PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Lafayette hosts Binghamton on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Lafayette the favourite with an 83% chance of victory, driven by their 3-2 season record, 79.8 points scored per game and only 64.4 allowed, plus a flawless 3-0 home record with 94.0 points per game and 53.0 allowed. Binghamton, 3-1 overall with 70.0 points per game and 66.5 allowed, has a 2-1 road record, scoring 68.3 and conceding 67.7, and a 4-1 run in the last five games. Their recent outing was a 87-62 win over Misericordia away on 11 November, followed by a 75-63 home win over Rider on 8 November and a 58-55 away win over St. Peters on 5 November. The only prior meeting was on 1 December 2024, when Binghamton edged Lafayette 82-81. Pythia projects a 77-66 score, 143.3 total points, and an 83% probability that Lafayette will cover the spread, while the over has a 3% chance of occurring. The game ends with Lafayette's strong home performance and Binghamton's recent road success, setting the stage for a decisive contest.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 79.8 | 64.4 | 144.2 | +15.4 | 60% |
| Season at home (3) | 94.0 | 53.0 | 147.0 | +41.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 58.5 | 81.5 | 140.0 | -23.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.6 | 70.8 | 148.4 | +6.8 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.8 | 64.4 | 144.2 | +15.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 67.3 | 75.3 | 142.5 | -8.0 | 27% |
| vs Similar (15) | 70.5 | 73.0 | 143.5 | -2.5 | 47% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 73.0 | 56.5 | 129.5 | +16.5 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 70.0 | 66.5 | 136.5 | +3.5 | 75% |
| Season at home (1) | 75.0 | 63.0 | 138.0 | +12.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 68.3 | 67.7 | 136.0 | +0.7 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.6 | 70.5 | 142.1 | +1.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 70.8 | 66.6 | 137.4 | +4.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 65.3 | 78.9 | 144.2 | -13.6 | 7% |
| vs Similar (11) | 68.9 | 73.0 | 141.9 | -4.1 | 36% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 67.3 | 58.7 | 126.0 | +8.7 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.0 | 33.6 | 67.6 | +0.4 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 36.9 | 30.9 | 67.9 | +6.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 30.6 | 36.6 | 67.3 | -6.0 | 21% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.2 | 31.6 | 70.8 | +7.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 29.6 | 73.8 | +14.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 30.8 | 35.0 | 65.8 | -4.2 | 18% | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 32.9 | 35.3 | 68.2 | -2.3 | 40% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 39.0 | 23.5 | 62.5 | +15.5 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.1 | 35.4 | 68.5 | -2.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 34.9 | 35.6 | 70.5 | -0.7 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 31.3 | 35.2 | 66.5 | -3.9 | 40% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.0 | 35.6 | 69.6 | -1.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.8 | 34.2 | 69.0 | +0.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 31.6 | 40.9 | 72.5 | -9.2 | 7% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 31.6 | 30.7 | 62.4 | +0.9 | 64% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 35.7 | 27.7 | 63.3 | +8.0 | 67% | - |
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| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01/12/24 | Lafayette v Binghamton | 81-82 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Penn St. Lehigh Valley | 89-46 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Penn State | 89-46 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Saint Josephs Hawks | 57-67 OT |
| 05/11/26 | H | Kings (PA) Monarchs | 104-67 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Butler | 60-96 |
| 04/03/26 | H | Holy Cross | 77-82 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Army | 83-77 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Colgate | 70-69 |
| 22/02/26 | H | American University | 61-75 |
| 18/02/26 | A | Holy Cross | 86-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Misericordia | 87-62 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Rider | 75-63 |
| 06/11/26 | A | St. Peters | 58-55 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Northwestern | 60-86 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Maine Black Bears | 74-67 |
| 26/02/26 | H | New Hampshire Wildcats | 65-63 |
| 21/02/26 | A | UMass Lowell | 79-92 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Bryant University | 79-67 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Albany Great Danes | 74-77 |
| 12/02/26 | H | Vermont | 65-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWW | 60% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 79.8 | 94.0 | 58.5 |
| Allowed / game | 64.4 | 53.0 | 81.5 |
| Point differential | +15.4 | +41.0 | -23.0 |
| Avg total | 144.2 | 147.0 | 140.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWW | 75% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LWW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 75% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 70.0 | 75.0 | 68.3 |
| Allowed / game | 66.5 | 63.0 | 67.7 |
| Point differential | +3.5 | +12.0 | +0.7 |
| Avg total | 136.5 | 138.0 | 136.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston University | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 80.0 | 74.5 | +5.5 |
| 2 |  Navy | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 72.0 | 68.2 | +3.8 |
| 3 | Lafayette | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 79.8 | 64.4 | +15.4 |
| 4 |  Army | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.3 | 62.7 | +11.7 |
| 5 |  Lehigh | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.3 | 73.7 | -9.3 |
| 6 |  American University | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.0 | 75.0 | -11.0 |
| 7 |  Loyola Maryland | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 70.2 | 75.5 | -5.2 |
| 8 |  Colgate | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 69.7 | 85.7 | -16.0 |
| 9 |  Bucknell | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 63.3 | 91.0 | -27.7 |
| 10 |  Holy Cross | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 64.0 | 92.7 | -28.7 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UMass Lowell | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 79.2 | 62.8 | +16.5 |
| 2 | Binghamton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 70.0 | 66.5 | +3.5 |
| 3 |  UMBC Retrievers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 77.5 | 75.2 | +2.2 |
| 4 |  Vermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.0 | 67.3 | +2.7 |
| 5 |  Bryant University | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 62.5 | 71.8 | -9.2 |
| 6 |  Maine Black Bears | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 64.2 | 73.5 | -9.2 |
| 7 |  NJIT | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 54.8 | 80.2 | -25.4 |
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