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Leiden vs Oostende Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-74
21-18 20-18 20-21 26-17
Position#12
Record12-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game80.0
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#2
Record20-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game75.2
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v Oostende
14 Nov 2026
LEI v OOS
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
LEI98
OOS90
15 Mar 2025
LEI87
OOS74
12 Jun 2024
LEI66
OOS79
01 May 2024
LEI68
OOS86
11 Jun 2023
LEI63
OOS76
18 Mar 2023
LEI80
OOS75
05 Jun 2022
LEI84
OOS82
16 Apr 2022
LEI87
OOS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oostende winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 69
H21/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
66avg 69
A26/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#5
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
64avg 69
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
77avg 69
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
78-75
78
75
+3
77avg 69
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 69
A07/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
95-81
95
81
+14
101avg 69
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
62-98
62
98
-36
50avg 69
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
74-65
74
65
+9
65avg 69
A12/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
20-21
13-21
15-12
26-19
14-15
17-16
16-19
17-21
21-11
17-24
20-18
17-18
21-17
14-22
17-24
16-21
24-15
17-19
28-15
20-20
27-16
21-23
10-16
11-22
16-19
26-14
18-25
30-16
13-18
19-23
33-24
18-26
5-22
21-26
18-24
23-12
25-22
11-14
15-17
151.2Avg total
74.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.780.0156.7-3.450%
Season at home (12)76.478.9155.3-2.542%
Season away (12)76.981.2158.1-4.258%
Last 10 (10)74.876.4151.2-1.660%
Last 5 (5)76.079.8155.8-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.982.4154.3-10.527%
vs Similar (8)81.478.5159.9+2.975%
vs Weaker (5)80.475.2155.6+5.280%
This opponent (Oostende) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OostendeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOostende
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#12
L
71-76
71
76
-5
73avg 81
A22/01
Champions League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
80-77
80
77
+3
68avg 81
A25/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
112-52
112
52
+60
119avg 81
H01/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
72avg 81
A11/02
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
83avg 81
H13/02
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
L
60-79
60
79
-19
49avg 81
A16/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
102-62
102
62
+40
106avg 81
H01/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
76-75
76
75
+1
69avg 81
A04/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
W
67-58
67
58
+9
62avg 81
H09/03
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
65avg 81
A12/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
9-19
22-19
19-18
11-17
21-18
18-16
30-26
31-13
26-13
32-15
23-11
18-21
25-23
17-23
18-14
26-18
24-14
18-14
13-25
17-17
16-25
13-16
14-21
29-24
29-13
18-12
26-13
23-21
15-13
20-22
18-19
22-13
13-15
16-13
16-17
20-23
21-15
18-21
13-15
150.4Avg total
79.9Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.975.2165.1+14.783%
Season at home (13)93.873.7167.5+20.192%
Season away (11)85.377.0162.3+8.373%
Last 10 (10)79.970.5150.4+9.460%
Last 5 (5)75.469.6145.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.098.0180.0-16.00%
vs Similar (5)73.874.6148.4-0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)88.473.8162.2+14.783%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
LeidenOostende
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A07/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A12/03
BNXT League
75.0Avg total
38.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.377.1+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.178.3+4.060%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.576.0+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.236.875.0+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.676.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.540.977.4-4.333%-
vs Similar (8)42.437.479.8+5.075%-
vs Weaker (5)38.433.071.4+5.480%-
This opponent (Oostende) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OostendeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#12
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A22/01
Champions League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A25/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H01/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#7
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A11/02
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#7
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H13/02
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A16/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H01/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H09/03
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A12/03
BNXT League
77.2Avg total
41.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.637.683.1+8.080%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.336.483.8+10.994%-
Last 30 away (14)43.638.982.4+4.764%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.577.2+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.876.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.053.094.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (5)38.238.877.0-0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.736.883.5+9.887%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.4
53.8%
52.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.6
33.3%
34.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws12.98.8
68.2%
71.9%8.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oostendetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oostende: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.0
56.7%
52.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.7
29.9%
34.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws26.218.8
71.8%
71.9%18.8
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WLWLWWLWWL
Oostende
LWWWLWLWWL
#12
League position
#2
-4.3
Net rating
+12.5
104.1
Offensive rating
107.2
108.5
Defensive rating
94.7
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.1%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.45
33.3%
3-point %
29.9%
66.2%
Assist %
67.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 107.2Defence108.5 · 94.7Shooting52.4% · 52.1%3-point %33.3% · 29.9%Ball care19.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds30.3% · 29.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Leiden   ■ Oostende
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Leiden wins
7
Oostende wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Oostende v Leiden91-83
12/06/24Leiden v Oostende66-79
10/06/24Oostende v Leiden85-58
01/05/24Leiden v Oostende68-86
16/03/24Oostende v Leiden75-68
13/06/23Oostende v Leiden80-91
11/06/23Leiden v Oostende63-76
09/06/23Oostende v Leiden66-79
08/04/23Oostende v Leiden81-56
18/03/23Leiden v Oostende80-75
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25ADonar Groningen74-65
02/03/25ASpirou Charleroi62-98
15/02/25HDen Bosch95-81
07/02/25AOkapi Aalst71-80
02/02/25AZwolle78-75
18/01/25HBelfius Mons85-70
11/01/25AAntwerp Giants69-81
05/01/25AQSTA Utd75-74
26/12/24ADen Bosch73-69
21/12/24HCircus Brussels66-71
Oostendelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25AAntwerp Giants72-74
09/03/25HLeuven Bears67-58
04/03/25AFeyenoord76-75
01/03/25HFeyenoord102-62
16/02/25AZwolle60-79
13/02/25HAntwerp Giants81-71
11/02/25AAntwerp Giants78-81
01/02/25HBAL Weert112-52
25/01/25ASpirou Charleroi80-77
22/01/25ANanterre71-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLLLWW42%
AwayLWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%42%58%
Points / game76.776.476.9
Allowed / game80.078.981.2
Point differential-3.4-2.5-4.2
Avg total156.7155.3158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)33% (3)100% (5)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Oostende
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL83%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %83%92%73%
Points / game89.993.885.3
Allowed / game75.273.777.0
Point differential+14.7+20.1+8.3
Avg total165.1167.5162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%77%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk2420483%96.476.1+20.3
2 Oostende2420483%89.975.2+14.7
3 Mechelen2418675%81.375.1+6.2
4 Limburg2417771%81.274.7+6.5
5 Circus Brussels2415962%77.976.5+1.4
6 Spirou Charleroi24141058%80.774.2+6.5
7 Den Bosch26151158%82.981.1+1.8
8 Antwerp Giants23131057%80.679.3+1.2
9 Okapi Aalst24131154%81.879.1+2.7
10 Belfius Mons24131154%80.678.3+2.3
11 Leuven Bears24121250%80.276.1+4.0
12 Leiden24121250%76.780.0-3.4
13 LWD Basket25121348%80.884.1-3.3
14 Zwolle2481633%79.984.0-4.0
15 Donar Groningen2371630%76.285.3-9.1
16 Den Helder2471729%71.383.6-12.3
17 Feyenoord2671927%79.588.2-8.8
18 BAL Weert2542116%70.284.5-14.3
19 QSTA Utd2432112%77.789.1-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2120202687
Oostende1818211774
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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