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Rostock vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-81
25-16 21-19 15-25 25-21
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game76.9
Rostock 🏆
vs
Position#33
Record4-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6· Stadthalle Rostock
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 75
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
89-94
89
94
-5
83avg 75
A20/10
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
93-65
93
65
+28
90avg 75
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
no box
H29/10
BBL
Jonava
#33
L
65-84
65
84
-19
52avg 75
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 75
A05/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 75
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
85-97
85
97
-12
71avg 75
H10/11
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 75
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 75
A17/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
18-22
20-15
11-17
17-28
25-20
29-23
18-23
12-26
30-12
22-16
29-11
22-17
17-16
21-26
33-34
14-28
21-14
16-21
14-21
22-31
25-24
14-25
16-16
25-25
22-13
27-19
12-16
24-25
26-28
17-23
18-21
22-19
23-21
24-27
29-25
22-22
12-20
21-25
20-18
171.9Avg total
85.2Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.476.9164.3+10.671%
Season at home (3)90.770.7161.3+20.0100%
Season away (4)85.081.5166.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)85.286.7171.9-1.540%
Last 5 (5)84.288.6172.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.192.4172.5-12.330%
vs Similar (8)81.885.9167.6-4.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.982.6175.5+10.373%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#42
W
104-88
104
88
+16
106avg 75
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
68avg 75
H21/10
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
80-87
80
87
-7
82avg 75
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
88avg 75
H29/10
LKL
Rostock
#5
W
84-65
84
65
+19
84avg 75
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
80avg 75
A04/11
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
99avg 75
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 75
A12/11
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
95-84
95
84
+11
90avg 75
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rytas
#2
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 75
H18/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
24-27
31-16
31-31
20-19
19-18
18-23
14-23
13-21
22-22
22-18
23-26
21-21
17-23
34-23
16-10
28-14
14-21
21-16
21-14
13-16
24-21
22-23
20-24
25-24
19-23
27-19
16-21
19-21
25-25
18-22
18-18
24-19
24-20
19-19
28-26
24-21
22-21
26-32
17-27
171.7Avg total
86.8Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.283.6175.8+8.680%
Season at home (3)87.382.0169.3+5.367%
Season away (2)99.586.0185.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.884.9171.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)88.289.8178.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.683.4163.0-3.831%
vs Similar (12)85.480.6166.0+4.875%
vs Weaker (4)86.286.2172.5+0.075%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
RostockJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A20/10
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H29/10
BBL
Jonava
#33
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A05/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H10/11
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/11
BBL
86.1Avg total
42.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.783.8+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.339.783.0+3.669%-
Last 30 away (17)41.143.384.4-2.229%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.586.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.645.690.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.346.486.7-6.120%-
vs Similar (8)43.240.984.1+2.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.038.181.1+4.964%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/10
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/10
LKL
Rostock
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/11
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A12/11
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rytas
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/11
LKL
82.6Avg total
41.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.883.0-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.384.7+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.241.381.6-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.182.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.286.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.740.580.2-0.846%-
vs Similar (12)42.542.184.6+0.458%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.588.5-4.50%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.5
52.2%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.2
33.6%
33.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.514.5
78.4%
73.0%14.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.7
60.1%
52.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.111.1
41.0%
33.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.413.5
69.6%
73.0%13.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWLWLLWWLL
Jonava
LWLWLWWLLW
#5
League position
#33
-0.9
Net rating
+3.5
107.5
Offensive rating
119.0
108.4
Defensive rating
115.6
51.4%
Effective FG%
60.7%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.0%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.6%
3-point %
41.0%
66.0%
Assist %
70.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 119.0Defence108.4 · 115.6Shooting51.4% · 60.7%3-point %33.6% · 41.0%Ball care16.5% · 19.0%Off. rebounds30.0% · 31.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Rostock   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
1
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
01/11/23Jonava v Rostock84-65
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23AChemnitz75-85
15/11/23AKarhu Basket98-92
10/11/23HSyntainics MBC85-97
08/11/23HAEK Larnaca86-73
05/11/23ALudwigsburg77-96
01/11/23AJonava65-84
29/10/23HTubingen108-103 OT
25/10/23HKarhu Basket93-65
20/10/23AOldenburg89-94
18/10/23AAEK Larnaca76-78
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HRytas89-101
15/11/23AAEK Larnaca95-84
12/11/23AGargzdai80-86
08/11/23HKarhu Basket98-94 OT
04/11/23ALietkabelis79-84
01/11/23HRostock84-65
29/10/23HNeptunas88-77
25/10/23HAEK Larnaca80-87
21/10/23HBC Wolves71-83
18/10/23AKarhu Basket104-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game87.490.785.0
Allowed / game76.970.781.5
Point differential+10.6+20.0+3.5
Avg total164.3161.3166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game92.287.399.5
Allowed / game83.682.086.0
Point differential+8.6+5.3+13.5
Avg total175.8169.3185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz550100%91.068.4+22.6
2 Bilbao550100%85.468.0+17.4
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia550100%84.873.2+11.6
5 Basket Zaragoza550100%87.076.8+10.2
6 Balkan330100%84.775.7+9.0
7 Manisa76186%83.075.3+7.7
8 Nymburk54180%90.076.6+13.4
9 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%88.879.2+9.6
10 Jonava54180%92.283.6+8.6
11 Varese54180%97.889.6+8.2
12 Leiden54180%61.454.6+6.8
13 Gottingen54180%91.485.0+6.4
14 Rostock75271%87.476.9+10.6
15 FC Porto75271%86.479.6+6.9
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.357.3+18.0
17 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
18 CSM Oradea53260%88.882.6+6.2
19 Caledonia Gladiators53260%74.479.4-5.0
20 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
21 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
22 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Sabah Baku84450%76.281.9-5.6
25 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
26 Anwil Wloclawek52340%77.067.6+9.4
27 Levice52340%73.277.6-4.4
28 AEK Larnaca52340%77.682.4-4.8
29 Spojnia Stargard52340%77.083.6-6.6
30 Trepca52340%66.676.6-10.0
31 Peja52340%81.693.8-12.2
32 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
33 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
34 BC Kalev/Cramo31233%72.376.7-4.3
35 Keravnos72529%80.982.4-1.6
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Bakken Bears51420%83.286.0-2.8
39 Den Bosch51420%82.686.4-3.8
40 TSU51420%78.285.0-6.8
41 Karhu Basket51420%82.891.8-9.0
42 Mornar Bar51420%72.681.8-9.2
43 Norrkoping51420%67.880.2-12.4
44 Kataja71614%76.385.3-9.0
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu5050%61.683.4-21.8
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2521152586
Jonava1619252181
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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