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Leuven Bears vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 71-63
17-18 22-16 18-20 14-9
Position#11
Record8-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game79.0
Leuven Bears 🏆
vs
Okapi Aalst
Position#16
Record6-17
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game81.7
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2023-24
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst
17 Jan 2027
LEUV v OKAP
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
LEUV90
OKAP106
26 Apr 2025
LEUV90
OKAP75
27 Mar 2024
LEUV71
OKAP63
14 Nov 2023
LEUV84
OKAP60
15 May 2023
LEUV101
OKAP65
07 Jan 2023
LEUV88
OKAP69
25 May 2022
LEUV74
OKAP66
07 Jan 2022
LEUV103
OKAP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Limburg
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 66
A19/01
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#1
L
47-71
47
71
-24
32avg 66
H21/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
85-69
85
69
+16
92avg 66
H25/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
75avg 66
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
56-85
56
85
-29
43avg 66
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 66
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 66
A17/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 66
H08/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 66
H16/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 66
A23/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
23-23
17-12
13-19
12-13
15-24
9-18
11-16
17-15
22-17
24-27
22-10
13-28
19-15
21-22
25-17
22-22
2-17
13-26
19-20
24-17
17-20
25-23
7-27
19-14
22-20
24-20
21-22
23-18
18-19
24-21
15-17
24-23
26-12
28-20
20-24
27-24
19-15
15-18
19-18
152.3Avg total
74.7Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.779.0154.7-3.335%
Season at home (12)76.378.8155.1-2.442%
Season away (11)75.079.4154.4-4.427%
Last 10 (10)74.777.6152.3-2.950%
Last 5 (5)83.478.4161.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.083.4149.4-17.40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.476.3152.7+0.140%
vs Weaker (7)82.174.6156.7+7.671%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Liege
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
48avg 68
A05/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
64avg 68
H12/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
64avg 68
A26/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
81avg 68
A04/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
86-63
86
63
+23
71avg 68
H10/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
68avg 68
A14/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 68
H17/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
77-64
77
64
+13
74avg 68
A06/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 68
H16/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
81-69
81
69
+12
79avg 68
A23/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
23-11
13-21
10-25
15-24
15-23
32-17
20-16
24-17
17-13
10-29
17-18
21-20
24-21
21-11
17-24
23-19
23-13
24-15
16-16
24-17
16-18
12-17
16-23
14-19
20-22
20-24
22-21
15-23
16-23
26-10
20-8
25-22
22-19
22-9
11-25
21-17
22-19
15-18
23-15
150.9Avg total
76.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.381.7157.9-5.426%
Season at home (11)78.781.1159.8-2.427%
Season away (12)74.082.2156.2-8.225%
Last 10 (10)76.374.6150.9+1.760%
Last 5 (5)76.473.8150.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.483.2156.7-9.817%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.883.2160.1-6.425%
vs Weaker (6)88.374.2162.5+14.283%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
Leuven BearsOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A19/01
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#1
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H21/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H25/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H16/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/03
BNXT League
75.4Avg total
37.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.338.275.5-0.852%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.337.776.9+1.667%-
Last 30 away (14)35.338.774.0-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.975.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.480.2+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.840.473.1-7.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.237.976.1+0.353%-
vs Weaker (6)41.336.077.3+5.383%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liege
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A05/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H12/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A26/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A04/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H17/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A06/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H16/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A23/03
BNXT League
78.0Avg total
39.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.081.6-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.039.381.3+2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.242.882.0-3.647%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.478.0+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.878.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.241.078.2-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.341.884.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker (6)44.039.783.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.3
52.9%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.4
33.0%
33.1%19.2
🏀 Free throws22.616.3
72.1%
71.4%16.3
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.2
51.2%
52.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.5
37.3%
33.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.414.2
69.6%
71.4%14.2
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WWWWLLLWLL
Okapi Aalst
WWWLLWWLWL
#11
League position
#16
-4.0
Net rating
+1.5
103.3
Offensive rating
103.6
107.3
Defensive rating
102.1
51.7%
Effective FG%
52.9%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
22.1%
Turnover %
20.7%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.0%
3-point %
37.3%
64.6%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 103.6Defence107.3 · 102.1Shooting51.7% · 52.9%3-point %33.0% · 37.3%Ball care22.1% · 20.7%Off. rebounds30.2% · 26.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Leuven Bears wins
3
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears76-86
14/11/23Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst84-60
15/05/23Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst101-65
12/05/23Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears81-75
07/01/23Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst88-69
22/10/22Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears83-74
25/05/22Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst74-66
21/05/22Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears71-73
07/01/22Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst103-73
23/10/21Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears68-57
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AFeyenoord80-75
16/03/24HDen Helder98-79
08/03/24HCircus Brussels80-75
17/02/24AOkapi Aalst86-76
14/02/24HLimburg73-87
10/02/24HOostende56-85
02/02/24ASpirou Charleroi78-82
25/01/24HBelfius Mons85-69
21/01/24HLimburg47-71
19/01/24ALimburg64-77
Okapi Aalstlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24ADen Helder81-69
16/03/24HQSTA Utd80-75
06/03/24AFeyenoord77-64
17/02/24HLeuven Bears76-86
14/02/24ASpirou Charleroi68-75
10/02/24HKortrijk86-63
04/02/24ACircus Brussels83-76
26/01/24ALimburg68-77
12/01/24HMechelen82-80
05/01/24ALiege62-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW35%
HomeWLLWW42%
AwayLLLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %35%42%27%
Points / game75.776.375.0
Allowed / game79.078.879.4
Point differential-3.3-2.4-4.4
Avg total154.7155.1154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW26%
HomeLWWLW27%
AwayLWLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %26%27%25%
Points / game76.378.774.0
Allowed / game81.781.182.2
Point differential-5.4-2.4-8.2
Avg total157.9159.8156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%9%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2321291%80.770.8+9.8
2 Den Bosch1916384%81.269.8+11.3
3 Antwerp Giants2317674%82.072.4+9.6
4 Leiden1914574%77.369.1+8.2
5 Limburg2316770%76.671.3+5.3
6 Zwolle1912763%75.969.0+6.9
7 Liege23131057%79.278.4+0.7
8 Donar Groningen1910953%72.069.4+2.6
9 Spirou Charleroi23121152%72.874.8-2.0
10 Circus Brussels23111248%78.877.1+1.7
11 BAL Weert1991047%71.173.9-2.8
12 Mechelen23101343%75.977.6-1.7
13 Kortrijk24101442%78.079.7-1.7
14 Leuven Bears2381535%75.779.0-3.3
15 Feyenoord1961332%72.480.6-8.2
16 Belfius Mons2371630%76.482.4-6.0
17 LWD Basket1951426%77.684.0-6.4
18 QSTA Utd1951426%73.380.1-6.8
19 Okapi Aalst2361726%76.381.7-5.4
20 Den Helder2051525%67.279.9-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears1722181471
Okapi Aalst181620963
← all games of the day
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