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Bilbao vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 93-78
28-18 14-15 28-25 23-20
Position#13
Record8-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game81.2
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#4
Record13-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game78.7
SpainACBRound 22· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bilbao v Valencia
18 Apr 2027
BIL v VAL
upcoming
05 Jun 2026
BIL71
VAL88
02 Jan 2026
BIL72
VAL116
27 Oct 2024
BIL98
VAL103
11 Feb 2024
BIL93
VAL78
09 Oct 2022
BIL71
VAL65
09 Apr 2022
BIL84
VAL78
09 Jan 2021
BIL73
VAL106
12 Nov 2017
BIL77
VAL81
12 Apr 2017
BIL88
VAL75
15 Nov 2015
BIL104
VAL111
01 Jun 2015
BIL70
VAL71
28 May 2015
BIL75
VAL91
11 Jan 2015
BIL82
VAL80
05 Jan 2014
BIL80
VAL83
12 May 2013
BIL61
VAL72
23 Jan 2013
BIL91
VAL76
10 Dec 2011
BIL85
VAL74
22 May 2011
BIL79
VAL75
10 Oct 2010
BIL77
VAL70
27 Dec 2009
BIL79
VAL80
11 Jan 2009
BIL72
VAL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
L
72-78
72
78
-6
252avg 74
A30/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
74-54
74
54
+20
67avg 74
H07/01
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
94-62
94
62
+32
90avg 74
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 74
A13/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
71avg 74
A21/01
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
80-82
80
82
-2
68avg 74
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 74
H27/01
ACB
FC Porto
#12
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
89avg 74
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
68avg 74
A03/02
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
90-63
90
63
+27
94avg 74
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
19-18
21-13
20-23
22-13
24-21
19-12
9-8
20-15
23-17
32-15
19-15
25-19
19-21
12-26
22-21
22-30
16-18
14-28
28-19
18-22
16-23
27-14
19-23
25-19
20-13
16-25
25-26
21-23
17-16
12-23
27-15
19-18
13-32
18-26
26-20
24-23
18-15
34-13
14-12
160.6Avg total
82.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.881.2159.0-3.438%
Season at home (10)79.476.9156.3+2.560%
Season away (11)76.385.1161.4-8.818%
Last 10 (10)82.078.6160.6+3.450%
Last 5 (5)84.482.0166.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.284.4161.7-7.222%
vs Similar (10)78.077.5155.5+0.560%
vs Weaker (11)83.869.5153.4+14.382%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
86-96 OT
86
96
-10
77avg 71
A11/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
88-80
88
80
+8
80avg 71
H14/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
79avg 71
H19/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
85-75
85
75
+10
70avg 71
A21/01
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
77-62
77
62
+15
71avg 71
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
50avg 71
H28/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
64-82
64
82
-18
52avg 71
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
81-66
81
66
+15
80avg 71
A01/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
68avg 71
A04/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
62avg 71
H08/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
16-19
15-23
27-24
24-24
18-23
17-21
29-12
21-19
11-21
29-19
23-13
13-20
23-19
22-20
27-16
16-13
29-16
13-19
19-14
7-19
18-22
17-16
21-26
12-11
18-28
19-22
15-21
20-15
22-15
23-15
16-21
19-19
19-21
22-18
19-18
19-21
20-19
9-20
17-18
154.2Avg total
77.2Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.178.7158.8+1.462%
Season at home (11)79.280.1159.3-0.955%
Season away (10)81.177.2158.3+3.970%
Last 10 (10)77.277.0154.2+0.260%
Last 5 (5)70.477.0147.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.980.2152.1-8.412%
vs Similar (16)79.878.4158.2+1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.877.3162.2+7.567%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
BilbaoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A30/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H07/01
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/01
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/01
ACB
FC Porto
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/02
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
79.3Avg total
39.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.677.5+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.036.976.9+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.378.2-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.079.3-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.741.878.4-5.133%-
vs Similar (10)41.336.878.1+4.580%-
vs Weaker (11)38.637.676.3+1.045%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A11/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H14/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H19/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/01
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H28/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A01/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/02
Euroleague
74.9Avg total
36.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.178.1-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.741.881.5-2.127%-
Last 30 away (15)38.436.374.7+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.074.9-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.838.072.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.039.575.5-3.525%-
vs Similar (16)39.638.377.9+1.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.740.582.2+1.233%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.6
54.6%
53.0%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.9
31.9%
34.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.811.9
70.8%
75.6%11.9
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.6
50.3%
53.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.0
30.7%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.415.2
78.4%
75.6%15.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLWWLLLWWL
Valencia
LWWLLWWWWL
#13
League position
#4
+4.1
Net rating
+0.3
109.4
Offensive rating
104.5
105.3
Defensive rating
104.2
52.0%
Effective FG%
48.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.9%
3-point %
30.7%
58.4%
Assist %
60.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 104.5Defence105.3 · 104.2Shooting52.0% · 48.5%3-point %31.9% · 30.7%Ball care16.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.9% · 29.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bilbao   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bilbao wins
6
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Valencia v Bilbao79-85
22/04/23Valencia v Bilbao95-88
09/10/22Bilbao v Valencia71-65
09/04/22Bilbao v Valencia84-78
20/11/21Valencia v Bilbao100-84
25/04/21Valencia v Bilbao99-90
09/01/21Bilbao v Valencia73-106
11/03/18Valencia v Bilbao87-67
12/11/17Bilbao v Valencia77-81
12/04/17Bilbao v Valencia88-75
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24HBalkan90-63
03/02/24AMurcia76-96
31/01/24HFC Porto90-86 OT
27/01/24HBasket Zaragoza86-83
24/01/24AGottingen80-82
21/01/24AReal Madrid80-95
13/01/24AMoraBanc Andorra78-87
10/01/24ABalkan94-62
07/01/24HManresa74-54
30/12/23APalencia72-78
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HOlympiacos65-78
04/02/24ABarcelona79-76
01/02/24AAlba Berlin81-66
30/01/24ACrvena zvezda64-82
28/01/24HUnicaja63-83
26/01/24ABaskonia77-62
21/01/24ABasket Zaragoza85-75
19/01/24HOlimpia Milano84-72
14/01/24HBreogan88-80
11/01/24AReal Madrid86-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game77.879.476.3
Allowed / game81.276.985.1
Point differential-3.4+2.5-8.8
Avg total159.0156.3161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWLLWL55%
AwayWWLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%55%70%
Points / game80.179.281.1
Allowed / game78.780.177.2
Point differential+1.4-0.9+3.9
Avg total158.8159.3158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2118386%89.678.5+11.1
2 Unicaja2218482%87.576.9+10.6
3 Barcelona2114767%86.379.9+6.5
4 Gran Canaria2214864%83.381.2+2.0
5 Valencia2113862%80.178.7+1.4
6 Tenerife2213959%84.481.4+3.0
7 Murcia2112957%82.779.7+3.0
8 Manresa2112957%84.884.3+0.5
9 Baskonia2112957%86.086.2-0.2
10 Joventut Badalona2112957%82.086.0-4.0
11 Basket Zaragoza2291341%81.682.9-1.3
12 Bilbao2181338%77.881.2-3.4
13 MoraBanc Andorra2281436%83.784.5-0.8
14 Basquet Girona2281436%81.086.1-5.2
15 Granada2161529%81.586.3-4.8
16 Breogan2161529%74.279.8-5.6
17 Obradoiro CAB2261627%80.584.5-4.0
18 Palencia2241818%77.786.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2814282393
Valencia1815252078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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