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Neptunas vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 85-76
19-17 23-22 24-22 19-15
Position#6
Record9-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#10
Record6-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game87.0
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v Siauliai
03 Apr 2027
NEP v SIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
NEP110
SIA88
19 Apr 2026
NEP98
SIA83
28 Dec 2025
NEP101
SIA103
27 Apr 2025
NEP90
SIA95
25 Jan 2025
NEP80
SIA90
27 Nov 2024
NEP101
SIA104
11 Mar 2024
NEP85
SIA76
06 Mar 2023
NEP93
SIA79
31 Oct 2021
NEP86
SIA94
07 May 2021
NEP107
SIA106
17 Jan 2021
NEP77
SIA88
10 Jan 2021
NEP88
SIA94
08 Mar 2020
NEP90
SIA70
05 Oct 2019
NEP90
SIA94
05 May 2019
NEP96
SIA75
23 Dec 2018
NEP80
SIA76
01 Mar 2018
NEP71
SIA78
04 Jan 2018
NEP84
SIA79
26 Apr 2017
NEP85
SIA78
12 Oct 2016
NEP95
SIA67
03 May 2016
NEP90
SIA85
27 Apr 2016
NEP83
SIA77
23 Jan 2016
NEP68
SIA73
29 Nov 2015
NEP74
SIA83
08 Apr 2015
NEP90
SIA77
28 Oct 2014
NEP70
SIA68
11 May 2014
NEP89
SIA88
01 May 2014
NEP86
SIA83
01 Oct 2013
NEP91
SIA69
27 Nov 2012
NEP91
SIA83
19 Apr 2012
NEP101
SIA84
20 Jan 2012
NEP89
SIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
59avg 80
A17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 80
H23/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 80
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
71avg 80
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
100-81
100
81
+19
111avg 80
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
69avg 80
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
55avg 80
A27/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
no box
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
72avg 80
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 80
A04/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
15-17
23-23
12-13
17-19
17-18
24-21
12-19
28-26
18-25
23-19
22-19
24-20
18-28
17-22
19-21
17-28
30-12
29-22
24-19
17-18
21-17
14-29
24-15
17-30
17-23
21-22
18-17
22-26
17-18
21-21
26-21
13-24
22-24
20-27
20-20
23-21
26-18
15-25
14-12
164.7Avg total
80.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.685.0168.5-1.443%
Season at home (10)84.283.5167.7+0.750%
Season away (11)83.086.3169.3-3.336%
Last 10 (10)80.184.6164.7-4.530%
Last 5 (5)78.887.6166.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.892.1171.9-12.311%
vs Similar (6)80.881.8162.7-1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.582.7173.1+7.867%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
78avg 78
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 78
H28/01
LKL
Brno
#14
W
88-70
88
70
+18
77avg 78
H30/01
ENBL
Rytas
#2
L
75-99
75
99
-24
67avg 78
H04/02
LKL
Liege
#9
W
97-74
97
74
+23
91avg 78
A06/02
ENBL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
85-92
85
92
-7
70avg 78
A11/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
67avg 78
A17/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
69avg 78
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
79avg 78
H03/03
LKL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
81avg 78
A07/03
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
17-18
20-17
18-21
25-19
24-28
18-20
18-10
21-16
24-14
19-27
24-13
28-24
14-25
11-23
22-27
28-21
27-21
18-18
24-14
29-25
15-22
14-21
27-24
25-20
22-21
16-26
14-20
21-29
23-23
21-22
24-20
28-25
17-16
23-20
21-25
28-17
16-21
9-17
31-21
167.9Avg total
85.2Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.287.0168.2-5.729%
Season at home (11)79.088.4167.4-9.427%
Season away (10)83.785.4169.1-1.730%
Last 10 (10)85.282.7167.9+2.560%
Last 5 (5)84.887.0171.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.791.7168.3-15.00%
vs Similar (7)85.480.7166.1+4.771%
vs Weaker (14)94.182.8176.9+11.479%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
NeptunasSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H23/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A27/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/03
LKL
82.6Avg total
39.7Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.385.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.743.885.5-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)43.740.984.6+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.982.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.882.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.346.185.4-6.822%-
vs Similar (6)43.239.282.3+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.641.385.9+3.353%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H28/01
LKL
Brno
#14
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H30/01
ENBL
Rytas
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H04/02
LKL
Liege
#9
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A06/02
ENBL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A11/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A17/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H03/03
LKL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A07/03
ENBL
88.1Avg total
46.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.189.1+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.445.688.9-2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)46.942.489.2+4.557%-
Last 10 (10)46.042.188.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.888.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.048.088.0-8.011%-
vs Similar (7)45.141.386.4+3.971%-
vs Weaker (14)48.142.991.1+5.264%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.5
57.9%
55.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.1
30.8%
34.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.311.7
71.8%
73.2%11.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.6
54.9%
55.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
34.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.016.3
77.6%
73.2%16.3
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLLLLWLWLL
Siauliai
WWLLLWLWWW
#6
League position
#10
-4.5
Net rating
+3.5
107.9
Offensive rating
111.1
112.4
Defensive rating
107.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.8%
3-point %
29.8%
73.1%
Assist %
53.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 111.1Defence112.4 · 107.6Shooting52.9% · 51.0%3-point %30.8% · 29.8%Ball care17.4% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.3% · 33.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
5
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
24/09/23Siauliai v Neptunas90-82
15/04/23Siauliai v Neptunas87-89
06/03/23Neptunas v Siauliai93-79
06/12/22Siauliai v Neptunas61-60
21/03/22Siauliai v Neptunas84-87
15/02/22Siauliai v Neptunas75-77
31/10/21Neptunas v Siauliai86-94
07/05/21Neptunas v Siauliai107-106 OT
21/03/21Siauliai v Neptunas99-68
17/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai77-88
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/24ALietkabelis78-76
12/02/24HZalgiris Kaunas75-95
04/02/24ANevezis92-96 OT
27/01/24ABC Wolves73-92
21/01/24ALietkabelis76-79
14/01/24HGargzdai100-81
07/01/24HJuventus78-91
03/01/24HLietkabelis91-89
23/12/23HRytas70-77
17/12/23AMazeikiai68-70
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24ABristol Flyers84-76
03/03/24HJonava89-86
18/02/24HRytas89-94
17/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas77-87
11/02/24ALietkabelis85-92
06/02/24ALiege97-74
04/02/24HRytas75-99
30/01/24HBrno88-70
28/01/24HNevezis85-77
20/01/24AJonava83-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game83.684.283.0
Allowed / game85.083.586.3
Point differential-1.4+0.7-3.3
Avg total168.5167.7169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Siauliai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLLWLW27%
AwayLWWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%27%30%
Points / game81.279.083.7
Allowed / game87.088.485.4
Point differential-5.7-9.4-1.7
Avg total168.2167.4169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2119290%85.571.7+13.8
2 Rytas2118386%94.178.9+15.2
3 BC Wolves2115671%84.178.2+5.9
4 Lietkabelis1912763%84.581.5+3.0
5 Juventus2113862%89.179.6+9.5
6 Mazeikiai21101148%78.882.0-3.2
7 Neptunas2191243%83.685.0-1.4
8 Jonava2281436%82.585.8-3.4
9 Siauliai2161529%81.287.0-5.7
10 Nevezis2261627%82.692.5-9.9
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2151624%84.894.6-9.9
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1923241985
Siauliai1722221576
← all games of the day
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