Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 72-81

16-18 19-15 21-32 16-16

Position#9

Record19-19

FormWWLLW

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game78.4

Libertad

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#3

Record28-13

FormWLWLW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game76.6

Liga A

Other2016-17

Meetings · Libertad v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

#14

78-73

H07/02

Liga A

La Union

#18

84-62

+22

H09/02

Liga A

San Martin

72-80

-8

H11/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

73-85

-12

A14/02

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

95-90

A16/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

84-53

+31

H20/02

Liga A

Penarol

#15

85-66

+19

H23/02

Liga A

Olimpico

61-67

-6

A02/03

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

82-83

-1

A04/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

86-77

H11/03

Liga A

21-22

17-12

16-18

24-21

18-19

21-22

28-10

17-11

23-25

16-14

18-26

15-15

20-35

14-12

22-14

17-24

23-21

23-15

26-33

26-14

16-12

22-15

20-12

22-16

29-9

18-18

16-23

8-13

16-19

20-19

17-16

24-19

21-27

14-18

23-19

18-21

23-17

19-20

26-19

153.6Avg total

80.0Scored

73.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	80.5	78.4	158.9	+2.1	50%
Season at home (19)	83.3	75.6	158.8	+7.7	74%
Season away (19)	77.7	81.3	159.1	-3.6	26%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	73.6	153.6	+6.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	69.2	148.8	+10.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	76.3	79.0	155.3	-2.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	79.5	78.7	158.2	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker (7)	89.1	74.6	163.7	+14.6	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

69-80

-11

H16/02

Liga A

Penarol

#15

89-71

+18

H19/02

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

80-73

A26/02

Liga A

Barcelona

83-81 OT

H26/02

ACB

Olimpico

49-82

-33

A28/02

Liga A

San Martin

83-78 OT

H03/03

Liga A

Joventut Badalona

#13

71-77

-6

A05/03

ACB

Atenas

#16

77-71

H08/03

Liga A

Tenerife

63-82

-19

H12/03

ACB

Instituto de Cordoba

78-71

H15/03

Liga A

13-25

17-23

18-22

21-10

21-23

23-13

27-15

18-20

20-14

21-27

21-22

18-10

18-19

15-16

23-27

18-12

14-27

11-17

10-22

14-16

22-16

8-7

18-16

21-30

23-22

14-16

15-25

19-14

24-16

14-20

21-17

18-18

13-18

14-17

21-19

15-28

19-15

19-12

15-18

25-26

150.8Avg total

74.2Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	80.8	76.6	157.4	+4.2	68%
Season at home (22)	84.8	73.7	158.5	+11.1	91%
Season away (19)	76.2	79.9	156.2	-3.7	42%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	76.6	150.8	-2.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	75.8	150.2	-1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	75.8	87.0	162.8	-11.2	20%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	79.3	78.2	157.6	+1.1	67%
vs Weaker (12)	81.3	74.0	155.3	+7.3	75%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.2	39.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.4	39.4	-1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	20.3	41.7	+1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.4	19.5	39.0	-0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.1	17.7	39.9	+4.4	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	17.7	38.2	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.6	22.4	38.0	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.3	18.8	41.1	+3.6	92%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.2	16.6	36.8	+3.7	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.5	36.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	21.0	36.3	-5.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.3	19.1	42.4	+4.1	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	17.1	35.1	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	21.4	38.3	-4.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	16.8	32.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	14.4	28.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.8	33%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

#14

38-34

H07/02

Liga A

La Union

#18

39-41

-2

H09/02

Liga A

San Martin

39-39

H11/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

34-47

-13

A14/02

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

46-42

A16/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

42-26

+16

H20/02

Liga A

Penarol

#15

51-25

+26

H23/02

Liga A

Olimpico

24-32

-8

A02/03

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

45-46

-1

A04/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

41-38

H11/03

Liga A

76.9Avg total

39.9Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	39.0	79.4	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	36.8	79.2	+5.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	41.4	79.6	-3.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	37.0	76.9	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	33.4	74.0	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	41.3	78.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	39.2	39.4	78.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	45.4	36.9	82.3	+8.6	86%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

30-48

-18

H16/02

Liga A

Penarol

#15

44-36

H19/02

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

41-41

A26/02

Liga A

Barcelona

33-35

-2

H26/02

ACB

Olimpico

25-44

-19

A28/02

Liga A

San Martin

30-23

H03/03

Liga A

Joventut Badalona

#13

37-38

-1

A05/03

ACB

Atenas

#16

38-36

H08/03

Liga A

Tenerife

27-35

-8

H12/03

ACB

Instituto de Cordoba

38-27

+11

H15/03

Liga A

70.6Avg total

34.3Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	37.6	75.4	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	34.8	73.4	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	40.8	77.8	-3.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	36.3	70.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	31.8	65.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	32.2	42.6	74.8	-10.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.4	36.3	75.8	+3.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (12)	38.8	35.9	74.7	+2.8	67%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.3	37.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	22.3	42.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.2	18.7	38.0	+0.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.1	18.0	39.1	+3.1	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.6	40.8	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	22.5	41.9	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	24.6	46.0	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.2	21.8	41.1	-2.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	21.5	43.6	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	15.3	34.7	+4.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.6	19.7	42.3	+2.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	38.8	79.8	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	36.7	76.5	+3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	41.2	83.6	+1.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	36.6	76.7	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	35.8	74.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	37.7	77.3	+2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.3	39.4	79.7	+0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.7	37.7	81.4	+6.0	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	40.1	80.9	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	39.2	81.9	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.7	41.1	79.8	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	38.7	76.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	42.2	79.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.8	43.0	84.8	-1.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.8	41.2	79.9	-2.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.6	38.1	80.7	+4.5	58%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
14/02/17	Estudiantes v Libertad	85-73
14/11/16	Libertad v Estudiantes	84-82
10/11/16	Estudiantes v Libertad	77-64
02/05/16	Estudiantes v Libertad	83-86
19/12/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	95-70
23/10/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	78-61
04/10/15	Estudiantes v Libertad	73-74
18/03/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	74-82
30/12/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	88-89
18/11/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	72-70

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/17	H	Instituto de Cordoba	86-77
04/03/17	A	Quimsa	82-83
02/03/17	A	Olimpico	61-67
23/02/17	H	Penarol	85-66
20/02/17	H	San Lorenzo	84-53
16/02/17	A	Atletico Echague Parana	95-90
14/02/17	A	Estudiantes	73-85
11/02/17	H	San Martin	72-80
09/02/17	H	La Union	84-62
07/02/17	H	Quilmes	78-73

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/17	H	Instituto de Cordoba	78-71
12/03/17	H	Tenerife	63-82
08/03/17	H	Atenas	77-71
05/03/17	A	Joventut Badalona	71-77
03/03/17	H	San Martin	83-78 OT
28/02/17	A	Olimpico	49-82
26/02/17	H	Barcelona	83-81 OT
26/02/17	A	Quimsa	80-73
19/02/17	H	Penarol	89-71
16/02/17	H	San Lorenzo	69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	50%
Home	WLWWW	74%
Away	LLWLL	26%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	19	19
Win %	50%	74%	26%
Points / game	80.5	83.3	77.7
Allowed / game	78.4	75.6	81.3
Point differential	+2.1	+7.7	-3.6
Avg total	158.9	158.8	159.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	53%	16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	75% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	68%
Home	LWWWW	91%
Away	LWWWL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	22	19
Win %	68%	91%	42%
Points / game	80.8	84.8	76.2
Allowed / game	76.6	73.7	79.9
Point differential	+4.2	+11.1	-3.7
Avg total	157.4	158.5	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	50%	16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	100% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	2%	5%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Martin	39	29	10	74%	82.5	75.1	+7.4
2	San Lorenzo	39	27	12	69%	83.4	73.3	+10.1
3	Estudiantes	41	28	13	68%	80.8	76.6	+4.2
4	Ferro	40	26	14	65%	78.2	76.1	+2.1
5	Regatas	37	23	14	62%	86.1	82.2	+3.9
6	Weber Bahia	36	21	15	58%	76.7	76.3	+0.4
7	Instituto de Cordoba	41	23	18	56%	81.7	81.6	+0.1
8	Olimpico	42	23	19	55%	80.8	76.5	+4.3
9	Quimsa	41	22	19	54%	82.0	79.7	+2.4
10	Libertad	38	19	19	50%	80.5	78.4	+2.1
11	Obras Sanitarias	42	21	21	50%	83.1	81.4	+1.7
12	Gimnasia	41	20	21	49%	80.7	81.3	-0.6
13	Quilmes	39	19	20	49%	78.4	79.2	-0.8
14	Argentino	39	19	20	49%	73.5	74.6	-1.1
15	La Union	40	18	22	45%	76.4	80.3	-3.9
16	Penarol	42	16	26	38%	74.8	79.0	-4.2
17	Atenas	38	13	25	34%	78.8	81.6	-2.7
18	Boca Juniors	41	12	29	29%	75.7	81.5	-5.9
19	Hispano Americano	41	12	29	29%	78.5	84.7	-6.2
20	Atletico Echague Parana	39	7	32	18%	76.6	89.5	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	16	19	21	16	72
Estudiantes	18	15	32	16	81

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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