Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Oct 2014

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 80-72

17-15 22-14 15-25 26-18

Position#15

Record3-1

FormLWWLW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game74.8

Libertad 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#12

Record3-2

FormWLLLL

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game67.2

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Libertad v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

68-82

-14

H27/04

Liga A

Argentino

61-87

-26

A30/04

Liga A

Argentino

63-100

100

-37

A01/05

Liga A

Malvin

66-72

-6

H30/09

South American League

Colegio La Salle

#16

86-60

+26

A01/10

South American League

Mogi

58-68

-10

A02/10

South American League

La Union

#11

72-71

H07/10

Liga A

La Union

#11

92-74

+18

H08/10

Liga A

San Martin

68-71

-3

A16/10

Liga A

Regatas

85-83

A18/10

Liga A

23-19

14-25

18-21

13-17

11-20

17-28

23-19

10-20

11-24

9-23

25-31

18-22

14-17

20-19

15-17

17-19

18-21

20-10

22-18

26-11

13-22

15-17

19-13

11-16

10-13

21-26

20-15

21-17

19-17

17-23

21-12

35-22

8-15

20-14

14-18

26-24

23-20

17-18

23-21

22-24

148.7Avg total

71.9Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	79.2	74.8	154.0	+4.5	75%
Season at home (2)	82.0	72.5	154.5	+9.5	100%
Season away (2)	76.5	77.0	153.5	-0.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	76.8	148.7	-4.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	73.4	148.4	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	80.8	90.0	170.8	-9.2	50%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	75.6	77.3	152.9	-1.8	52%
vs Weaker (3)	86.7	69.3	156.0	+17.3	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

51-77

-26

H21/05

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#10

71-79

-8

A25/05

ACB

Sionista

#16

71-62

A02/10

Liga A

Sionista

#16

94-86 OT

H05/10

Liga A

Gipuzkoa

#17

91-74

+17

H05/10

ACB

Atenas

80-54

+26

H09/10

Liga A

Joventut Badalona

60-65

-5

A12/10

ACB

Regatas

71-77

-6

H15/10

Liga A

Atenas

52-57

-5

A18/10

Liga A

Tenerife

#11

66-79

-13

H19/10

ACB

20-14

10-25

11-17

10-21

20-23

16-21

17-23

18-12

18-18

14-18

22-10

17-16

26-18

19-19

19-16

14-25

22-27

25-8

22-27

22-12

23-11

12-12

29-15

16-16

14-19

14-7

12-18

20-21

17-19

14-20

24-15

16-23

10-13

15-4

16-22

11-18

13-20

15-15

16-18

22-26

141.7Avg total

70.7Scored

71.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	73.6	67.2	140.8	+6.4	60%
Season at home (3)	81.7	72.3	154.0	+9.3	67%
Season away (2)	61.5	59.5	121.0	+2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	70.7	71.0	141.7	-0.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	65.8	66.4	132.2	-0.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	73.1	82.0	155.1	-8.9	11%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	80.3	73.9	154.2	+6.4	72%
vs Weaker (3)	80.7	72.7	153.3	+8.0	67%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.9	36.9	+1.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	18.8	33.8	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	17.4	32.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.5	23.0	45.5	-0.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.9	41.2	+1.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.1	38.1	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	16.4	31.8	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.7	21.6	40.2	-2.9	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.0	16.7	40.7	+7.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.9	37.5	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	18.9	34.8	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	20.8	36.8	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.0	20.5	38.6	-2.5	35%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.7	13.7	30.3	+3.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	17.2	34.9	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.9	16.5	33.4	+0.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	14.9	30.3	+0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	11.6	25.6	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.3	19.3	34.7	-4.0	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.5	16.3	34.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	16.0	36.3	+4.3	67%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

37-44

-7

H27/04

Liga A

Argentino

28-48

-20

A30/04

Liga A

Argentino

20-47

-27

A01/05

Liga A

Malvin

34-36

-2

H30/09

South American League

Colegio La Salle

#16

38-31

A01/10

South American League

Mogi

28-39

-11

A02/10

South American League

La Union

#11

31-39

-8

H07/10

Liga A

La Union

#11

36-40

-4

H08/10

Liga A

San Martin

28-29

-1

A16/10

Liga A

Regatas

40-38

A18/10

Liga A

71.1Avg total

32.0Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	38.8	74.7	-2.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.7	38.9	77.6	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.5	38.7	72.2	-5.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.0	39.1	71.1	-7.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	37.0	69.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.5	43.8	82.2	-5.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	35.7	38.5	74.2	-2.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	34.0	34.3	68.3	-0.3	33%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

30-39

-9

H21/05

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#10

36-44

-8

A25/05

ACB

Sionista

#16

32-36

-4

A02/10

Liga A

Sionista

#16

45-37

H05/10

Liga A

Gipuzkoa

#17

47-35

+12

H05/10

ACB

Atenas

35-23

+12

H09/10

Liga A

Joventut Badalona

28-26

A12/10

ACB

Regatas

31-39

-8

H15/10

Liga A

Atenas

25-17

A18/10

Liga A

Tenerife

#11

28-35

-7

H19/10

ACB

66.8Avg total

33.7Scored

33.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	36.7	74.7	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	36.4	74.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.8	37.0	74.8	+0.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	33.1	66.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	28.0	57.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	34.0	40.9	74.9	-6.9	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.0	35.2	74.2	+3.8	72%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.3	32.7	77.0	+11.7	100%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	15.8	35.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	22.8	43.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.0	16.0	42.0	+10.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	19.5	37.3	-1.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.6	20.6	41.1	+0.0	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.3	18.1	37.3	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	18.7	35.7	-1.7	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	20.5	38.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.3	35%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	15.7	36.7	+5.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	21.1	41.1	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	18.4	37.2	+0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	19.0	35.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.8	37.8	-3.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.6	20.6	39.1	-2.0	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	21.3	40.7	-2.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	38.7	79.1	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	36.1	75.2	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.5	41.1	82.6	+0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	37.7	77.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	36.4	78.8	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.8	43.2	82.0	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	39.8	38.9	78.7	+1.0	48%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.0	31.7	78.7	+15.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	38.7	77.6	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	39.4	80.3	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	37.9	74.5	-1.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	37.1	72.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	38.4	74.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.1	41.1	80.2	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.3	37.2	76.5	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.3	40.0	76.3	-3.7	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
06/04/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	79-63
29/01/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	64-73
25/11/13	Libertad v Estudiantes	83-81
13/10/13	Estudiantes v Libertad	76-72

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/14	A	Regatas	85-83
16/10/14	A	San Martin	68-71
08/10/14	H	La Union	92-74
07/10/14	H	La Union	72-71
02/10/14	A	Mogi	58-68
01/10/14	A	Colegio La Salle	86-60
30/09/14	H	Malvin	66-72
01/05/14	A	Argentino	63-100
30/04/14	A	Argentino	61-87
27/04/14	H	Argentino	68-82

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/10/14	H	Tenerife	66-79
18/10/14	A	Atenas	52-57
15/10/14	H	Regatas	71-77
12/10/14	A	Joventut Badalona	60-65
09/10/14	H	Atenas	80-54
05/10/14	H	Gipuzkoa	91-74
05/10/14	H	Sionista	94-86 OT
02/10/14	A	Sionista	71-62
25/05/14	A	Gipuzkoa	71-79
21/05/14	H	Barcelona	51-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLW	75%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	79.2	82.0	76.5
Allowed / game	74.8	72.5	77.0
Point differential	+4.5	+9.5	-0.5
Avg total	154.0	154.5	153.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	60%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	67%	50%
Points / game	73.6	81.7	61.5
Allowed / game	67.2	72.3	59.5
Point differential	+6.4	+9.3	+2.0
Avg total	140.8	154.0	121.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	20%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Obras Sanitarias	5	5	0	100%	81.0	61.2	+19.8
2	Regatas	6	5	1	83%	84.0	77.2	+6.8
3	Quilmes	5	4	1	80%	79.4	74.6	+4.8
4	Libertad	4	3	1	75%	79.2	74.8	+4.5
5	Penarol	7	5	2	71%	81.1	75.1	+6.0
6	Quimsa	6	4	2	67%	80.7	73.7	+7.0
7	Argentino	3	2	1	67%	77.7	73.3	+4.3
8	Estudiantes	5	3	2	60%	73.6	67.2	+6.4
9	Weber Bahia	7	4	3	57%	81.4	82.4	-1.0
10	Olimpico	4	2	2	50%	84.0	84.2	-0.2
11	Gimnasia	5	2	3	40%	80.0	77.6	+2.4
12	Atenas	5	2	3	40%	70.6	77.0	-6.4
13	San Martin	6	2	4	33%	72.2	75.2	-3.0
14	La Union	6	2	4	33%	73.5	78.7	-5.2
15	Sionista	5	1	4	20%	72.0	80.2	-8.2
16	Lanus	6	1	5	17%	71.3	87.5	-16.2
17	Ciclista	7	1	6	14%	67.3	78.1	-10.9
18	Boca Juniors	4	0	4	0%	75.8	80.8	-5.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	17	22	15	26	80
Estudiantes	15	14	25	18	72

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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