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Liege vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 83-73
17-22 23-19 23-16 20-16
Position#9
Record5-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game84.7
Liege 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record8-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeENBLENBL - 3rd place· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liege v Siauliai
10 Apr 2024
LIE83
SIA73
06 Feb 2024
LIE74
SIA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
68avg 76
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 76
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
75-81
75
81
-6
64avg 76
A06/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
W
95-84
95
84
+11
99avg 76
H13/03
ENBL
Zwolle
#12
W
90-70
90
70
+20
99avg 76
H15/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
83avg 76
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
L
84-86
84
86
-2
69avg 76
A23/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 76
A30/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
80-99
80
99
-19
69avg 76
H05/04
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
79avg 76
H09/04
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
19-22
19-21
19-27
15-14
26-21
19-20
24-19
17-21
14-15
19-22
25-23
28-23
29-22
13-25
25-14
21-18
32-13
25-18
12-21
17-19
26-25
15-26
29-26
17-18
25-18
17-30
25-20
18-24
18-27
22-13
20-20
15-19
23-31
18-24
24-25
23-19
16-33
17-17
23-11
167.6Avg total
82.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.584.7173.2+3.850%
Season at home (5)89.481.6171.0+7.860%
Season away (5)87.687.8175.4-0.240%
Last 10 (10)82.884.8167.6-2.030%
Last 5 (5)81.689.0170.6-7.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.789.4171.1-7.833%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.080.3161.3+0.757%
vs Weaker (7)87.375.9163.1+11.471%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
69avg 78
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
79avg 78
H03/03
LKL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
81avg 78
A07/03
ENBL
Neptunas
#6
L
76-85
76
85
-9
64avg 78
A11/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
91-94
91
94
-3
87avg 78
H17/03
LKL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
90-79
90
79
+11
87avg 78
H19/03
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-92
69
92
-23
60avg 78
H24/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
78avg 78
A02/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 78
H07/04
LKL
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-90
77
90
-13
66avg 78
H09/04
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
23-23
21-22
24-20
28-25
17-16
23-20
21-25
28-17
16-21
9-17
31-21
17-19
22-23
22-24
15-19
29-17
21-16
22-31
19-30
27-15
17-29
21-22
25-13
19-28
15-19
23-19
12-26
24-14
19-31
22-24
15-12
28-26
19-25
25-15
26-23
14-22
16-20
26-21
21-27
170.9Avg total
84.3Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.982.3173.2+8.680%
Season at home (6)90.281.2171.3+9.083%
Season away (4)92.084.0176.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)84.386.6170.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)82.886.2169.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.991.1167.0-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.781.1166.8+4.667%
vs Weaker (10)95.179.1174.2+16.090%
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
LiegeSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H13/03
ENBL
Zwolle
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H15/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A23/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A30/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H05/04
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H09/04
ENBL
84.4Avg total
41.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.082.8+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.939.682.5+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)40.942.183.1-1.225%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.684.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.686.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.444.887.2-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.940.281.1+0.743%-
vs Weaker (7)42.937.680.4+5.357%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H03/03
LKL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A07/03
ENBL
Neptunas
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H17/03
LKL
Bristol Flyers
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H19/03
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H24/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A02/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H07/04
LKL
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H09/04
ENBL
85.5Avg total
42.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.487.0+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.944.686.4-2.738%-
Last 30 away (14)45.742.087.7+3.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.585.5-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.885.4-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.447.486.7-8.09%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.440.785.1+3.867%-
vs Weaker (10)47.741.489.1+6.360%-
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.0
54.1%
53.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.2%
33.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
72.2%16.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.5
58.1%
53.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.2
32.7%
33.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.014.3
68.1%
72.2%14.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege
LLLLLWWLWL
Siauliai
LWLLWLLWWL
#9
League position
#4
-2.7
Net rating
-1.9
107.0
Offensive rating
108.8
109.7
Defensive rating
110.7
52.0%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
22.4%
Turnover %
20.4%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.2%
3-point %
32.7%
64.3%
Assist %
52.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 108.8Defence109.7 · 110.7Shooting52.0% · 54.5%3-point %32.2% · 32.7%Ball care22.4% · 20.4%Off. rebounds37.0% · 32.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Liege   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liege wins
1
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
06/02/24Liege v Siauliai74-97
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24HVoluntari79-80
05/04/24HDen Bosch80-99
30/03/24ALeiden78-84
23/03/24ABAL Weert84-86
20/03/24AJuventus87-96
15/03/24HZwolle90-70
13/03/24HJuventus95-84
06/03/24ADonar Groningen75-81
17/02/24HMechelen84-74
14/02/24AOostende76-94
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24HBakken Bears77-90
07/04/24HPieno Zvaigzdes98-89
02/04/24AJonava80-81
24/03/24HZalgiris Kaunas69-92
19/03/24HBristol Flyers90-79
17/03/24HMazeikiai91-94
11/03/24ANeptunas76-85
07/03/24ABristol Flyers84-76
03/03/24HJonava89-86
18/02/24HRytas89-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game88.589.487.6
Allowed / game84.781.687.8
Point differential+3.8+7.8-0.2
Avg total173.2171.0175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siauliai
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %80%83%75%
Points / game90.990.292.0
Allowed / game82.381.284.0
Point differential+8.6+9.0+8.0
Avg total173.2171.3176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Voluntari108280%84.474.0+10.4
2 Bakken Bears108280%88.780.0+8.7
3 Siauliai108280%90.982.3+8.6
4 Juventus97278%91.179.8+11.3
5 Zielona Gora74357%90.390.4-0.1
6 Zwolle74357%71.776.3-4.6
7 Newcastle Eagles95456%89.186.3+2.8
8 Tartu Ulikool95456%78.177.4+0.7
9 Liege105550%88.584.7+3.8
10 Bristol Flyers94544%81.877.0+4.8
11 Lublin73443%89.990.3-0.4
12 Keila KK72529%84.190.9-6.7
13 Spartak Pleven71614%79.188.0-8.9
14 Brno71614%74.685.4-10.9
15 Svendborg71614%68.991.1-22.3
16 Valmiera Glass Via7070%80.396.6-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege1723232083
Siauliai2219161673
← all games of the day
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