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Okapi Aalst vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-71
22-11 19-16 14-26 25-18
Position#13
Record12-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#12
Record10-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game79.8
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Leiden
17 Feb 2027
OKAP v LEI
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
OKAP108
LEI83
07 Feb 2025
OKAP80
LEI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 76
A08/12
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
64-82
64
82
-18
57avg 76
H14/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
66-61
66
61
+5
61avg 76
A21/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
84-83
84
83
+1
74avg 76
H26/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
69-112
69
112
-43
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 76
H11/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
98-90
98
90
+8
97avg 76
A17/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
110-62
110
62
+48
111avg 76
H25/01
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
103-90
103
90
+13
102avg 76
H01/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
9-13
18-18
26-22
23-17
4-21
22-25
15-19
17-14
14-17
13-20
22-10
25-24
24-14
15-20
20-25
15-25
15-30
22-34
17-23
18-17
20-21
17-20
25-19
29-16
31-17
20-22
13-25
28-21
25-24
20-18
25-27
27-18
34-21
23-14
26-9
28-24
19-22
33-20
23-24
165.8Avg total
84.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.578.3161.8+5.260%
Season at home (11)85.878.6164.5+7.264%
Season away (9)80.777.9158.6+2.856%
Last 10 (10)84.781.1165.8+3.680%
Last 5 (5)96.879.8176.6+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.481.4156.8-6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.480.9161.3-0.433%
vs Weaker (12)89.574.4163.9+15.183%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#10
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
84avg 69
A01/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 69
H07/12
BNXT League
Voorburg
#16
W
116-57
116
57
+59
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 69
A14/12
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 69
H21/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
66avg 69
A26/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#5
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
64avg 69
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
77avg 69
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
78-75
78
75
+3
77avg 69
A02/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
21-18
21-22
28-21
8-19
24-23
18-24
19-15
28-14
37-12
23-16
28-15
26-25
18-28
19-20
20-18
18-17
20-21
13-21
15-12
26-19
14-15
17-16
16-19
17-21
21-11
17-24
20-18
17-18
21-17
14-22
17-24
16-21
24-15
17-19
28-15
20-20
27-16
21-23
10-16
157.0Avg total
80.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.979.8156.8-2.950%
Season at home (11)74.778.7153.5-4.036%
Season away (9)79.681.2160.8-1.767%
Last 10 (10)80.976.1157.0+4.860%
Last 5 (5)76.073.8149.8+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.881.3152.2-10.523%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.379.6162.9+3.878%
vs Weaker (6)80.274.5154.7+5.783%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
Okapi AalstLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A08/12
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H14/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H26/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H11/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A17/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H25/01
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H01/02
BNXT League
82.9Avg total
43.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.580.0+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.637.279.8+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)40.439.980.2+0.557%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.782.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)51.840.292.0+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.738.679.2+2.156%-
vs Weaker (12)44.836.981.7+7.867%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H07/12
BNXT League
Voorburg
#16
W
65-26
65
26
+39
A11/12
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A14/12
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/02
BNXT League
78.4Avg total
41.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.576.8+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.936.577.4+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)39.436.676.0+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)41.437.078.4+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.675.2+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.140.877.9-3.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.136.778.8+5.478%-
vs Weaker (6)38.332.270.5+6.283%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.7
55.2%
52.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
34.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.918.3
76.6%
71.9%18.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.6
55.1%
52.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws13.58.3
61.5%
71.9%8.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
WWWWWLWWLW
Leiden
WWLWWLLWLW
#13
League position
#12
+9.2
Net rating
+0.0
112.5
Offensive rating
103.2
103.3
Defensive rating
103.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.7%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.2%
3-point %
33.0%
51.5%
Assist %
66.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 103.2Defence103.3 · 103.2Shooting53.0% · 52.7%3-point %33.2% · 33.0%Ball care17.8% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.1% · 28.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Okapi Aalst wins
1
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Leiden v Okapi Aalst79-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HQSTA Utd103-90
25/01/25HDen Helder110-62
17/01/25ACircus Brussels98-90
11/01/25HBelfius Mons93-80
05/01/25AKortrijk80-77
03/01/25HKortrijk69-112
26/12/24HKortrijk84-83
21/12/24ABAL Weert66-61
14/12/24HLWD Basket64-82
08/12/24AQSTA Utd80-74
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25AZwolle78-75
18/01/25HBelfius Mons85-70
11/01/25AAntwerp Giants69-81
05/01/25AQSTA Utd75-74
26/12/24ADen Bosch73-69
21/12/24HCircus Brussels66-71
14/12/24AOostende83-91
11/12/24AVoorburg116-57
07/12/24HMechelen69-81
01/12/24ALWD Basket95-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %60%64%56%
Points / game83.585.880.7
Allowed / game78.378.677.9
Point differential+5.2+7.2+2.8
Avg total161.8164.5158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%22%
Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWLLLW36%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%36%67%
Points / game76.974.779.6
Allowed / game79.878.781.2
Point differential-3.0-4.0-1.7
Avg total156.8153.5160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)33% (3)100% (5)
Overtime %10%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2018290%92.375.8+16.6
2 Kortrijk1915479%97.279.0+18.2
3 Mechelen2015575%80.474.2+6.2
4 Limburg1913668%80.374.3+6.0
5 Leuven Bears2012860%80.573.6+6.8
6 Okapi Aalst2012860%83.578.3+5.2
7 Circus Brussels2012860%76.576.2+0.3
8 Spirou Charleroi2011955%80.174.4+5.7
9 LWD Basket2011955%81.281.2+0.0
10 Den Bosch21111052%81.780.6+1.0
11 Belfius Mons20101050%80.279.2+1.0
12 Antwerp Giants20101050%78.879.8-0.9
13 Leiden20101050%76.979.8-3.0
14 Zwolle2071335%81.386.5-5.1
15 Donar Groningen1861233%76.984.6-7.7
16 Den Helder2161529%70.383.7-13.4
17 Feyenoord1951426%80.489.7-9.3
18 BAL Weert1921711%67.984.6-16.6
19 QSTA Utd2021810%77.589.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst2219142580
Leiden1116261871
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