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Gargzdai vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-80
21-19 25-25 22-18 18-18
Position#12
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game93.9
vs
Position#8
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game82.8
LithuaniaLKL· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale (Gargzdai)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Gargzdai v Jonava
13 Mar 2027
GAR v JON
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
GAR v JON
upcoming
02 May 2026
GAR104
JON109
30 Oct 2025
GAR84
JON88
04 Oct 2025
GAR103
JON73
12 Nov 2023
GAR86
JON80
15 Jan 2023
GAR68
JON69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 68
H01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
66-84
66
84
-18
51avg 68
A07/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
61-84
61
84
-23
44avg 68
A12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 68
H16/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
95-93
95
93
+2
92avg 68
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
91avg 68
A22/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
87-97
87
97
-10
77avg 68
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
76-103
76
103
-27
61avg 68
A30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 68
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 68
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
17-26
22-25
20-24
16-25
18-20
20-15
12-24
11-17
22-24
9-17
19-26
23-23
23-25
23-24
28-12
28-24
26-25
23-23
18-21
22-24
33-18
22-15
20-22
16-33
19-25
27-11
25-28
18-23
22-29
13-31
23-20
23-23
14-22
16-29
20-18
15-7
19-30
19-18
13-20
168.9Avg total
80.0Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.893.9170.6-17.125%
Season at home (4)76.895.2172.0-18.525%
Season away (4)76.892.5169.2-15.825%
Last 10 (10)80.088.9168.9-8.930%
Last 5 (5)79.889.2169.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.186.7160.7-12.619%
vs Similar (4)82.285.2167.5-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
68avg 75
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
93-92
93
92
+1
88avg 75
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-86
69
86
-17
61avg 75
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
104-88
104
88
+16
106avg 75
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
68avg 75
H21/10
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
80-87
80
87
-7
82avg 75
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
88avg 75
H29/10
LKL
Rostock
#5
W
84-65
84
65
+19
84avg 75
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
80avg 75
A04/11
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
99avg 75
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
22-26
22-15
15-23
23-29
22-27
19-18
29-18
10-27
15-20
20-22
24-17
18-14
24-27
31-16
31-31
20-19
19-18
18-23
14-23
13-21
22-22
22-18
23-26
21-21
17-23
34-23
16-10
28-14
14-21
21-16
21-14
13-16
24-21
22-23
20-24
25-24
19-23
27-19
16-21
169.1Avg total
85.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.682.8165.4-0.162%
Season at home (4)84.580.2164.8+4.275%
Season away (4)80.885.2166.0-4.550%
Last 10 (10)85.184.0169.1+1.160%
Last 5 (5)85.881.4167.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.783.8161.4-6.125%
vs Similar (13)84.480.9165.3+3.569%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)83.081.0164.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
GargzdaiJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A07/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A22/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
87.4Avg total
40.8Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.443.681.1-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.143.779.8-7.727%-
Last 30 away (15)38.843.582.3-4.720%-
Last 10 (10)40.846.687.4-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.246.887.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.843.680.4-6.819%-
vs Similar (4)41.543.885.2-2.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/10
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/10
LKL
Rostock
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/11
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
82.8Avg total
39.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.781.8-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.842.383.1-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.180.5-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.382.8-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.280.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.541.780.2-3.233%-
vs Similar (13)42.242.084.2+0.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.042.879.8-5.80%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.2
50.1%
55.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.8
32.6%
34.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.715.6
71.9%
73.2%15.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.1
58.8%
55.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.7
36.2%
34.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.115.2
72.0%
73.2%15.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLLLWWWLLL
Jonava
WLWWLLWLWW
#12
League position
#8
-11.2
Net rating
+2.1
102.2
Offensive rating
115.6
113.4
Defensive rating
113.5
49.7%
Effective FG%
56.8%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.6%
3-point %
36.2%
64.3%
Assist %
73.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 115.6Defence113.4 · 113.5Shooting49.7% · 56.8%3-point %32.6% · 36.2%Ball care17.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds25.6% · 31.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
3
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
18/04/23Jonava v Gargzdai67-65
15/01/23Gargzdai v Jonava68-69
28/11/22Jonava v Gargzdai92-85
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HJuventus66-75
06/11/23HNeptunas73-92
30/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes76-103
25/10/23HNeptunas87-97
22/10/23ASiauliai97-79
19/10/23HMazeikiai95-93
16/10/23HNevezis97-84
12/10/23AJuventus61-84
07/10/23ALietkabelis66-84
01/10/23HRytas82-98
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HKarhu Basket98-94 OT
04/11/23ALietkabelis79-84
01/11/23HRostock84-65
29/10/23HNeptunas88-77
25/10/23HAEK Larnaca80-87
21/10/23HBC Wolves71-83
18/10/23AKarhu Basket104-88
15/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas69-86
08/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes93-92
02/10/23HSiauliai85-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL25%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game76.876.876.8
Allowed / game93.995.292.5
Point differential-17.1-18.5-15.8
Avg total170.6172.0169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game82.684.580.8
Allowed / game82.880.285.2
Point differential-0.1+4.2-4.5
Avg total165.4164.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas880100%81.166.2+14.9
2 Rytas98189%93.279.3+13.9
3 BC Wolves87188%88.574.8+13.8
4 Lietkabelis96367%86.684.8+1.8
5 Jonava85362%82.682.8-0.1
6 Juventus95456%86.881.4+5.3
7 Neptunas93633%86.889.9-3.1
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes82625%89.291.6-2.4
9 Mazeikiai82625%76.985.2-8.4
10 Gargzdai82625%76.893.9-17.1
11 Siauliai81712%78.886.2-7.5
12 Nevezis81712%77.891.0-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2125221886
Jonava1925181880
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