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Bilbao vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-63
24-23 18-15 34-13 14-12
Position#3
Record10-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game70.4
Bilbao 🏆
vs
Position#35
Record3-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game85.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6· Bilbao Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Bilbao v Balkan
09 Oct 2024
BIL95
BAL55
07 Feb 2024
BIL90
BAL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
80-74
80
74
+6
73avg 73
H22/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
72-78
72
78
-6
252avg 73
A30/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
74-54
74
54
+20
67avg 73
H07/01
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
94-62
94
62
+32
90avg 73
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 73
A13/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
71avg 73
A21/01
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
80-82
80
82
-2
68avg 73
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 73
H27/01
ACB
FC Porto
#12
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
89avg 73
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
68avg 73
A03/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
12-23
24-16
22-18
12-24
19-18
21-13
20-23
22-13
24-21
19-12
9-8
20-15
23-17
32-15
19-15
25-19
19-21
12-26
22-21
22-30
16-18
14-28
28-19
18-22
16-23
27-14
19-23
25-19
20-13
16-25
25-26
21-23
17-16
12-23
27-15
19-18
13-32
18-26
26-20
160.7Avg total
81.0Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.570.4153.9+13.291%
Season at home (5)87.270.4157.6+16.8100%
Season away (6)80.570.3150.8+10.283%
Last 10 (10)81.079.7160.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)82.488.4170.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.284.4161.7-7.222%
vs Similar (11)78.077.5155.5+0.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.270.2153.4+13.080%
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
66avg 69
A29/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
55avg 69
A07/01
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
62-94
62
94
-32
56avg 69
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 69
A13/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
88avg 69
A17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
85-77
85
77
+8
63avg 69
H20/01
NBL
FC Porto
#12
L
80-92
80
92
-12
76avg 69
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
63avg 69
A27/01
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
75-101
75
101
-26
69avg 69
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
97-60
97
60
+37
94avg 69
H03/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
17-17
22-27
27-26
10-20
17-19
10-15
27-15
15-20
17-23
15-32
15-19
23-20
17-29
19-22
19-17
22-19
23-15
24-10
16-23
19-23
24-13
19-16
23-25
19-23
21-30
13-27
27-12
16-24
15-20
29-13
15-15
15-25
24-29
14-24
22-23
27-14
22-20
31-14
17-12
159.1Avg total
78.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.185.3160.4-10.233%
Season at home (5)73.286.4159.6-13.240%
Season away (4)77.584.0161.5-6.525%
Last 10 (10)78.280.9159.1-2.740%
Last 5 (5)82.480.4162.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.982.6158.5-6.738%
vs Similar (5)87.488.2175.6-0.860%
vs Weaker (11)80.073.0153.0+7.064%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
BilbaoBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H22/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A30/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H07/01
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/01
ACB
Gottingen
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/01
ACB
FC Porto
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/02
ACB
78.7Avg total
38.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.777.6+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.936.876.6+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)38.140.378.4-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.278.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.880.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.741.878.4-5.133%-
vs Similar (11)41.337.178.4+4.282%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.337.675.9+0.740%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A29/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/01
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H20/01
NBL
FC Porto
#12
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A27/01
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H03/02
NBL
80.0Avg total
37.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.780.4-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.939.481.3+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)37.142.379.4-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.280.0-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.284.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.942.981.8-4.038%-
vs Similar (5)42.642.685.2+0.060%-
vs Weaker (11)40.538.679.2+1.955%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.4
51.8%
52.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.9
31.6%
33.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.913.3
70.4%
73.0%13.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.9
53.8%
52.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.7
29.9%
33.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.211.2
69.1%
73.0%11.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LWWLLLWWLW
Balkan
WLWLWWLLLL
#3
League position
#35
+1.2
Net rating
-4.0
107.5
Offensive rating
102.5
106.3
Defensive rating
106.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.7%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.6%
3-point %
29.9%
58.4%
Assist %
59.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 102.5Defence106.3 · 106.5Shooting50.2% · 49.8%3-point %31.6% · 29.9%Ball care16.4% · 18.7%Off. rebounds32.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Bilbao   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bilbao wins
0
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
10/01/24Balkan v Bilbao62-94
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24AMurcia76-96
31/01/24HFC Porto90-86 OT
27/01/24HBasket Zaragoza86-83
24/01/24AGottingen80-82
21/01/24AReal Madrid80-95
13/01/24AMoraBanc Andorra78-87
10/01/24ABalkan94-62
07/01/24HManresa74-54
30/12/23APalencia72-78
22/12/23HBasquet Girona80-74
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HBeroe97-60
31/01/24HGottingen75-101
27/01/24AYambol75-72
23/01/24AFC Porto80-92
20/01/24HChernomorets85-77
17/01/24AMinyor85-67
13/01/24ASpartak Pleven78-88
10/01/24HBilbao62-94
07/01/24ARilski Sportist64-69
29/12/23ACherno More81-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%100%83%
Points / game83.587.280.5
Allowed / game70.470.470.3
Point differential+13.2+16.8+10.2
Avg total153.9157.6150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Balkan
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game75.173.277.5
Allowed / game85.386.484.0
Point differential-10.2-13.2-6.5
Avg total160.4159.6161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1211192%92.976.7+16.2
3 Chemnitz1110191%92.273.9+18.3
4 Bilbao1110191%83.570.4+13.2
5 Nymburk129375%82.772.2+10.5
6 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
7 Legia118373%87.279.0+8.2
8 Basket Zaragoza118373%80.976.0+4.9
9 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
10 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
11 FC Porto149564%84.177.5+6.6
12 Varese117464%92.287.3+4.9
13 Manisa138562%75.874.2+1.5
14 Leiden106460%68.268.9-0.7
15 CSM Oradea116555%87.985.2+2.7
16 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
17 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sporting CP94544%86.386.8-0.4
29 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Balkan93633%75.185.3-10.2
35 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2418341490
Balkan2315131263
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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