Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Oct 2015

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 78-61

20-14 26-19 22-12 10-16

Position#6

Record6-1

FormWWWLW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game71.9

Libertad 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#11

Record4-4

FormLLWWL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game79.4

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Libertad v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#16

82-77

A13/05

Liga A

Sionista

#16

72-82

-10

H16/05

Liga A

Sionista

#16

92-93

-1

H18/05

Liga A

Quimsa

90-59

+31

H28/09

Liga A

Sionista

#20

88-86

A02/10

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

74-73

A04/10

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

73-71

H07/10

Liga A

Atenas

#14

105-88

105

+17

A12/10

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

61-76

-15

A14/10

Liga A

Olimpico

72-50

+22

H21/10

Liga A

17-19

23-13

22-25

20-20

20-27

16-14

19-23

17-18

21-18

24-27

23-27

24-21

30-26

23-11

18-10

19-12

23-21

19-17

28-19

18-29

16-15

13-19

22-18

23-21

16-20

20-10

25-17

12-24

20-18

28-26

35-17

22-27

10-22

13-20

21-20

17-14

15-7

21-18

13-6

23-19

156.4Avg total

80.9Scored

75.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	80.4	71.9	152.3	+8.6	86%
Season at home (3)	78.3	60.0	138.3	+18.3	100%
Season away (4)	82.0	80.8	162.8	+1.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	75.5	156.4	+5.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	71.6	148.6	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	85.9	90.0	175.9	-4.1	29%
vs Similar (21)	82.2	81.4	163.6	+0.8	48%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	81.0	79.5	160.5	+1.5	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

71-63

H24/09

Liga A

Quimsa

66-59

H02/10

Liga A

Libertad

73-74

-1

H04/10

Liga A

Quimsa

80-99

-19

A08/10

Liga A

Olimpico

70-105

105

-35

A10/10

Liga A

Baskonia

58-85

-27

H11/10

ACB

Sionista

#20

72-89

-17

A12/10

Liga A

Atenas

#14

87-72

+15

H15/10

Liga A

Olimpico

86-74

+12

H17/10

Liga A

Manresa

#16

67-85

-18

A18/10

ACB

10-12

20-16

22-21

19-14

16-11

13-14

21-25

16-9

15-16

19-13

18-22

21-23

15-32

17-18

27-27

21-22

15-27

25-21

13-31

17-26

15-31

9-23

15-15

19-16

23-27

15-26

22-18

12-18

11-21

24-19

26-21

26-11

13-10

24-16

25-20

24-28

19-19

14-22

22-24

12-20

153.5Avg total

73.0Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	75.6	79.4	155.0	-3.8	50%
Season at home (5)	76.6	68.4	145.0	+8.2	80%
Season away (3)	74.0	97.7	171.7	-23.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	73.0	80.5	153.5	-7.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	81.0	155.0	-7.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	72.5	76.6	149.2	-4.1	46%
vs Similar (17)	78.4	79.2	157.6	-0.9	41%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.1	41.8	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	22.9	41.1	-4.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	16.4	31.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.9	14%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.9	22.3	42.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	19.3	36.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	17.7	17.8	35.6	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.5	21.5	38.0	-5.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.2	20.6	35.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.6	37.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.1	19.2	35.3	-3.2	46%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.2	35%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.4	17.9	34.3	-1.4	43%	-
vs Similar (21)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.6	52%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	16.0	18.0	34.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.2	16.7	35.9	+2.6	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.7	17.8	36.4	+0.9	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.5	16.2	34.7	+2.4	62%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.5	59%	-
vs Weaker	no games

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#16

40-32

A13/05

Liga A

Sionista

#16

36-41

-5

H16/05

Liga A

Sionista

#16

45-45

H18/05

Liga A

Quimsa

53-37

+16

H28/09

Liga A

Sionista

#20

42-38

A02/10

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

29-34

-5

A04/10

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

36-30

H07/10

Liga A

Atenas

#14

48-44

A12/10

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

23-42

-19

A14/10

Liga A

Olimpico

36-25

+11

H21/10

Liga A

75.6Avg total

38.8Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	40.4	79.2	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	38.1	77.8	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	43.1	80.8	-5.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	36.8	75.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	35.0	69.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.0	40.3	76.3	-4.3	14%	-
vs Similar (21)	40.0	40.9	80.9	-0.9	48%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	35.5	36.0	71.5	-0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

30-28

H24/09

Liga A

Quimsa

29-25

H02/10

Liga A

Libertad

34-29

H04/10

Liga A

Quimsa

32-50

-18

A08/10

Liga A

Olimpico

40-48

-8

A10/10

Liga A

Baskonia

24-54

-30

H11/10

ACB

Sionista

#20

38-53

-15

A12/10

Liga A

Atenas

#14

35-40

-5

H15/10

Liga A

Olimpico

37-26

+11

H17/10

Liga A

Manresa

#16

33-41

-8

A18/10

ACB

72.6Avg total

33.2Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	36.4	72.6	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	36.9	34.5	71.4	+2.4	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.2	39.2	74.4	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.2	39.4	72.6	-6.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	42.8	76.2	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	34.6	35.4	70.0	-0.8	54%	-
vs Similar (17)	37.5	37.2	74.6	+0.3	59%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.2	43.0	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	22.6	44.6	-0.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.2	40.8	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	15.6	38.8	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.4	26.3	47.7	-4.9	14%	-
vs Similar (21)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	25.0	18.5	43.5	+6.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.4	39.6	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.7	22.7	42.3	-3.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.3	20.2	38.5	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.9	41%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.9	43.0	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	26.9	20.6	47.4	+6.3	86%	-
vs Similar (21)	20.7	20.7	41.3	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	20.5	25.0	45.5	-4.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.9	22.5	41.4	-3.6	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	42.2	86.0	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	40.7	84.1	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.3	43.9	88.1	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	38.7	80.8	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	36.6	79.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	48.3	46.9	95.1	+1.4	43%	-
vs Similar (21)	42.2	40.5	82.7	+1.7	48%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	45.5	43.5	89.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	41.3	80.7	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.9	38.8	78.7	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.6	45.2	83.8	-6.6	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	41.1	80.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	38.2	78.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.9	41.2	79.2	-3.3	38%	-
vs Similar (17)	40.5	41.4	81.9	-0.9	35%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
04/10/15	Estudiantes v Libertad	73-74
18/03/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	74-82
30/12/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	88-89
18/11/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	72-70
20/10/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	80-72
06/04/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	79-63
29/01/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	64-73
25/11/13	Libertad v Estudiantes	83-81
13/10/13	Estudiantes v Libertad	76-72

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/10/15	H	Olimpico	72-50
14/10/15	A	Instituto de Cordoba	61-76
12/10/15	A	Atenas	105-88
07/10/15	H	Instituto de Cordoba	73-71
04/10/15	A	Estudiantes	74-73
02/10/15	A	Sionista	88-86
28/09/15	H	Quimsa	90-59
18/05/15	H	Sionista	92-93
16/05/15	H	Sionista	72-82
13/05/15	A	Sionista	82-77

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/15	A	Manresa	67-85
17/10/15	H	Olimpico	86-74
15/10/15	H	Atenas	87-72
12/10/15	A	Sionista	72-89
11/10/15	H	Baskonia	58-85
10/10/15	A	Olimpico	70-105
08/10/15	A	Quimsa	80-99
04/10/15	H	Libertad	73-74
02/10/15	H	Quimsa	66-59
24/09/15	H	Regatas	71-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	86%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWWL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	86%	100%	75%
Points / game	80.4	78.3	82.0
Allowed / game	71.9	60.0	80.8
Point differential	+8.6	+18.3	+1.2
Avg total	152.3	138.3	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	67%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	50%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	50%	80%	0%
Points / game	75.6	76.6	74.0
Allowed / game	79.4	68.4	97.7
Point differential	-3.8	+8.2	-23.7
Avg total	155.0	145.0	171.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	8	8	0	100%	89.1	74.1	+15.0
2	Libertad	7	6	1	86%	80.4	71.9	+8.6
3	Penarol	8	6	2	75%	88.1	82.8	+5.4
4	Obras Sanitarias	6	4	2	67%	88.2	84.5	+3.7
5	Regatas	8	5	3	62%	77.4	71.5	+5.9
6	Sionista	8	5	3	62%	81.6	78.5	+3.1
7	Gimnasia	10	6	4	60%	83.7	78.4	+5.3
8	Weber Bahia	10	6	4	60%	79.0	78.8	+0.2
9	Olimpico	9	5	4	56%	84.9	84.0	+0.9
10	Instituto de Cordoba	8	4	4	50%	75.2	73.1	+2.1
11	Ferro	8	4	4	50%	76.0	76.4	-0.4
12	Estudiantes	8	4	4	50%	75.6	79.4	-3.8
13	Quimsa	9	4	5	44%	77.6	79.9	-2.3
14	La Union	9	3	6	33%	78.6	82.4	-3.9
15	Atenas	6	2	4	33%	75.5	82.5	-7.0
16	Boca Juniors	7	2	5	29%	75.0	82.7	-7.7
17	San Martin	8	2	6	25%	85.2	88.9	-3.6
18	Argentino	8	2	6	25%	78.0	86.8	-8.8
19	Lanus	7	1	6	14%	76.7	82.1	-5.4
20	Quilmes	8	1	7	12%	77.1	86.5	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	20	26	22	10	78
Estudiantes	14	19	12	16	61

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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