9.281%-
Last 30 away (14)44.538.382.8+6.264%-
Last 10 (10)42.733.275.9+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.833.482.2+15.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.033.765.7-1.733%-
vs Similar (1)45.035.080.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.236.081.2+9.380%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
L
20-50
20
50
-30
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H10/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A18/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H03/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A09/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/03
Prva Liga
88.6Avg total
39.3Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.348.389.6-7.027%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.445.288.6-1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)38.951.890.7-12.90%-
Last 10 (10)39.349.388.6-10.020%-
Last 5 (5)45.448.694.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)41.749.891.5-8.127%-
vs Similar (5)40.845.686.4-4.820%-
vs Weaker (3)39.341.781.0-2.333%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.7
55.9%
52.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.5
34.9%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.913.4
74.9%
71.2%13.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.123.8
49.5%
52.9%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.6
32.8%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws12.68.7
69.0%
71.2%8.7
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kvarner
WWWLWLWWWW
Stoja
LLLLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#13
+21.4
Net rating
-19.5
114.2
Offensive rating
97.4
92.8
Defensive rating
116.9
54.5%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.4%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.18
34.9%
3-point %
32.8%
69.2%
Assist %
62.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 97.4Defence92.8 · 116.9Shooting54.5% · 49.4%3-point %34.9% · 32.8%Ball care15.1% · 18.4%Off. rebounds28.5% · 26.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Kvarner   ■ Stoja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kvarner wins
0
Stoja wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Stoja v Kvarner77-91
14/01/23Kvarner v Stoja105-74
15/10/22Stoja v Kvarner81-91
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24AKastela84-70
09/03/24HMladost80-73
03/03/24AHermes102-69
24/02/24HOsijek72-78
18/02/24ACrikvenica92-76
14/02/24HCibona67-82
10/02/24HJazine92-70
04/02/24AKK Zagreb85-69
28/01/24HMarsonia96-56
24/01/24APodstrana89-56
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HOmis76-88
09/03/24AGorica77-85
03/03/24HSamobor87-92
28/02/24HKastela80-81
18/02/24AMladost85-92
10/02/24HHermes94-87
04/02/24AOsijek70-96
28/01/24HCrikvenica59-91
24/01/24AJazine88-116
20/01/24HKK Zagreb48-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kvarner
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW91%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %91%91%92%
Points / game90.089.690.3
Allowed / game72.770.374.9
Point differential+17.3+19.4+15.4
Avg total162.7159.9165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%73%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %13%17%9%
Points / game78.678.878.5
Allowed / game90.290.290.1
Point differential-11.6-11.5-11.6
Avg total168.8169.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2321291%90.072.7+17.3
2 Osijek2421388%87.775.4+12.3
3 Gorica2417771%81.274.8+6.4
4 Samobor2416867%84.982.9+2.0
5 KK Zagreb2314961%79.172.7+6.4
6 Kastela23131057%79.474.5+4.9
7 Jazine24121250%86.885.4+1.4
8 Hermes23101343%90.290.8-0.7
9 Omis24101442%77.080.8-3.9
10 Marsonia24101442%81.085.9-4.9
11 Mladost2481633%79.084.3-5.3
12 Crikvenica2461825%73.684.2-10.5
13 Podstrana2341917%71.385.1-13.8
14 Stoja2332013%78.690.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kvarner31312223107
Stoja1720241374
← all games of the day
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