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Pau-Orthez vs Le Mans Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-85
19-18 22-23 23-21 25-23
Position#17
Record3-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#6
Record6-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game84.2
FranceLNBRound 13
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Le Mans
30 Jan 2027
POR v LMA
upcoming
17 Dec 2022
POR89
LMA85
30 Mar 2022
POR87
LMA77
28 Oct 2020
POR90
LMA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Le Mans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Limoges
#15
W
81-62
81
62
+19
92avg 80
H02/10
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
77-92
77
92
-15
69avg 80
A08/10
LNB
Nancy
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
97avg 80
A15/10
LNB
Paris
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 80
H22/10
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
84-89
84
89
-5
79avg 80
H29/10
LNB
Cholet
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
82avg 80
A05/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 80
H19/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
68avg 80
A27/11
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
71-80
71
80
-9
68avg 80
H04/12
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 80
A09/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
15-15
23-12
21-18
16-24
16-26
17-27
28-15
24-22
17-22
18-25
22-19
18-21
22-20
15-17
19-21
25-22
15-22
16-15
28-30
19-24
22-16
20-29
22-24
22-29
25-17
17-20
27-14
19-23
15-21
27-27
18-20
13-11
19-24
20-24
19-21
26-19
17-24
13-17
19-23
163.3Avg total
79.6Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.283.2161.4-5.125%
Season at home (6)80.778.3159.0+2.350%
Season away (6)75.788.2163.8-12.50%
Last 10 (10)79.683.7163.3-4.120%
Last 5 (5)79.885.4165.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.385.2163.5-6.929%
vs Similar (14)81.480.3161.7+1.143%
vs Weaker (2)85.577.5163.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
no box
H15/10
LNB
Aurore
#31
W
74-55
74
55
+19
no box
A18/10
French Cup
Le Portel
#12
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
no box
A23/10
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
100-75
100
75
+25
101avg 83
H29/10
LNB
Paris
#10
L
88-104
88
104
-16
72avg 83
A06/11
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 83
H19/11
LNB
Rueil
#15
W
94-60
94
60
+34
no box
A23/11
French Cup
Monaco
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
75avg 83
H29/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 83
A02/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
74-78
74
78
-4
90avg 83
H10/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
27-13
20-29
17-18
18-16
21-15
17-11
18-13
19-15
18-23
15-6
13-21
29-18
23-25
32-13
16-19
19-33
18-23
32-27
19-21
24-31
26-25
17-15
20-19
21-9
21-18
28-17
24-16
19-25
24-24
17-24
21-17
14-19
23-20
17-21
20-22
20-15
16-27
23-17
15-19
163.5Avg total
83.6Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.584.2170.8+2.250%
Season at home (7)88.984.6173.4+4.343%
Season away (5)83.283.8167.0-0.660%
Last 10 (10)83.679.9163.5+3.740%
Last 5 (5)82.080.0162.0+2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.588.0165.5-10.50%
vs Similar (16)84.084.1168.1-0.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.678.8164.5+6.864%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
Pau-OrthezLe Mans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H02/10
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A08/10
LNB
Nancy
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A15/10
LNB
Paris
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/10
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/10
LNB
Cholet
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A05/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A27/11
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/12
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A09/12
LNB
80.6Avg total
38.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.881.6-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.281.2+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.243.781.9-5.529%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.980.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.681.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.643.180.8-5.521%-
vs Similar (14)41.140.982.1+0.257%-
vs Weaker (2)44.539.083.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H15/10
LNB
Aurore
#31
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A18/10
French Cup
Le Portel
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A23/10
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H29/10
LNB
Paris
#10
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A06/11
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H19/11
LNB
Rueil
#15
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A23/11
French Cup
Monaco
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H29/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A02/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/12
LNB
83.8Avg total
42.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.883.1-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.143.388.4+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)38.140.478.5-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.883.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.684.2-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.046.084.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (16)40.741.382.0-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.340.884.1+2.564%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.7
53.5%
53.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.2
38.2%
35.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.011.6
77.3%
75.2%11.6
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.2
55.5%
53.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.4
36.4%
35.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.917.6
73.6%
75.2%17.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
LLLWLLLLLW
Le Mans
LLLWLLWWWL
#17
League position
#6
-5.6
Net rating
+7.7
107.7
Offensive rating
113.7
113.3
Defensive rating
105.9
55.0%
Effective FG%
55.1%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.39
38.2%
3-point %
36.4%
64.4%
Assist %
71.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 113.7Defence113.3 · 105.9Shooting55.0% · 55.1%3-point %38.2% · 36.4%Ball care19.2% · 18.4%Off. rebounds25.6% · 31.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Le Mans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pau-Orthez wins
1
Le Mans wins
DateGameScore
30/03/22Pau-Orthez v Le Mans87-77
16/10/21Le Mans v Pau-Orthez100-106 OT
01/05/21Le Mans v Pau-Orthez88-78
28/10/20Pau-Orthez v Le Mans90-81 OT
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/22AFos-sur-Mer75-83
04/12/22HNanterre71-80
27/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne79-91
19/11/22HGravelines-Dunkerque91-80
05/11/22ACholet83-93
29/10/22HLe Portel84-89
22/10/22HParis74-79
15/10/22ANancy81-88
08/10/22AJL Bourg77-92
02/10/22HLimoges81-62
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HStrasbourg74-78
02/12/22AGravelines-Dunkerque74-82
29/11/22HMonaco81-90
23/11/22ARueil94-60
19/11/22HJL Bourg87-90
06/11/22AParis88-104
29/10/22HRoanne100-75
23/10/22ALe Portel75-71 OT
18/10/22AAurore74-55
15/10/22HBoulogne-Levallois89-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game78.280.775.7
Allowed / game83.278.388.2
Point differential-5.1+2.3-12.5
Avg total161.4159.0163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Le Mans
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeLWLLL43%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%43%60%
Points / game86.588.983.2
Allowed / game84.284.683.8
Point differential+2.2+4.3-0.6
Avg total170.8173.4167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %25%14%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1311285%91.282.4+8.8
2 Boulogne-Levallois1310377%89.083.0+6.0
3 Dijon129375%92.183.0+9.1
4 Cholet129375%81.478.3+3.1
5 JL Bourg128467%86.787.3-0.7
6 Limoges127558%77.576.6+0.9
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne137654%86.380.6+5.7
8 Le Mans126650%86.584.2+2.2
9 Roanne125742%93.891.0+2.8
10 Nanterre125742%82.382.6-0.2
11 Strasbourg125742%77.879.2-1.4
12 Gravelines-Dunkerque125742%78.482.9-4.5
13 Ada Blois125742%83.892.2-8.4
14 Nancy135838%79.885.8-6.0
15 Fos-sur-Mer134931%77.883.2-5.5
16 Paris134931%87.593.0-5.5
17 Le Portel123925%78.580.1-1.6
18 Pau-Orthez123925%78.283.2-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez1922232589
Le Mans1823212385
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