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Liege vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 88-70
18-21 28-8 23-18 19-23
Position#6
Record13-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game79.5
Liege 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record10-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game71.1
EuropeBNXT League· Country Hall
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 76
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
75-81
75
81
-6
64avg 76
A06/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
W
95-84
95
84
+11
99avg 76
H13/03
ENBL
Zwolle
#12
W
90-70
90
70
+20
99avg 76
H15/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
83avg 76
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
L
84-86
84
86
-2
69avg 76
A23/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 76
A30/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
80-99
80
99
-19
69avg 76
H05/04
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
79avg 76
H09/04
ENBL
Siauliai
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
62avg 76
H10/04
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
26-21
19-20
24-19
17-21
14-15
19-22
25-23
28-23
29-22
13-25
25-14
21-18
32-13
25-18
12-21
17-19
26-25
15-26
29-26
17-18
25-18
17-30
25-20
18-24
18-27
22-13
20-20
15-19
23-31
18-24
24-25
23-19
16-33
17-17
23-11
17-22
23-19
23-16
20-16
166.2Avg total
83.5Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.279.5158.6-0.352%
Season at home (12)79.979.1159.0+0.858%
Season away (13)78.579.8158.3-1.446%
Last 10 (10)83.582.7166.2+0.840%
Last 5 (5)80.884.4165.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.789.4171.1-7.833%
vs Similar (14)81.680.4161.9+1.257%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.375.9163.1+11.471%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#15
W
64-59
64
59
+5
56avg 65
A23/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 65
A06/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
59-72
59
72
-13
48avg 65
A28/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
68-92
68
92
-24
71avg 65
A10/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
62-70
62
70
-8
48avg 65
H17/02
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 65
H06/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
75avg 65
A19/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
78-72
78
72
+6
71avg 65
H23/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
55avg 65
H01/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 65
A05/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
16-12
11-5
14-22
21-20
22-15
21-15
23-13
11-14
16-22
15-14
17-22
22-20
9-29
21-24
16-19
9-17
13-16
19-15
21-22
21-17
15-14
22-19
23-25
13-16
19-25
20-27
24-18
17-22
18-13
14-14
29-23
21-26
18-26
15-21
14-21
18-26
17-16
25-16
17-22
148.3Avg total
72.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.071.1143.1+1.048%
Season at home (11)70.068.3138.3+1.755%
Season away (10)74.374.2148.5+0.140%
Last 10 (10)72.076.3148.3-4.340%
Last 5 (5)76.081.4157.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.779.9152.6-7.129%
vs Similar (10)70.575.9146.4-5.430%
vs Weaker (12)72.463.7136.1+8.867%
This opponent (Liege) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
LiegeDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H13/03
ENBL
Zwolle
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H15/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A23/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A30/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H05/04
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H09/04
ENBL
Siauliai
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/04
ENBL
84.1Avg total
42.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.483.2+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.940.583.4+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)40.942.183.1-1.225%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.184.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.085.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.444.887.2-2.333%-
vs Similar (14)41.041.182.1-0.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.937.680.4+5.357%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A23/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A28/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A10/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H17/02
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H06/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A19/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H23/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H01/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A05/04
BNXT League
72.5Avg total
33.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.536.672.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.636.171.7-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)35.437.072.4-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)33.938.672.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.275.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.141.076.1-5.929%-
vs Similar (10)33.739.172.8-5.420%-
vs Weaker (12)36.832.269.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Liege) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.6
51.9%
52.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.5
31.4%
33.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.417.8
76.1%
71.4%17.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.8
49.1%
52.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.1
36.4%
33.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.310.3
67.3%
71.4%10.3
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege
WLLLLLWWLW
Donar Groningen
LLWLWLLLWW
#6
League position
#13
+0.4
Net rating
-6.3
106.2
Offensive rating
99.7
105.8
Defensive rating
106.0
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
22.7%
Turnover %
21.5%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.4%
3-point %
36.4%
63.9%
Assist %
63.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 99.7Defence105.8 · 106.0Shooting50.2% · 51.4%3-point %31.4% · 36.4%Ball care22.7% · 21.5%Off. rebounds37.9% · 28.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Liege   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liege wins
1
Donar Groningen wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Donar Groningen v Liege81-75
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24HSiauliai83-73
09/04/24HVoluntari79-80
05/04/24HDen Bosch80-99
30/03/24ALeiden78-84
23/03/24ABAL Weert84-86
20/03/24AJuventus87-96
15/03/24HZwolle90-70
13/03/24HJuventus95-84
06/03/24ADonar Groningen75-81
17/02/24HMechelen84-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24ALimburg77-80
01/04/24HOostende68-94
23/03/24HSpirou Charleroi78-72
19/03/24AAntwerp Giants76-86
06/03/24HLiege81-75
17/02/24HFeyenoord62-70
10/02/24ADen Bosch68-92
28/01/24AZwolle59-72
06/01/24AQSTA Utd87-63
23/12/23ABAL Weert64-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeLWWWL58%
AwayWLLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%58%46%
Points / game79.279.978.5
Allowed / game79.579.179.8
Point differential-0.3+0.8-1.4
Avg total158.6159.0158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL48%
HomeWLWWL55%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game72.070.074.3
Allowed / game71.168.374.2
Point differential+1.0+1.7+0.1
Avg total143.1138.3148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2523292%81.971.0+10.9
2 Den Bosch2118386%82.771.1+11.6
3 Antwerp Giants2620677%82.472.1+10.3
4 Leiden2216673%77.370.0+7.2
5 Limburg2617965%76.772.5+4.1
6 Zwolle2112957%75.870.9+5.0
7 Spirou Charleroi25141156%73.474.9-1.5
8 Liege25131252%79.279.5-0.3
9 Circus Brussels28141450%78.676.5+2.1
10 Mechelen28141450%77.976.7+1.2
11 Donar Groningen21101148%72.071.1+1.0
12 Leuven Bears28121643%76.577.9-1.4
13 Belfius Mons28121643%77.780.6-2.9
14 BAL Weert2291341%71.275.3-4.1
15 Kortrijk28101836%78.581.0-2.5
16 Feyenoord2481633%73.781.8-8.1
17 Okapi Aalst2891932%76.879.9-3.1
18 LWD Basket2471729%78.084.1-6.2
19 QSTA Utd2461825%72.579.5-7.0
20 Den Helder2451921%66.881.2-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege1828231988
Donar Groningen218182370
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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