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Lietkabelis vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 84-79
16-13 21-24 23-22 24-20
Position#5
Record4-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#8
Record5-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.6
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilis arena (Panev
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Jonava
04 May 2027
LIE v JON
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
LIE65
JON71
15 Mar 2026
LIE91
JON80
23 Sep 2025
LIE101
JON74
16 Jun 2025
LIE92
JON78
11 Jun 2025
LIE83
JON90
13 May 2025
LIE72
JON68
08 Feb 2025
LIE86
JON88
24 Mar 2024
LIE90
JON80
04 Nov 2023
LIE84
JON79
09 Jun 2023
LIE84
JON72
05 Jun 2023
LIE63
JON82
31 May 2023
LIE80
JON89
16 Apr 2023
LIE85
JON72
07 Jan 2023
LIE86
JON84
03 Mar 2022
LIE103
JON71
02 Jan 2022
LIE88
JON69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
100-79
100
79
+21
103avg 77
H30/09
LKL
Buducnost
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
60avg 77
A04/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#12
W
84-66
84
66
+18
86avg 77
H07/10
LKL
Aris
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
82avg 77
H10/10
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
no box
H14/10
LKL
Ulm
#9
L
74-99
74
99
-25
69avg 77
A17/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
73-94
73
94
-21
62avg 77
A22/10
LKL
Trento
#16
L
92-93
92
93
-1
90avg 77
H25/10
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-69
63
69
-6
59avg 77
A29/10
LKL
Gran Canaria
#6
L
77-88
77
88
-11
73avg 77
A01/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
23-18
30-21
19-15
17-17
21-14
12-22
15-23
25-16
20-18
15-20
24-12
23-20
20-16
18-23
23-15
14-19
30-26
20-22
20-17
17-27
25-26
18-18
14-28
21-22
23-27
5-18
24-27
17-17
26-27
21-27
28-22
20-21
9-18
17-18
17-12
15-21
16-17
29-29
17-21
166.3Avg total
82.0Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.385.1171.4+1.157%
Season at home (4)96.885.5182.2+11.2100%
Season away (3)72.384.7157.0-12.30%
Last 10 (10)82.084.3166.3-2.340%
Last 5 (5)75.888.6164.4-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.685.6161.2-10.030%
vs Similar (13)82.282.2164.3+0.054%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.078.1168.1+11.9100%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
83avg 75
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
77avg 75
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
68avg 75
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
93-92
93
92
+1
88avg 75
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-86
69
86
-17
61avg 75
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
104-88
104
88
+16
106avg 75
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
68avg 75
H21/10
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
80-87
80
87
-7
82avg 75
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
88avg 75
H29/10
LKL
Rostock
#5
W
84-65
84
65
+19
84avg 75
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
17-18
20-21
24-19
21-13
23-22
20-22
14-26
26-20
22-26
22-15
15-23
23-29
22-27
19-18
29-18
10-27
15-20
20-22
24-17
18-14
24-27
31-16
31-31
20-19
19-18
18-23
14-23
13-21
22-22
22-18
23-26
21-21
17-23
34-23
16-10
28-14
14-21
21-16
21-14
165.8Avg total
83.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.182.6165.7+0.671%
Season at home (4)84.580.2164.8+4.275%
Season away (3)81.385.7167.0-4.367%
Last 10 (10)83.482.4165.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)85.480.0165.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.283.8161.1-6.625%
vs Similar (13)82.780.5163.2+2.262%
vs Weaker (4)83.081.0164.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
LietkabelisJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H30/09
LKL
Buducnost
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A04/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H07/10
LKL
Aris
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H10/10
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H14/10
LKL
Ulm
#9
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A17/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A22/10
LKL
Trento
#16
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A29/10
LKL
Gran Canaria
#6
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A01/11
Eurocup
82.2Avg total
41.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.883.2-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.843.185.9-0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)39.740.480.1-0.636%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.282.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.682.4-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.742.679.3-5.920%-
vs Similar (13)41.741.583.2+0.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.441.488.9+6.057%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/10
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/10
LKL
Rostock
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
81.9Avg total
39.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.781.5-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.141.981.9-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)39.541.480.9-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.381.9-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.079.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.741.980.6-3.233%-
vs Similar (13)41.441.683.0-0.254%-
vs Weaker (4)37.042.879.8-5.80%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.5
52.0%
55.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.2
36.1%
34.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.316.1
69.1%
73.2%16.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.919.4
59.0%
55.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.5
35.8%
34.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.315.1
70.9%
73.2%15.1
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LLLLLWWWLW
Jonava
WWLLWLWWLW
#5
League position
#8
-3.2
Net rating
+1.1
110.0
Offensive rating
115.0
113.2
Defensive rating
113.9
52.8%
Effective FG%
56.6%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
19.8%
Turnover %
18.4%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.1%
3-point %
35.8%
67.5%
Assist %
74.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 115.0Defence113.2 · 113.9Shooting52.8% · 56.6%3-point %36.1% · 35.8%Ball care19.8% · 18.4%Off. rebounds36.1% · 31.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Lietkabelis wins
2
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
09/06/23Lietkabelis v Jonava84-72
07/06/23Jonava v Lietkabelis55-75
05/06/23Lietkabelis v Jonava63-82
02/06/23Jonava v Lietkabelis87-88
31/05/23Lietkabelis v Jonava80-89
16/04/23Lietkabelis v Jonava85-72
07/01/23Lietkabelis v Jonava86-84
19/11/22Jonava v Lietkabelis88-91
03/03/22Lietkabelis v Jonava103-71
02/01/22Lietkabelis v Jonava88-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23AGran Canaria77-88
29/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas63-69
25/10/23HTrento92-93
22/10/23ARytas73-94
17/10/23AUlm74-99
14/10/23HBC Wolves108-105 OT
10/10/23HAris84-74
07/10/23HGargzdai84-66
04/10/23ABuducnost65-76
30/09/23HNevezis100-79
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HRostock84-65
29/10/23HNeptunas88-77
25/10/23HAEK Larnaca80-87
21/10/23HBC Wolves71-83
18/10/23AKarhu Basket104-88
15/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas69-86
08/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes93-92
02/10/23HSiauliai85-84
26/09/23AStrasbourg78-83
23/09/23AMazeikiai82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game86.396.872.3
Allowed / game85.185.584.7
Point differential+1.1+11.2-12.3
Avg total171.4182.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
Jonava
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game83.184.581.3
Allowed / game82.680.285.7
Point differential+0.6+4.2-4.3
Avg total165.7164.8167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas770100%97.079.7+17.3
2 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%81.166.1+15.0
3 BC Wolves76186%90.175.3+14.9
4 Juventus75271%88.980.7+8.1
5 Jonava75271%83.182.6+0.6
6 Lietkabelis74357%86.385.1+1.1
7 Neptunas72529%87.791.9-4.1
8 Gargzdai72529%77.394.1-16.9
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes82625%89.291.6-2.4
10 Mazeikiai82625%76.985.2-8.4
11 Siauliai71614%78.085.9-7.9
12 Nevezis7070%76.192.0-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1621232484
Jonava1324222079
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