PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Chemnitz vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-57
16-15 25-16 21-11 16-15
Position#2
Record10-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#14
Record6-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game68.9
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
95-67
95
67
+28
95avg 80
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
81avg 80
A31/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
85-66
85
66
+19
81avg 80
H06/01
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
88-58
88
58
+30
97avg 80
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 80
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
94avg 80
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 80
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 80
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
99-77
99
77
+22
76avg 80
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
94-90
94
90
+4
90avg 80
A03/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
22-14
29-9
18-18
19-34
26-26
25-20
20-21
14-16
24-14
15-16
32-20
17-13
27-7
24-20
20-18
18-18
20-21
20-10
27-28
23-18
28-22
19-23
19-26
25-23
19-15
16-25
13-23
21-25
16-20
20-18
21-27
21-20
28-19
29-7
21-31
23-26
26-18
19-19
26-27
169.8Avg total
88.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.273.9166.1+18.391%
Season at home (5)98.678.2176.8+20.4100%
Season away (6)86.870.3157.2+16.583%
Last 10 (10)88.881.0169.8+7.870%
Last 5 (5)89.088.2177.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)81.389.0170.3-7.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.173.1162.2+15.993%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#3
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
H20/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#2
L
55-70
55
70
-15
47avg 69
H23/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
78-58
78
58
+20
76avg 69
H06/01
BNXT League
Chemnitz
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
46avg 69
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
75avg 69
A14/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
W
70-58
70
58
+12
no box
H18/01
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
L
72-87 OT
72
87
-15
no box
A21/01
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
77-90
77
90
-13
76avg 69
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
72-64
72
64
+8
65avg 69
H27/01
BNXT League
Varese
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 69
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
12-13
22-15
20-29
13-18
10-11
16-19
16-22
17-14
29-11
12-19
20-14
13-17
7-27
20-24
18-20
22-15
10-14
22-23
22-19
21-12
15-22
13-16
21-8
21-21
10-17
14-21
21-19
27-21
16-24
13-20
21-25
15-13
16-16
23-20
18-15
19-27
27-13
19-18
16-19
144.0Avg total
70.3Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)68.268.9137.1-0.760%
Season at home (5)74.678.4153.0-3.860%
Season away (5)61.859.4121.2+2.460%
Last 10 (10)70.373.7144.0-3.450%
Last 5 (5)74.475.2149.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)67.478.6146.0-11.133%
vs Similar (8)74.270.9145.1+3.475%
vs Weaker (10)83.566.9150.4+16.690%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
ChemnitzLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A31/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/01
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
44-20
44
20
+24
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A03/02
BBL
83.8Avg total
44.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.636.279.8+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.335.881.1+9.587%-
Last 30 away (15)41.936.778.6+5.360%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.583.8+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.287.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.746.088.7-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.735.178.9+8.678%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#3
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H20/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#2
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H23/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H06/01
BNXT League
Chemnitz
#2
L
20-44
20
44
-24
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#12
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A14/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H18/01
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/01
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H27/01
BNXT League
Varese
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
67.3Avg total
33.0Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.034.271.3+2.866%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.134.371.3+2.873%-
Last 30 away (14)37.034.271.2+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.367.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.274.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.939.672.4-6.733%-
vs Similar (8)35.233.969.1+1.462%-
vs Weaker (10)41.631.673.2+10.090%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.0
56.7%
52.2%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
33.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.117.1
71.0%
73.0%17.1
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.120.4
47.3%
52.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.8
36.1%
33.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws12.98.7
67.4%
73.0%8.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWLLWWWWLW
Leiden
WWLLWWLWLL
#2
League position
#14
+9.9
Net rating
-3.1
111.8
Offensive rating
99.0
101.9
Defensive rating
102.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
21.0%
Turnover %
16.3%
39.2%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.4%
3-point %
36.1%
69.0%
Assist %
67.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 99.0Defence101.9 · 102.2Shooting53.5% · 49.6%3-point %32.4% · 36.1%Ball care21.0% · 16.3%Off. rebounds39.2% · 23.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chemnitz wins
0
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
10/01/24Leiden v Chemnitz58-88
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ARostock94-90
27/01/24AHeidelberg99-77
24/01/24AVarese78-90
21/01/24HBayern73-86
17/01/24HCSM Oradea101-98 OT
12/01/24ABonn85-77
10/01/24ALeiden88-58
06/01/24HLudwigsburg85-66
31/12/23AAlba Berlin90-101
26/12/23HCrailsheim Merlins95-67
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HVarese81-77
27/01/24HBAL Weert72-64
24/01/24ACSM Oradea77-90
21/01/24ADen Bosch72-87 OT
18/01/24HDen Bosch70-58
14/01/24AZwolle76-71
10/01/24HChemnitz58-88
06/01/24HFeyenoord78-58
23/12/23HDen Bosch55-70
20/12/23HQSTA Utd64-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%100%83%
Points / game92.298.686.8
Allowed / game73.978.270.3
Point differential+18.3+20.4+16.5
Avg total166.1176.8157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%80%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game68.274.661.8
Allowed / game68.978.459.4
Point differential-0.7-3.8+2.4
Avg total137.1153.0121.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1211192%92.976.7+16.2
3 Chemnitz1110191%92.273.9+18.3
4 Bilbao1110191%83.570.4+13.2
5 Nymburk129375%82.772.2+10.5
6 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
7 Legia118373%87.279.0+8.2
8 Basket Zaragoza118373%80.976.0+4.9
9 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
10 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
11 FC Porto149564%84.177.5+6.6
12 Varese117464%92.287.3+4.9
13 Manisa138562%75.874.2+1.5
14 Leiden106460%68.268.9-0.7
15 CSM Oradea116555%87.985.2+2.7
16 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
17 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sporting CP94544%86.386.8-0.4
29 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Balkan93633%75.185.3-10.2
35 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1625211678
Leiden1516111557
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.