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Murcia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 96-76
18-19 32-13 26-18 20-26
Position#6
Record11-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.9
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#13
Record8-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game80.5
SpainACBRound 21· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Murcia v Bilbao
28 Mar 2027
MUR v BIL
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
MUR100
BIL81
05 Oct 2024
MUR89
BIL83
03 Feb 2024
MUR96
BIL76
14 May 2023
MUR67
BIL55
31 Jan 2023
MUR90
BIL72
10 Oct 2021
MUR92
BIL87
28 Mar 2021
MUR82
BIL90
19 Nov 2017
MUR82
BIL71
17 Dec 2016
MUR97
BIL71
08 Nov 2015
MUR96
BIL68
08 Mar 2015
MUR91
BIL65
27 Dec 2013
MUR78
BIL77
07 Apr 2013
MUR77
BIL80
26 Feb 2012
MUR73
BIL69
06 Dec 2009
MUR75
BIL80
30 Nov 2008
MUR67
BIL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
79avg 70
A17/12
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
90-75
90
75
+15
92avg 70
A20/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
L
65-88
65
88
-23
54avg 70
H22/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 70
A29/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 70
A06/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
73-61
73
61
+12
61avg 70
H14/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
74avg 70
A20/01
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
78-61
78
61
+17
73avg 70
H23/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
67avg 70
A27/01
ACB
Promitheas
#13
W
90-81
90
81
+9
76avg 70
H30/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
15-18
14-18
23-22
23-17
25-28
26-11
16-19
11-20
16-24
18-25
20-19
13-19
26-21
21-23
27-16
25-21
16-32
17-25
15-20
19-16
17-10
16-25
21-10
16-27
28-17
19-30
17-17
13-11
31-17
16-16
18-17
18-17
11-19
24-16
20-23
26-18
20-16
19-12
25-35
157.5Avg total
79.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.079.9161.9+2.155%
Season at home (9)83.674.1157.7+9.478%
Season away (11)80.784.6165.4-3.936%
Last 10 (10)79.278.3157.5+0.960%
Last 5 (5)78.873.8152.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.885.2157.0-13.525%
vs Similar (9)81.778.8160.4+2.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.075.2160.2+9.875%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
64avg 73
A16/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
80-74
80
74
+6
73avg 73
H22/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
72-78
72
78
-6
252avg 73
A30/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
74-54
74
54
+20
67avg 73
H07/01
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
94-62
94
62
+32
90avg 73
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 73
A13/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
71avg 73
A21/01
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
80-82
80
82
-2
68avg 73
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 73
H27/01
ACB
FC Porto
#12
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
89avg 73
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
18-23
23-17
9-24
22-17
12-23
24-16
22-18
12-24
19-18
21-13
20-23
22-13
24-21
19-12
9-8
20-15
23-17
32-15
19-15
25-19
19-21
12-26
22-21
22-30
16-18
14-28
28-19
18-22
16-23
27-14
19-23
25-19
20-13
16-25
25-26
21-23
17-16
12-23
27-15
159.3Avg total
80.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.880.5158.3-2.640%
Season at home (10)79.476.9156.3+2.560%
Season away (10)76.384.0160.3-7.720%
Last 10 (10)80.978.4159.3+2.550%
Last 5 (5)82.886.6169.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.483.0160.4-5.625%
vs Similar (12)77.578.7156.2-1.258%
vs Weaker (10)83.270.2153.4+13.080%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
MurciaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/12
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H22/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A06/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H14/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/01
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H23/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A27/01
ACB
Promitheas
#13
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H30/01
Champions League
78.4Avg total
40.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.275.9+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.534.573.9+5.067%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.977.9-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.478.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.833.673.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.538.269.8-6.825%-
vs Similar (9)37.138.875.9-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.635.877.4+5.975%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A16/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H22/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A30/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H07/01
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/01
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/01
ACB
FC Porto
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
79.0Avg total
39.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.377.2+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.936.876.6+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)38.039.777.7-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.479.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.880.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.240.878.0-3.538%-
vs Similar (12)40.437.377.8+3.175%-
vs Weaker (10)38.337.675.9+0.740%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.0
52.2%
53.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.0
36.0%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.413.0
74.7%
75.6%13.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.9
50.9%
53.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.4
32.8%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.212.7
69.8%
75.6%12.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLWLWLWLWW
Bilbao
WWLLLWWLWL
#6
League position
#13
+0.7
Net rating
+2.8
106.8
Offensive rating
107.3
106.1
Defensive rating
104.4
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.0%
3-point %
32.8%
62.5%
Assist %
59.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 107.3Defence106.1 · 104.4Shooting52.9% · 50.2%3-point %36.0% · 32.8%Ball care18.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 31.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Murcia wins
4
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Bilbao v Murcia77-68
14/05/23Murcia v Bilbao67-55
21/03/23Bilbao v Murcia67-71
31/01/23Murcia v Bilbao90-72
08/01/23Bilbao v Murcia99-81
23/04/22Bilbao v Murcia78-77
10/10/21Murcia v Bilbao92-87
28/03/21Murcia v Bilbao82-90 OT
15/11/20Bilbao v Murcia63-73
20/05/18Bilbao v Murcia73-82
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24HPromitheas90-81
27/01/24ATenerife73-75
23/01/24HHapoel Holon78-61
20/01/24AGran Canaria80-91
14/01/24HReal Madrid73-61
06/01/24AMoraBanc Andorra73-98
29/12/23AObradoiro CAB87-79
22/12/23HUnicaja65-88
20/12/23ATofas90-75
17/12/23ABreogan83-74
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HFC Porto90-86 OT
27/01/24HBasket Zaragoza86-83
24/01/24AGottingen80-82
21/01/24AReal Madrid80-95
13/01/24AMoraBanc Andorra78-87
10/01/24ABalkan94-62
07/01/24HManresa74-54
30/12/23APalencia72-78
22/12/23HBasquet Girona80-74
16/12/23AGran Canaria75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL55%
HomeWWLLW78%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %55%78%36%
Points / game82.083.680.7
Allowed / game79.974.184.6
Point differential+2.1+9.4-3.9
Avg total161.9157.7165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%67%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %10%11%9%
Bilbao
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game77.879.476.3
Allowed / game80.576.984.0
Point differential-2.6+2.5-7.7
Avg total158.3156.3160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2017385%89.578.5+11.0
2 Unicaja2016480%87.176.3+10.8
3 Barcelona2014670%86.879.9+7.0
4 Gran Canaria2013765%84.781.7+3.0
5 Valencia2012860%80.278.8+1.3
6 Baskonia2012860%86.485.8+0.7
7 Joventut Badalona2112957%82.086.0-4.0
8 Murcia2011955%82.079.9+2.1
9 Tenerife2011955%82.880.7+2.1
10 Manresa2011955%84.383.9+0.5
11 Basket Zaragoza2191243%80.881.8-1.0
12 Bilbao2081240%77.880.5-2.6
13 Basquet Girona2081240%81.885.5-3.7
14 MoraBanc Andorra2071335%83.285.1-1.9
15 Obradoiro CAB2061430%81.184.5-3.4
16 Granada2061430%81.085.9-5.0
17 Breogan2161529%74.279.8-5.6
18 Palencia2131814%77.587.6-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1832262096
Bilbao1913182676
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