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Leiden vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 92-77
25-26 17-15 24-16 26-20
Position#9
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game74.0
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leiden v Okapi Aalst
17 Oct 2026
LEI92
OKAP77
25 Apr 2026
LEI85
OKAP97
12 Oct 2024
LEI79
OKAP67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#7
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A04/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
H11/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
A20/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
61-77
61
77
-16
H10/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-20
28-16
18-20
10-19
14-19
22-21
20-29
13-24
18-25
24-26
23-14
27-31
17-28
17-24
27-21
17-24
31-31
19-27
23-21
12-18
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
168.6Avg total
82.9Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.574.0142.5-5.550%
Season at home (1)61.077.0138.0-16.00%
Season away (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.985.7168.6-2.840%
Last 5 (5)88.079.8167.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.687.4163.0-11.810%
vs Similar (9)89.286.0175.2+3.256%
vs Weaker (11)82.976.9159.8+6.073%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A04/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
107-103
107
103
+4
H11/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
104-77
104
77
+27
A17/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
98-78
98
78
+20
H19/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
97-85
97
85
+12
A25/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
118-90
118
90
+28
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H03/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#13
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A10/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
17-18
15-27
24-21
32-22
20-24
30-30
25-27
26-21
24-16
21-20
33-20
22-19
35-23
22-16
19-20
31-31
27-19
21-23
18-12
23-29
25-12
22-27
32-24
19-22
22-28
16-25
28-24
27-25
25-16
32-18
34-31
23-17
25-24
26-18
21-28
23-21
19-28
26-16
26-14
185.8Avg total
97.4Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.583.0177.5+11.5100%
Season at home (1)95.087.0182.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)97.488.4185.8+9.080%
Last 5 (5)98.889.4188.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)103.089.0192.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (6)89.396.7186.0-7.317%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)98.484.5182.8+13.991%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.9+3.9
LeidenOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A04/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H11/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
85.0Avg total
41.1Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.883.1-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.344.186.4-1.838%-
Last 30 away (14)37.941.379.2-3.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.985.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.482.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.745.183.8-6.420%-
vs Similar (9)43.443.086.4+0.456%-
vs Weaker (11)39.140.579.6-1.555%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H11/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A17/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H19/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A25/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#13
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A10/10
BNXT League
92.6Avg total
48.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.844.592.4+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.643.993.5+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)45.945.291.1+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)48.344.392.6+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)46.244.490.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.046.084.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (6)44.048.892.8-4.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)48.943.392.2+5.573%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.0
54.3%
53.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.114.9
74.1%
71.1%14.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.022.3
60.3%
53.1%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.6
41.6%
32.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws24.518.9
77.1%
71.1%18.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWWWWLLLLL
Okapi Aalst
WWWLWWWWWL
#9
League position
#3
-1.8
Net rating
+9.5
93.6
Offensive rating
110.2
95.5
Defensive rating
100.7
52.6%
Effective FG%
61.1%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.2%
3-point %
41.6%
61.3%
Assist %
58.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 110.2Defence95.5 · 100.7Shooting52.6% · 61.1%3-point %33.2% · 41.6%Ball care17.0% · 15.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Leiden   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leiden wins
3
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
25/04/26Leiden v Okapi Aalst85-97
01/11/25Okapi Aalst v Leiden108-83
07/02/25Okapi Aalst v Leiden80-71
12/10/24Leiden v Okapi Aalst79-67
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75
25/04/26HOkapi Aalst85-97
20/04/26AAntwerp Giants78-97
17/04/26HAntwerp Giants92-96
11/04/26HKortrijk69-93
04/04/26ADonar Groningen65-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26AMechelen94-79
03/10/26HOostende95-87
09/05/26HLWD Basket118-90
06/05/26ALimburg85-99
02/05/26HRotterdam102-92
25/04/26ALeiden97-85
19/04/26HBelfius Mons98-78
17/04/26ABelfius Mons104-77
11/04/26HDen Bosch107-103
04/04/26AMechelen74-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game68.561.076.0
Allowed / game74.077.071.0
Point differential-5.5-16.0+5.0
Avg total142.5138.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.595.094.0
Allowed / game83.087.079.0
Point differential+11.5+8.0+15.0
Avg total177.5182.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants220100%106.584.5+22.0
2 Brussels Basketball330100%84.065.0+19.0
3 Okapi Aalst220100%94.583.0+11.5
4 Spirou Charleroi32167%84.364.0+20.3
5 Limburg32167%96.087.3+8.7
6 Donar Groningen32167%76.381.3-5.0
7 Den Bosch21150%69.060.0+9.0
8 Leuven Bears21150%73.573.0+0.5
9 Mechelen21150%94.097.0-3.0
10 Leiden21150%68.574.0-5.5
11 Zwolle21150%70.078.5-8.5
12 Oostende31233%83.082.0+1.0
13 Kortrijk2020%91.099.0-8.0
14 Rotterdam3030%67.080.7-13.7
15 CB Liege2020%71.597.5-26.0
16 Belfius Mons2020%61.599.0-37.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2517242692
Okapi Aalst2615162077
← all games of the day
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