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Real Madrid vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 95-80
30-22 18-16 28-14 19-28
Position#1
Record16-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#13
Record7-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game79.5
SpainACBRound 19· WiZink Center
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bilbao
18 Oct 2026
MAD119
BIL84
16 Nov 2025
MAD82
BIL70
30 Mar 2025
MAD88
BIL70
21 Jan 2024
MAD95
BIL80
12 Mar 2023
MAD86
BIL65
07 Nov 2021
MAD95
BIL61
20 May 2021
MAD70
BIL59
13 Feb 2020
MAD93
BIL83
28 Jan 2018
MAD95
BIL65
26 Mar 2017
MAD104
BIL76
10 Apr 2016
MAD102
BIL80
26 Apr 2015
MAD78
BIL52
03 Nov 2013
MAD92
BIL75
04 Oct 2013
MAD100
BIL61
11 Nov 2012
MAD98
BIL84
05 Feb 2012
MAD90
BIL93
01 Feb 2012
MAD89
BIL73
29 May 2011
MAD66
BIL71
27 May 2011
MAD78
BIL67
05 Feb 2011
MAD76
BIL72
14 Feb 2010
MAD80
BIL87
16 Nov 2008
MAD84
BIL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
101-73
101
73
+28
106avg 76
A23/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
77-76
77
76
+1
71avg 76
A28/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
83-74
83
74
+9
81avg 76
H31/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 76
A03/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
117avg 76
H05/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
99-85
99
85
+14
100avg 76
A07/01
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 76
A09/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
96-86 OT
96
86
+10
91avg 76
H11/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
61-73
61
73
-12
58avg 76
A14/01
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
74-98
74
98
-24
61avg 76
A19/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
27-17
26-20
22-18
18-19
15-20
18-18
26-19
20-15
21-19
26-19
16-21
25-21
22-24
15-15
16-23
25-18
13-18
26-25
17-20
35-20
16-23
22-23
26-19
24-18
21-18
19-17
28-18
16-24
19-16
23-15
24-27
16-19
10-17
25-16
10-21
20-33
20-23
14-24
20-18
173.6Avg total
89.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)89.977.2167.1+12.789%
Season at home (9)92.676.3168.9+16.289%
Season away (9)87.278.1165.3+9.189%
Last 10 (10)89.184.5173.6+4.670%
Last 5 (5)84.482.6167.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)86.782.7169.3+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)88.577.3165.8+11.285%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
85-79
85
79
+6
83avg 72
A03/12
ACB
Gottingen
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 72
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 72
H09/12
ACB
FC Porto
#12
W
75-72
75
72
+3
72avg 72
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
64avg 72
A16/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
80-74
80
74
+6
73avg 72
H22/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
72-78
72
78
-6
252avg 72
A30/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
74-54
74
54
+20
67avg 72
H07/01
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
94-62
94
62
+32
90avg 72
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 72
A13/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
24-22
17-20
25-20
20-19
24-26
16-10
15-18
22-13
12-18
19-18
15-27
17-23
16-20
27-12
15-17
25-19
18-23
23-17
9-24
22-17
12-23
24-16
22-18
12-24
19-18
21-13
20-23
22-13
24-21
19-12
9-8
20-15
23-17
32-15
19-15
25-19
19-21
12-26
22-21
151.4Avg total
77.6Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.379.5156.8-2.239%
Season at home (9)78.776.2154.9+2.456%
Season away (9)75.982.8158.7-6.922%
Last 10 (10)77.673.8151.4+3.860%
Last 5 (5)79.671.0150.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.284.0160.2-7.825%
vs Similar (14)76.976.2153.1+0.757%
vs Weaker (8)82.866.8149.5+16.088%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
Real MadridBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A23/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A03/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/01
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H11/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A14/01
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A19/01
Euroleague
80.9Avg total
40.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.437.280.7+6.280%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.734.679.3+10.186%-
Last 30 away (16)42.339.681.9+2.875%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.080.9+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.281.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.740.085.7+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.236.980.1+6.378%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/12
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H09/12
ACB
FC Porto
#12
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A16/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H22/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A30/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H07/01
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/01
ACB
78.3Avg total
39.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.076.7+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.978.0+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.338.175.5-0.853%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.878.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.677.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.640.978.5-3.238%-
vs Similar (14)39.237.376.5+1.971%-
vs Weaker (8)38.936.575.4+2.450%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.5
52.6%
53.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.5
36.5%
34.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.416.2
79.4%
75.6%16.2
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.6
49.7%
53.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.6
71.6%
75.6%12.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LLWWWWLWWW
Bilbao
LWWLWLWLWW
#1
League position
#13
+4.8
Net rating
+4.4
110.2
Offensive rating
104.0
105.4
Defensive rating
99.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.4%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.5%
3-point %
32.5%
65.0%
Assist %
63.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 104.0Defence105.4 · 99.7Shooting53.6% · 49.4%3-point %36.5% · 32.5%Ball care16.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds25.7% · 29.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Bilbao v Real Madrid84-87
12/03/23Real Madrid v Bilbao86-65
27/12/22Bilbao v Real Madrid80-85
13/04/22Bilbao v Real Madrid79-67
07/11/21Real Madrid v Bilbao95-61
20/05/21Real Madrid v Bilbao70-59
04/11/20Bilbao v Real Madrid83-85
13/02/20Real Madrid v Bilbao93-83
28/01/18Real Madrid v Bilbao95-65
05/10/17Bilbao v Real Madrid80-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24AMonaco74-98
14/01/24AMurcia61-73
11/01/24HValencia96-86 OT
09/01/24ABayern92-71
07/01/24ABaskonia99-85
05/01/24HAnadolu Efes130-126 OT
03/01/24ABarcelona78-83
31/12/23HValencia83-74
28/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne77-76
23/12/23AJoventut Badalona101-73
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AMoraBanc Andorra78-87
10/01/24ABalkan94-62
07/01/24HManresa74-54
30/12/23APalencia72-78
22/12/23HBasquet Girona80-74
16/12/23AGran Canaria75-83
12/12/23AFC Porto75-72
09/12/23HBreogan68-76
06/12/23HGottingen75-73
03/12/23AValencia85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWWWL89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %89%89%89%
Points / game89.992.687.2
Allowed / game77.276.378.1
Point differential+12.7+16.2+9.1
Avg total167.1168.9165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL39%
HomeLLLWW56%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%56%22%
Points / game77.378.775.9
Allowed / game79.576.282.8
Point differential-2.2+2.4-6.9
Avg total156.8154.9158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1816289%89.977.2+12.7
2 Unicaja1915479%87.377.1+10.3
3 Barcelona1913668%86.179.2+6.9
4 Valencia1912763%81.178.6+2.4
5 Gran Canaria1912763%83.881.9+1.9
6 Murcia1911858%82.580.2+2.3
7 Baskonia1911858%86.386.1+0.2
8 Tenerife1910953%83.281.1+2.1
9 Manresa1910953%84.484.7-0.3
10 Joventut Badalona1910953%81.486.8-5.4
11 Basket Zaragoza1981142%81.682.7-1.1
12 Bilbao1871139%77.379.5-2.2
13 MoraBanc Andorra1971237%83.485.1-1.7
14 Basquet Girona1971237%81.986.8-4.9
15 Obradoiro CAB1961332%81.284.2-3.0
16 Granada1961332%82.086.2-4.2
17 Breogan1961332%75.280.5-5.3
18 Palencia1931616%76.786.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid3018281995
Bilbao2216142880
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