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Leuven Bears vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 98-63
25-7 22-18 25-15 26-23
Position#7
Record13-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#12
Record13-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game79.8
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Leiden
24 Oct 2026
LEUV67
LEI64
14 Feb 2026
LEUV90
LEI73
29 Mar 2025
LEUV98
LEI63
01 Jun 2022
LEUV82
LEI68
23 Apr 2022
LEUV86
LEI57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
84avg 72
H01/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
56avg 72
H08/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
80-85
80
85
-5
69avg 72
A11/02
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
W
96-77
96
77
+19
100avg 72
H13/02
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
63avg 72
A15/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
70avg 72
H01/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 72
A09/03
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
85avg 72
H12/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
71-76
71
76
-5
54avg 72
A16/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
86-61
86
61
+25
81avg 72
A21/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
23-16
18-21
22-20
13-21
19-22
21-22
21-21
19-26
16-18
21-21
24-20
19-17
28-22
22-14
27-24
23-25
16-17
18-23
14-20
19-19
15-30
31-20
15-22
13-22
15-13
13-16
17-16
20-28
21-24
22-22
27-19
14-12
24-19
13-24
20-21
19-14
25-18
23-10
19-19
158.5Avg total
79.2Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.075.5155.6+4.550%
Season at home (13)82.274.9157.2+7.362%
Season away (13)77.876.2154.0+1.738%
Last 10 (10)79.279.3158.5-0.130%
Last 5 (5)77.077.6154.6-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.588.5164.0-13.00%
vs Similar (13)79.776.4156.1+3.346%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.274.9157.1+7.364%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#5
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
64avg 69
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
77avg 69
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
78-75
78
75
+3
77avg 69
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 69
A07/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
95-81
95
81
+14
101avg 69
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
62-98
62
98
-36
50avg 69
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
74-65
74
65
+9
65avg 69
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
88avg 69
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A21/03
DBL Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-11
17-24
20-18
17-18
21-17
14-22
17-24
16-21
24-15
17-19
28-15
20-20
27-16
21-23
10-16
11-22
16-19
26-14
18-25
30-16
13-18
19-23
33-24
18-26
5-22
21-26
18-24
23-12
25-22
11-14
15-17
21-18
20-18
20-21
26-17
16-13
20-12
14-25
19-27
154.0Avg total
76.5Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.179.8156.9-2.752%
Season at home (13)77.278.5155.8-1.346%
Season away (12)76.981.2158.1-4.258%
Last 10 (10)76.577.5154.0-1.060%
Last 5 (5)77.479.0156.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.881.7155.5-7.933%
vs Similar (7)79.978.1158.0+1.771%
vs Weaker (6)78.575.5154.0+3.067%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Leuven BearsLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H01/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H08/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A11/02
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H13/02
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H01/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A09/03
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H12/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A16/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A21/03
BNXT League
78.2Avg total
38.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.738.878.5+0.945%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.338.078.3+2.353%-
Last 30 away (14)39.139.678.8-0.536%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.878.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.876.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.547.082.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (13)39.840.380.1-0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.336.276.5+4.157%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A07/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A21/03
DBL Cup
73.8Avg total
38.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.576.2+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.736.577.2+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.836.575.3+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.773.8+2.480%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.473.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.140.677.7-3.540%-
vs Similar (7)41.636.377.9+5.371%-
vs Weaker (6)38.031.769.7+6.383%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.1
52.0%
52.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.7
34.8%
34.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.915.9
61.4%
71.9%15.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.3
52.3%
52.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.5
33.8%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws13.79.7
70.8%
71.9%9.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WLLLLLWLLW
Leiden
LWWLWLWWLW
#7
League position
#12
-0.7
Net rating
-1.4
105.8
Offensive rating
105.0
106.5
Defensive rating
106.4
52.1%
Effective FG%
51.7%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.8%
3-point %
33.8%
58.6%
Assist %
71.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 105.0Defence106.5 · 106.4Shooting52.1% · 51.7%3-point %34.8% · 33.8%Ball care17.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds29.6% · 30.1%Free throws0.43 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Leuven Bears wins
3
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
28/09/24Leiden v Leuven Bears78-77
03/06/22Leiden v Leuven Bears81-59
01/06/22Leuven Bears v Leiden82-68
23/04/22Leuven Bears v Leiden86-57
19/03/22Leiden v Leuven Bears95-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25ALimburg86-61
16/03/25AZwolle71-76
12/03/25HMechelen90-93
09/03/25AOostende58-67
01/03/25HDen Bosch80-91
15/02/25ABelfius Mons71-85
13/02/25HKortrijk96-77
11/02/25AKortrijk80-85
08/02/25HKortrijk74-86
01/02/25HCircus Brussels86-72
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25ADonar Groningen69-77
15/03/25HOostende87-74
12/03/25ADonar Groningen74-65
02/03/25ASpirou Charleroi62-98
15/02/25HDen Bosch95-81
07/02/25AOkapi Aalst71-80
02/02/25AZwolle78-75
18/01/25HBelfius Mons85-70
11/01/25AAntwerp Giants69-81
05/01/25AQSTA Utd75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game80.082.277.8
Allowed / game75.574.976.2
Point differential+4.5+7.3+1.7
Avg total155.6157.2154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%46%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW52%
HomeLLWWW46%
AwayLWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%46%58%
Points / game77.177.276.9
Allowed / game79.878.581.2
Point differential-2.7-1.3-4.2
Avg total156.9155.8158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)33% (3)100% (5)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk2722581%96.476.3+20.1
2 Oostende2721678%88.375.8+12.5
3 Mechelen2619773%81.475.4+6.0
4 Limburg2718967%80.575.3+5.3
5 Circus Brussels27171063%77.776.4+1.3
6 Den Bosch27161159%83.181.0+2.0
7 Antwerp Giants27161159%82.080.6+1.4
8 Spirou Charleroi28161257%81.375.4+5.9
9 Belfius Mons28161257%80.778.4+2.2
10 Leiden25131252%77.179.8-2.7
11 Leuven Bears26131350%80.075.5+4.5
12 Okapi Aalst28141450%80.679.5+1.1
13 LWD Basket27131448%80.983.6-2.7
14 Zwolle26101638%80.483.7-3.3
15 Den Helder2891932%73.584.5-11.0
16 Donar Groningen2571828%76.885.8-8.9
17 Feyenoord2772026%79.387.9-8.7
18 BAL Weert2642215%70.084.9-14.8
19 QSTA Utd2632312%78.390.0-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears2522252698
Leiden718152363
← all games of the day
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