PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bilbao vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-83
25-19 20-13 16-25 25-26
Position#13
Record7-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game80.3
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#12
Record8-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game82.7
SpainACBRound 20· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bilbao v Basket Zaragoza
13 Dec 2026
BIL v ZAR
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
BIL106
ZAR75
18 May 2025
BIL104
ZAR111
27 Jan 2024
BIL86
ZAR83
01 Apr 2023
BIL81
ZAR68
23 Sep 2021
BIL76
ZAR100
23 Jan 2021
BIL73
ZAR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 71
H09/12
ACB
FC Porto
#12
W
75-72
75
72
+3
72avg 71
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
64avg 71
A16/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
80-74
80
74
+6
73avg 71
H22/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
72-78
72
78
-6
252avg 71
A30/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
74-54
74
54
+20
67avg 71
H07/01
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
94-62
94
62
+32
90avg 71
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 71
A13/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
71avg 71
A21/01
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
80-82
80
82
-2
68avg 71
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
12-18
19-18
15-27
17-23
16-20
27-12
15-17
25-19
18-23
23-17
9-24
22-17
12-23
24-16
22-18
12-24
19-18
21-13
20-23
22-13
24-21
19-12
9-8
20-15
23-17
32-15
19-15
25-19
19-21
12-26
22-21
22-30
16-18
14-28
28-19
18-22
16-23
27-14
19-23
153.9Avg total
77.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.480.3157.7-2.937%
Season at home (9)78.776.2154.9+2.456%
Season away (10)76.384.0160.3-7.720%
Last 10 (10)77.676.3153.9+1.340%
Last 5 (5)81.276.0157.2+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.785.2161.9-8.622%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.277.8156.1+0.458%
vs Weaker (9)82.468.4150.9+14.078%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
W
101-99
101
99
+2
95avg 74
H10/12
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
61avg 74
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Palencia
#18
W
88-80
88
80
+8
73avg 74
A17/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
64avg 74
A22/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
72-76
72
76
-4
63avg 74
H28/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
81-74
81
74
+7
76avg 74
H06/01
ACB
Manisa
#13
W
68-65
68
65
+3
64avg 74
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
84-95
84
95
-11
71avg 74
A13/01
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
72avg 74
H21/01
ACB
Nymburk
#10
L
64-70
64
70
-6
52avg 74
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
27-26
33-31
20-24
10-17
17-18
18-10
24-25
20-18
26-22
20-21
22-19
11-23
16-18
19-8
24-15
18-16
7-15
30-22
17-23
23-13
15-16
22-18
21-27
22-21
14-9
17-22
15-13
17-24
21-26
17-17
29-28
20-13
19-23
20-22
16-27
17-16
16-18
10-19
21-17
155.0Avg total
77.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.682.7164.3-1.142%
Season at home (10)87.583.4170.9+4.160%
Season away (9)75.081.9156.9-6.922%
Last 10 (10)77.277.8155.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)74.477.8152.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.685.0164.6-5.445%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.677.3154.9+0.436%
vs Weaker (5)89.078.4167.4+10.6100%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
BilbaoBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H09/12
ACB
FC Porto
#12
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A16/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H22/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A30/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H07/01
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/01
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
77.7Avg total
38.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.977.9+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.138.178.2+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)38.039.777.7-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)38.039.777.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.880.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.741.779.3-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.538.078.5+2.575%-
vs Weaker (9)38.337.475.8+0.944%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H10/12
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Palencia
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A17/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A22/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H28/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/01
ACB
Manisa
#13
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/01
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/01
ACB
Nymburk
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
72.7Avg total
35.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.377.5-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.038.578.5+1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)36.639.976.6-3.344%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.072.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.872.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.542.681.2-4.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.736.672.3-0.943%-
vs Weaker (5)44.439.483.8+5.080%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.9
48.9%
53.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.4
32.4%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.511.2
67.9%
75.6%11.2
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.2
51.1%
53.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.5
32.9%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.915.3
73.2%
75.6%15.3
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LLLWWLWLWL
Basket Zaragoza
LLLWWLWWLW
#13
League position
#12
+0.7
Net rating
-1.1
102.9
Offensive rating
101.6
102.2
Defensive rating
102.7
48.8%
Effective FG%
50.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.4%
3-point %
32.9%
61.8%
Assist %
52.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 101.6Defence102.2 · 102.7Shooting48.8% · 50.4%3-point %32.4% · 32.9%Ball care17.0% · 18.8%Off. rebounds30.4% · 24.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Bilbao   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bilbao wins
4
Basket Zaragoza wins
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AGottingen80-82
21/01/24AReal Madrid80-95
13/01/24AMoraBanc Andorra78-87
10/01/24ABalkan94-62
07/01/24HManresa74-54
30/12/23APalencia72-78
22/12/23HBasquet Girona80-74
16/12/23AGran Canaria75-83
12/12/23AFC Porto75-72
09/12/23HBreogan68-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24ANymburk64-70
21/01/24HValencia75-85
13/01/24AJoventut Badalona84-95
10/01/24AManisa68-65
06/01/24HBasquet Girona81-74
28/12/23HMoraBanc Andorra72-76
22/12/23ATenerife70-64
17/12/23APalencia88-80
13/12/23AGravelines-Dunkerque69-70
10/12/23HBarcelona101-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL37%
HomeLLLWW56%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%56%20%
Points / game77.478.776.3
Allowed / game80.376.284.0
Point differential-2.9+2.4-7.7
Avg total157.7154.9160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL42%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLWWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%60%22%
Points / game81.687.575.0
Allowed / game82.783.481.9
Point differential-1.1+4.1-6.9
Avg total164.3170.9156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1917289%90.277.4+12.8
2 Unicaja1915479%87.377.1+10.3
3 Barcelona1913668%86.179.2+6.9
4 Valencia1912763%81.178.6+2.4
5 Gran Canaria1912763%83.881.9+1.9
6 Murcia1911858%82.580.2+2.3
7 Baskonia1911858%86.386.1+0.2
8 Tenerife1910953%83.281.1+2.1
9 Manresa1910953%84.484.7-0.3
10 Joventut Badalona1910953%81.486.8-5.4
11 Basket Zaragoza1981142%81.682.7-1.1
12 MoraBanc Andorra1971237%83.485.1-1.7
13 Bilbao1971237%77.480.3-2.9
14 Basquet Girona1971237%81.986.8-4.9
15 Obradoiro CAB1961332%81.284.2-3.0
16 Granada1961332%82.086.2-4.2
17 Breogan1961332%75.280.5-5.3
18 Palencia1931616%76.786.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2520162586
Basket Zaragoza1913252683
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.