Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2014

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 79-63

20-17 22-12 20-15 17-19

Position#6

Record23-20

FormLLWLW

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game78.0

Libertad 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#11

Record20-23

FormLWLWW

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game74.6

Liga ARound 30

Other2013-14

Meetings · Libertad v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

75-82

-7

H17/02

Liga A

Lanus

#15

80-61

+19

A22/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

83-91

-8

A24/02

Liga A

La Union

#16

94-87 OT

H01/03

Liga A

Regatas

64-81

-17

H03/03

Liga A

Argentino

65-73

-8

A07/03

Liga A

Penarol

84-108

108

-24

A10/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

90-88 OT

A21/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

70-85

-15

A22/03

Liga A

Sionista

#12

71-67

H29/03

Liga A

19-15

20-21

24-28

12-18

18-19

13-12

30-13

19-17

8-21

19-25

23-19

33-26

16-22

17-19

26-17

18-19

9-30

24-15

14-20

17-16

15-21

19-12

12-14

19-26

27-21

12-35

26-30

19-22

31-21

11-15

19-20

15-20

15-18

18-18

18-30

19-19

21-7

17-24

16-17

17-19

159.9Avg total

77.6Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	78.4	78.0	156.4	+0.4	53%
Season at home (21)	81.8	74.9	156.6	+6.9	81%
Season away (22)	75.2	81.0	156.2	-5.9	27%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	82.3	159.9	-4.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	84.2	160.2	-8.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	81.3	87.0	168.3	-5.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	78.7	80.1	158.7	-1.4	53%
vs Weaker (4)	81.0	73.5	154.5	+7.5	75%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tenerife

#11

96-94 OT

A08/03

ACB

La Union

#16

76-80

-4

A10/03

Liga A

Baskonia

84-87

-3

H16/03

ACB

Atenas

83-76

H17/03

Liga A

Penarol

93-90

H22/03

Liga A

Murcia

#16

84-85

-1

A23/03

ACB

Argentino

82-74

H24/03

Liga A

Regatas

84-89

-5

A30/03

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

#15

86-66

+20

H30/03

ACB

Olimpico

#13

88-75

+13

A04/04

Liga A

18-20

20-15

21-21

17-20

28-16

11-20

14-18

23-26

24-32

12-19

28-20

20-16

31-23

20-13

11-16

21-24

23-21

19-14

31-21

20-34

19-18

29-21

15-14

21-32

19-22

16-16

20-19

27-17

19-18

21-23

24-29

20-19

24-14

16-17

18-20

28-15

25-19

19-14

19-23

25-19

167.2Avg total

85.6Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	74.0	74.6	148.6	-0.6	47%
Season at home (22)	74.1	69.5	143.7	+4.6	68%
Season away (21)	73.9	79.9	153.7	-6.0	24%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	81.6	167.2	+4.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	77.8	162.6	+7.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	72.8	81.2	154.0	-8.5	25%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	77.1	74.0	151.1	+3.1	63%
vs Weaker (3)	83.3	67.7	151.0	+15.7	67%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.1	39.1	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	18.1	40.1	+3.9	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.6	39.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.3	68%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.5	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	20.1	40.8	+0.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.3	43.3	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.0	14.3	40.3	+11.7	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.8	20.3	36.1	-4.5	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	20.8	36.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.8	20.5	36.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.1	37%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.5	17.8	33.2	-2.2	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	16.1	34.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.1	14.6	32.8	+3.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	18.0	35.5	-0.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.2	35.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.0	21.9	37.9	-5.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.0	14.2	33.2	+4.8	74%	-
vs Weaker (3)	15.7	12.7	28.3	+3.0	67%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

39-36

H17/02

Liga A

Lanus

#15

31-31

A22/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

27-46

-19

A24/02

Liga A

La Union

#16

33-41

-8

H01/03

Liga A

Regatas

33-45

-12

H03/03

Liga A

Argentino

34-33

A07/03

Liga A

Penarol

39-56

-17

A10/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

42-36

A21/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

33-36

-3

A22/03

Liga A

Sionista

#12

38-31

H29/03

Liga A

74.0Avg total

34.9Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	38.9	76.0	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.8	37.2	78.0	+3.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.9	40.4	74.3	-6.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	39.1	74.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	38.4	75.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.5	42.3	77.8	-6.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.6	38.4	77.1	+0.2	63%	-
vs Weaker (4)	32.8	35.5	68.2	-2.8	25%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tenerife

#11

38-35

A08/03

ACB

La Union

#16

39-36

A10/03

Liga A

Baskonia

36-51

-15

H16/03

ACB

Atenas

51-36

+15

H17/03

Liga A

Penarol

42-35

H22/03

Liga A

Murcia

#16

48-39

A23/03

ACB

Argentino

35-38

-3

H24/03

Liga A

Regatas

40-41

-1

A30/03

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

#15

40-31

H30/03

ACB

Olimpico

#13

44-33

+11

A04/04

Liga A

78.8Avg total

41.3Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	35.0	72.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.8	32.6	69.4	+4.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.3	38.1	76.4	+0.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	37.5	78.8	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	36.4	77.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.5	43.4	77.9	-8.9	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.0	32.7	70.7	+5.3	74%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.7	27.0	68.7	+14.7	100%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.2	40.4	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.3	22.0	42.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.0	17.0	42.0	+8.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	20.5	38.9	-2.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.2	19.1	40.4	+2.1	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.7	19.1	36.8	-1.3	26%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	21.3	42.6	+0.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.2	20.7	43.8	+2.5	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	32%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.4	44.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	26%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	41.0	82.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	39.6	79.1	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.9	42.2	85.1	+0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	41.0	80.6	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	43.4	79.4	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	43.5	42.7	86.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	40.1	41.6	81.7	-1.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.0	35.5	79.5	+8.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	39.2	77.1	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.2	38.6	77.8	+0.6	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.2	40.0	76.2	-3.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	42.3	84.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	41.4	84.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.2	37.9	76.1	+0.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	37.2	39.5	76.7	-2.4	32%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.7	40.7	82.3	+1.0	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
29/01/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	64-73
25/11/13	Libertad v Estudiantes	83-81
13/10/13	Estudiantes v Libertad	76-72

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/14	H	Sionista	71-67
22/03/14	A	Obras Sanitarias	70-85
21/03/14	A	Boca Juniors	90-88 OT
10/03/14	A	Penarol	84-108
07/03/14	A	Argentino	65-73
03/03/14	H	Regatas	64-81
01/03/14	H	La Union	94-87 OT
24/02/14	A	Gimnasia	83-91
22/02/14	A	Lanus	80-61
17/02/14	H	Atenas	75-82

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/14	A	Olimpico	88-75
30/03/14	H	Fuenlabrada	86-66
30/03/14	A	Regatas	84-89
24/03/14	H	Argentino	82-74
23/03/14	A	Murcia	84-85
22/03/14	H	Penarol	93-90
17/03/14	H	Atenas	83-76
16/03/14	H	Baskonia	84-87
10/03/14	A	La Union	76-80
08/03/14	A	Tenerife	96-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	53%
Home	WLWLW	81%
Away	LLLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	21	22
Win %	53%	81%	27%
Points / game	78.4	81.8	75.2
Allowed / game	78.0	74.9	81.0
Point differential	+0.4	+6.9	-5.9
Avg total	156.4	156.6	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	43%	5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	80% (5)	50% (6)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	47%
Home	LWWWW	68%
Away	LWLLW	24%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	22	21
Win %	47%	68%	24%
Points / game	74.0	74.1	73.9
Allowed / game	74.6	69.5	79.9
Point differential	-0.6	+4.6	-6.0
Avg total	148.6	143.7	153.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	27%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (20)	70% (10)	30% (10)
Overtime %	7%	5%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	43	36	7	84%	85.0	75.2	+9.8
2	Penarol	44	33	11	75%	85.0	78.0	+7.0
3	Boca Juniors	43	28	15	65%	76.6	71.4	+5.2
4	Gimnasia	43	24	19	56%	77.7	76.3	+1.3
5	Libertad	43	23	20	53%	78.4	78.0	+0.4
6	Atenas	43	23	20	53%	79.9	80.0	-0.1
7	Quilmes	44	22	22	50%	78.4	80.7	-2.3
8	Sionista	43	21	22	49%	76.1	75.9	+0.3
9	Obras Sanitarias	43	21	22	49%	73.4	73.7	-0.3
10	Argentino	43	21	22	49%	75.4	76.3	-0.8
11	Quimsa	43	21	22	49%	78.5	79.4	-0.9
12	Estudiantes	43	20	23	47%	74.0	74.6	-0.6
13	Olimpico	43	18	25	42%	79.5	81.6	-2.0
14	Weber Bahia	43	16	27	37%	76.3	79.3	-3.0
15	Lanus	43	9	34	21%	74.2	81.1	-6.9
16	La Union	43	9	34	21%	77.3	84.4	-7.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	20	22	20	17	79
Estudiantes	17	12	15	19	63

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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