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Neptunas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 69-64
12-13 20-19 12-16 25-16
Position#6
Record6-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#8
Record6-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game84.8
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v Jonava
21 Mar 2027
NEP v JON
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
NEP v JON
upcoming
17 May 2026
NEP95
JON89
26 Oct 2025
NEP117
JON113
05 Apr 2025
NEP97
JON98
13 Nov 2024
NEP111
JON110
29 Sep 2024
NEP90
JON87
10 Dec 2023
NEP69
JON64
26 Mar 2023
NEP76
JON70
04 Jan 2023
NEP80
JON85
31 Oct 2022
NEP77
JON93
26 Mar 2022
NEP75
JON78
24 Jan 2022
NEP75
JON87
29 Sep 2021
NEP89
JON74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#9
W
97-87
97
87
+10
97avg 80
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
L
77-88
77
88
-11
61avg 80
A29/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 80
A06/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-80
109
80
+29
112avg 80
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
74avg 80
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 80
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
97-74
97
74
+23
106avg 80
H20/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
80avg 80
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 80
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
75avg 80
A03/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-16
25-19
11-27
28-25
21-21
23-17
23-34
10-16
23-23
22-14
29-16
18-20
26-22
33-20
25-23
25-15
28-28
10-22
20-24
17-19
24-19
12-28
21-21
27-10
19-24
24-14
28-15
26-21
24-21
22-19
16-29
16-23
31-16
21-16
10-22
26-22
24-19
18-26
19-13
25-25
170.7Avg total
88.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.786.8174.5+0.850%
Season at home (5)90.085.4175.4+4.660%
Season away (7)86.087.9173.9-1.943%
Last 10 (10)88.382.4170.7+5.970%
Last 5 (5)86.680.6167.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.995.7179.6-11.811%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.485.5170.9-0.162%
vs Weaker (13)92.582.5175.0+9.985%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Rostock
#5
W
84-65
84
65
+19
84avg 75
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
80avg 75
A04/11
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
99avg 75
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 75
A12/11
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
95-84
95
84
+11
90avg 75
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rytas
#2
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 75
H18/11
LKL
Rostock
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
86avg 75
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 75
H26/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
63-96
63
96
-33
57avg 75
A02/12
LKL
Sporting CP
#29
L
81-91
81
91
-10
83avg 75
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
14-21
21-16
21-14
13-16
24-21
22-23
20-24
25-24
19-23
27-19
16-21
19-21
25-25
18-22
18-18
24-19
24-20
19-19
28-26
24-21
22-21
26-32
17-27
16-25
19-21
25-15
21-25
32-13
21-22
13-19
18-19
15-30
11-20
12-19
25-27
15-16
16-23
15-28
35-24
169.4Avg total
83.4Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.484.8166.2-3.450%
Season at home (6)85.282.5167.7+2.767%
Season away (6)77.787.2164.8-9.533%
Last 10 (10)83.486.0169.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.689.4169.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.983.8162.7-4.931%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.180.8165.9+4.373%
vs Weaker (2)86.589.0175.5-2.550%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
NeptunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#9
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H20/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A03/12
LKL
86.7Avg total
46.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.943.187.0+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.145.587.6-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)45.740.786.4+5.167%-
Last 10 (10)46.340.486.7+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.484.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.047.189.1-5.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.139.581.6+2.662%-
vs Weaker (13)46.442.588.8+3.954%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/11
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A12/11
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rytas
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/11
LKL
Rostock
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H26/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A02/12
LKL
Sporting CP
#29
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
82.2Avg total
40.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.782.1-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.941.383.2+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.142.181.2-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.682.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.480.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.640.579.1-1.944%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.142.484.5-0.355%-
vs Weaker (2)44.551.095.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.922.4
59.1%
55.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.4
37.2%
34.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.1
73.8%
73.2%14.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.518.8
59.7%
55.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.911.0
42.5%
34.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.212.0
65.9%
73.2%12.0
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWLWWLWWLW
Jonava
LLWLLWLWLW
#6
League position
#8
+7.2
Net rating
-3.5
117.6
Offensive rating
110.6
110.5
Defensive rating
114.1
57.8%
Effective FG%
61.5%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.8%
Turnover %
23.5%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.2%
3-point %
42.5%
67.3%
Assist %
69.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 110.6Defence110.5 · 114.1Shooting57.8% · 61.5%3-point %37.2% · 42.5%Ball care17.8% · 23.5%Off. rebounds33.5% · 29.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
7
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Jonava v Neptunas88-77
26/03/23Neptunas v Jonava76-70
01/02/23Jonava v Neptunas83-66
21/01/23Jonava v Neptunas76-75
04/01/23Neptunas v Jonava80-85
31/10/22Neptunas v Jonava77-93
26/03/22Neptunas v Jonava75-78
24/01/22Neptunas v Jonava75-87
16/12/21Jonava v Neptunas64-89
21/10/21Jonava v Neptunas86-92
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23APieno Zvaigzdes86-83
27/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas88-76
23/11/23AJuventus78-92
20/11/23HNevezis97-74
16/11/23HGargzdai84-78
11/11/23ARytas75-93
08/11/23HMazeikiai109-80
06/11/23AGargzdai92-73
29/10/23AJonava77-88
25/10/23AGargzdai97-87
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HSporting CP81-91
02/12/23AJuventus63-96
26/11/23HJuventus84-73
21/11/23ARostock81-86
18/11/23HRytas89-101
15/11/23AAEK Larnaca95-84
12/11/23AGargzdai80-86
08/11/23HKarhu Basket98-94 OT
04/11/23ALietkabelis79-84
01/11/23HRostock84-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%60%43%
Points / game87.790.086.0
Allowed / game86.885.487.9
Point differential+0.8+4.6-1.9
Avg total174.5175.4173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Jonava
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game81.485.277.7
Allowed / game84.882.587.2
Point differential-3.4+2.7-9.5
Avg total166.2167.7164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1311285%91.778.8+12.9
2 BC Wolves1311285%85.576.7+8.8
3 Zalgiris Kaunas1210283%79.869.6+10.2
4 Lietkabelis128467%84.881.8+3.0
5 Juventus138562%87.978.6+9.3
6 Neptunas126650%87.786.8+0.8
7 Jonava126650%81.484.8-3.4
8 Mazeikiai124833%75.382.3-7.0
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes134931%88.391.7-3.4
10 Gargzdai123925%76.791.4-14.8
11 Nevezis1221017%79.990.3-10.4
12 Siauliai121118%78.887.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1220122569
Jonava1319161664
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