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Legia vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 111-72
26-20 23-20 36-13 26-19
Position#6
Record5-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game79.9
Legia 🏆
vs
Position#33
Record4-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Bemowo
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Legia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LegiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLegia
Date
Competition
Torun
#12
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
no box
H04/11
Energa Basket Liga
Kataja
#39
W
89-85
89
85
+4
81avg 73
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
57avg 73
A11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Levice
#32
W
74-63
74
63
+11
72avg 73
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lancut
#16
W
87-78
87
78
+9
80avg 73
H18/11
Energa Basket Liga
CSM Oradea
#17
L
74-93
74
93
-19
62avg 73
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
103-86
103
86
+17
93avg 73
A25/11
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
83-81
83
81
+2
76avg 73
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
82avg 73
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
82-98
82
98
-16
74avg 73
H10/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
16-18
16-30
15-13
25-22
16-27
29-20
19-16
12-18
20-24
19-18
18-17
19-14
21-18
12-19
22-12
15-19
29-20
23-15
20-24
33-21
12-24
11-24
18-24
23-26
28-21
16-21
36-18
14-23
23-25
26-14
20-19
26-25
26-34
16-20
22-21
20-24
26-26
17-25
19-23
168.7Avg total
84.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.079.9163.9+4.171%
Season at home (3)83.068.0151.0+15.0100%
Season away (4)84.888.8173.5-4.050%
Last 10 (10)84.284.5168.7-0.360%
Last 5 (5)86.491.6178.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
vs Similar (15)76.574.5150.9+2.053%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.578.5163.0+5.977%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
80avg 75
A04/11
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
99avg 75
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 75
A12/11
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
95-84
95
84
+11
90avg 75
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rytas
#2
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 75
H18/11
LKL
Rostock
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
86avg 75
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 75
H26/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
63-96
63
96
-33
57avg 75
A02/12
LKL
Sporting CP
#29
L
81-91
81
91
-10
83avg 75
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
64-69
64
69
-5
54avg 75
A10/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
24-21
22-23
20-24
25-24
19-23
27-19
16-21
19-21
25-25
18-22
18-18
24-19
24-20
19-19
28-26
24-21
22-21
26-32
17-27
16-25
19-21
25-15
21-25
32-13
21-22
13-19
18-19
15-30
11-20
12-19
25-27
15-16
16-23
15-28
35-24
13-12
19-20
16-12
16-25
167.8Avg total
81.4Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.085.0174.0+4.057%
Season at home (4)85.884.2170.0+1.550%
Season away (3)93.386.0179.3+7.367%
Last 10 (10)81.486.4167.8-5.030%
Last 5 (5)74.683.0157.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.884.3163.1-5.527%
vs Similar (12)83.379.8163.2+3.567%
vs Weaker (2)86.589.0175.5-2.550%
This opponent (Legia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
LegiaJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torun
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H04/11
Energa Basket Liga
Kataja
#39
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Levice
#32
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lancut
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/11
Energa Basket Liga
CSM Oradea
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A25/11
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H10/12
Energa Basket Liga
87.3Avg total
43.1Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.881.4+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.835.976.6+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)42.545.087.5-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.287.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.249.896.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.045.591.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (15)37.838.976.7-1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.240.085.2+5.262%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/11
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A12/11
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rytas
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/11
LKL
Rostock
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H26/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A02/12
LKL
Sporting CP
#29
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A10/12
LKL
80.9Avg total
39.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.881.9-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.941.383.2+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)38.442.380.8-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.380.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.475.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.341.379.6-3.140%-
vs Similar (12)41.241.582.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)44.551.095.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Legia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Legiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Legia: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.3
51.7%
52.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.0
36.8%
33.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.813.5
75.8%
73.0%13.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.618.2
57.6%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.8
40.4%
33.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.111.6
67.8%
73.0%11.6
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Legia
LLWWLWWLWW
Jonava
LLLWLLWLWL
#6
League position
#33
-0.6
Net rating
-7.2
106.8
Offensive rating
107.8
107.5
Defensive rating
115.0
53.3%
Effective FG%
59.0%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
23.8%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.8%
3-point %
40.4%
56.3%
Assist %
69.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 107.8Defence107.5 · 115.0Shooting53.3% · 59.0%3-point %36.8% · 40.4%Ball care17.0% · 23.8%Off. rebounds23.2% · 30.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Legia   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Legia wins
0
Jonava wins
No previous meetings.
Legialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HSlask Wroclaw82-98
06/12/23ABahcesehir Kol.90-100
01/12/23HGTK Gliwice83-81
25/11/23ADabrowa Gornicza103-86
22/11/23ACSM Oradea74-93
18/11/23HLancut87-78
15/11/23HLevice74-63
11/11/23ATrefl Sopot69-77
08/11/23AKataja89-85
04/11/23HTorun91-84 OT
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23ANeptunas64-69
06/12/23HSporting CP81-91
02/12/23AJuventus63-96
26/11/23HJuventus84-73
21/11/23ARostock81-86
18/11/23HRytas89-101
15/11/23AAEK Larnaca95-84
12/11/23AGargzdai80-86
08/11/23HKarhu Basket98-94 OT
04/11/23ALietkabelis79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Legia
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game84.083.084.8
Allowed / game79.968.088.8
Point differential+4.1+15.0-4.0
Avg total163.9151.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game89.085.893.3
Allowed / game85.084.286.0
Point differential+4.0+1.5+7.3
Avg total174.0170.0179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz880100%93.470.9+22.5
2 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
3 Bilbao880100%81.968.0+13.9
4 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.479.1+13.3
5 Basket Zaragoza76186%84.077.3+6.7
6 Nymburk86275%88.877.0+11.8
7 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
8 Gottingen75271%90.381.3+9.0
9 Varese75271%95.491.1+4.3
10 Legia75271%84.079.9+4.1
11 Manisa107370%78.575.5+3.0
12 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
13 Leiden64267%64.059.2+4.8
14 CSM Oradea85362%87.282.4+4.9
15 Gravelines-Dunkerque53260%74.463.0+11.4
16 FC Porto106460%83.177.0+6.1
17 Sporting CP53260%87.283.8+3.4
18 Balkan53260%77.881.0-3.2
19 Jonava74357%89.085.0+4.0
20 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
21 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
22 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
23 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
24 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
25 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
26 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
27 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
28 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
29 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
30 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
31 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
32 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
33 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
34 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
35 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Legia26233626111
Jonava2020131972
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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