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Leuven Bears vs Zwolle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 104-77
25-23 26-22 25-19 28-13
Position#7
Record10-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#15
Record7-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game85.7
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Zwolle
24 Apr 2027
LEUV v ZWO
upcoming
06 May 2026
LEUV69
ZWO61
18 Jan 2025
LEUV104
ZWO77
26 Mar 2022
LEUV87
ZWO61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 71
A13/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
81-97
81
97
-16
70avg 71
A16/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 71
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
60-70
60
70
-10
52avg 71
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
93-85
93
85
+8
99avg 71
A15/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 71
H20/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
74-57
74
57
+17
69avg 71
H26/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A03/01
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H05/01
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#16
W
91-65
91
65
+26
88avg 71
A11/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
24-23
15-12
18-21
29-31
15-26
22-17
15-23
14-24
20-20
17-7
22-18
21-15
12-21
12-19
15-15
26-23
26-18
14-17
27-27
13-18
20-18
25-24
32-25
21-10
16-15
21-15
16-17
19-24
17-15
30-18
20-25
17-17
28-15
11-26
22-15
19-14
19-12
20-21
33-18
156.7Avg total
80.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.073.0152.0+6.059%
Season at home (8)79.469.4148.8+10.075%
Season away (9)78.776.2154.9+2.444%
Last 10 (10)80.276.5156.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)83.872.4156.2+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.084.7154.7-14.70%
vs Similar (8)75.877.8153.5-2.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)81.669.7151.3+11.983%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 69
H17/11
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
83-75
83
75
+8
77avg 69
H28/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
66avg 69
A01/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
94-96
94
96
-2
89avg 69
A08/12
BNXT League
US Basketball Amsterdam
#13
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Kortrijk
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
58avg 69
H15/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
65-83
65
83
-18
43avg 69
H22/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
98-84
98
84
+14
95avg 69
H27/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
L
69-88
69
88
-19
no box
A04/01
DBL Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
64avg 69
H12/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
17-16
24-20
20-24
15-20
26-19
24-18
18-18
23-27
14-24
13-21
29-19
20-27
25-20
26-26
23-23
–
–
–
–
21-14
19-28
12-21
19-26
13-22
13-26
21-22
18-13
19-25
23-18
26-22
30-19
16-25
21-20
16-25
16-18
18-10
20-22
5-23
26-20
163.2Avg total
80.0Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.885.7167.5-3.941%
Season at home (10)81.181.8162.9-0.750%
Season away (7)82.791.3174.0-8.629%
Last 10 (10)80.083.2163.2-3.230%
Last 5 (5)74.483.8158.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.184.1157.2-11.17%
vs Similar (7)75.084.4159.4-9.429%
vs Weaker (7)90.178.3168.4+11.986%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
Leuven BearsZwolle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A13/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A16/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A15/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H26/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/01
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H05/01
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#16
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A11/01
BNXT League
78.0Avg total
39.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.537.977.4+1.652%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.234.975.2+5.362%-
Last 30 away (16)38.940.379.2-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.578.0+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.831.669.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.048.785.7-11.70%-
vs Similar (8)38.042.080.0-4.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.634.374.9+6.372%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H17/11
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A01/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A08/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H15/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H22/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H27/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/01
DBL Cup
Mechelen
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
BNXT League
80.3Avg total
37.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.842.780.5-4.924%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.640.680.2-0.936%-
Last 30 away (15)36.144.780.8-8.713%-
Last 10 (9)37.742.780.3-5.022%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.078.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.643.279.8-6.613%-
vs Similar (7)35.343.378.6-8.014%-
vs Weaker (7)42.941.184.0+1.757%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
52.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.2
34.2%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.614.0
61.9%
71.9%14.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.4
53.3%
52.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.2
31.8%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
71.9%12.8
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WWWWWWLWLL
Zwolle
LLWLLWLLWL
#7
League position
#15
+1.2
Net rating
-9.7
103.1
Offensive rating
105.6
101.9
Defensive rating
115.3
51.7%
Effective FG%
51.0%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
20.7%
Turnover %
15.3%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
31.8%
63.0%
Assist %
57.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 105.6Defence101.9 · 115.3Shooting51.7% · 51.0%3-point %34.2% · 31.8%Ball care20.7% · 15.3%Off. rebounds32.1% · 23.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Zwolle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Leuven Bears wins
0
Zwolle wins
DateGameScore
29/04/22Zwolle v Leuven Bears57-82
26/03/22Leuven Bears v Zwolle87-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ADen Helder91-65
05/01/25HMechelen78-73
03/01/25AMechelen86-82
26/12/24HBAL Weert74-57
20/12/24HQSTA Utd90-85
15/12/24AFeyenoord93-85
07/12/24HBelfius Mons60-70
01/12/24HSpirou Charleroi73-69
16/11/24ALWD Basket81-97
13/11/24ADen Bosch76-82
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HMechelen69-75
04/01/25ADen Bosch69-88
27/12/24HFeyenoord98-84
22/12/24HDonar Groningen65-83
15/12/24HKortrijk71-89
11/12/24AUS Basketball Amsterdam95-70
08/12/24ADen Bosch94-96
01/12/24ADen Helder79-91
28/11/24HQSTA Utd83-75
17/11/24HAntwerp Giants77-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%75%44%
Points / game79.079.478.7
Allowed / game73.069.476.2
Point differential+6.0+10.0+2.4
Avg total152.0148.8154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zwolle
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %41%50%29%
Points / game81.881.182.7
Allowed / game85.781.891.3
Point differential-3.9-0.7-8.6
Avg total167.5162.9174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1715288%91.677.1+14.5
2 Kortrijk1814478%97.479.1+18.3
3 Limburg1712571%82.173.9+8.1
4 Mechelen1712571%80.675.0+5.6
5 LWD Basket1811761%82.280.6+1.6
6 Circus Brussels1811761%76.475.8+0.6
7 Leuven Bears1710759%79.073.0+6.0
8 Spirou Charleroi169756%80.474.2+6.2
9 Antwerp Giants169756%79.179.2-0.1
10 Okapi Aalst1810856%80.978.6+2.4
11 Leiden1991047%76.880.1-3.3
12 Belfius Mons178947%79.979.6+0.4
13 Den Bosch167944%79.681.8-2.2
14 Zwolle1771041%81.885.7-3.9
15 Donar Groningen1651131%75.284.0-8.8
16 Feyenoord1751229%81.089.2-8.2
17 Den Helder1851328%71.283.9-12.7
18 QSTA Utd1721512%77.387.8-10.5
19 BAL Weert1721512%68.883.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears25262528104
Zwolle2322191377
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