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Lietkabelis vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-92
13-23 25-22 20-18 26-29
Position#17
Record5-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#6
Record10-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game78.3
EuropeEurocupRound 14· Kalnapilio arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Gran Canaria
10 Jan 2024
LIE84
GKA92
07 Dec 2016
LIE73
GKA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 78
A26/11
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
111-120 OT
111
120
-9
108avg 78
A29/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 78
H03/12
LKL
Buducnost
#13
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 78
H06/12
Eurocup
Aris
#11
L
60-69
60
69
-9
57avg 78
A12/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
94-106
94
106
-12
94avg 78
A17/12
LKL
Ulm
#9
W
94-90
94
90
+4
94avg 78
H19/12
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
69avg 78
A23/12
LKL
Trento
#16
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 78
A27/12
Eurocup
Neptunas
#3
L
89-91
89
91
-2
85avg 78
A03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
17-16
18-17
23-22
23-21
13-23
23-30
38-23
15-17
17-13
21-21
15-29
21-18
16-21
17-22
27-22
16-18
8-17
20-12
16-22
26-25
23-32
19-22
26-27
18-19
25-28
25-18
26-25
23-20
24-14
12-21
19-18
17-20
10-15
19-19
24-22
26-28
25-18
19-23
19-22
169.5Avg total
83.3Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.886.2169.0-3.538%
Season at home (6)90.787.0177.7+3.767%
Season away (7)76.085.6161.6-9.614%
Last 10 (10)83.386.2169.5-2.930%
Last 5 (5)85.087.2172.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)85.591.1176.6-5.642%
vs Similar (11)78.276.9155.1+1.345%
vs Weaker (7)89.680.0169.6+9.686%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
100-73
100
73
+27
94avg 80
H03/12
ACB
Aris
#11
W
93-65
93
65
+28
94avg 80
H06/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-97
71
97
-26
48avg 80
A10/12
ACB
Ulm
#9
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
98avg 80
A12/12
Eurocup
Bilbao
#13
W
83-75
83
75
+8
87avg 80
H16/12
ACB
Trento
#16
L
76-98
76
98
-22
70avg 80
H19/12
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
98-77
98
77
+21
97avg 80
A22/12
ACB
JL Bourg
#2
L
84-92 OT
84
92
-8
67avg 80
A26/12
Eurocup
Breogan
#16
W
86-60
86
60
+26
77avg 80
H30/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 80
A07/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
24-23
32-19
22-18
29-17
20-21
23-12
21-15
14-31
23-23
16-20
18-23
24-20
25-24
17-24
20-18
19-25
23-18
17-23
24-9
31-27
13-24
15-28
17-19
24-16
27-17
26-20
21-24
19-25
17-26
22-11
18-14
22-10
28-25
23-9
13-16
17-24
20-16
24-19
25-20
169.5Avg total
87.6Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.978.3167.2+10.677%
Season at home (7)90.077.9167.9+12.186%
Season away (6)87.778.8166.5+8.867%
Last 10 (10)87.681.9169.5+5.760%
Last 5 (5)86.081.2167.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.583.0156.5-9.550%
vs Similar (9)84.684.9169.4-0.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.178.1166.2+9.979%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
LietkabelisGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A26/11
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/12
LKL
Buducnost
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H06/12
Eurocup
Aris
#11
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A12/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A17/12
LKL
Ulm
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H19/12
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/12
LKL
Trento
#16
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A27/12
Eurocup
Neptunas
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
79.5Avg total
39.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.980.8+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.283.3+3.054%-
Last 30 away (17)39.239.778.9-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.279.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.887.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.441.682.0-1.242%-
vs Similar (11)38.737.576.3+1.245%-
vs Weaker (7)45.340.786.0+4.671%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/12
ACB
Aris
#11
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H06/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A10/12
ACB
Ulm
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A12/12
Eurocup
Bilbao
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H16/12
ACB
Trento
#16
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H19/12
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A22/12
ACB
JL Bourg
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A26/12
Eurocup
Breogan
#16
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H30/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/01
ACB
86.6Avg total
44.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.440.483.8+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.238.483.6+6.875%-
Last 30 away (14)41.442.684.1-1.257%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.586.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.085.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.545.086.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (9)40.740.381.0+0.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.939.984.9+5.079%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.715.0
50.5%
54.0%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.6
41.1%
35.5%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.317.3
77.6%
74.5%17.3
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.3
53.6%
54.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.7
36.6%
35.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.9
73.5%
74.5%13.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LLWWLLLLLW
Gran Canaria
WWLWLWLLWW
#17
League position
#6
-4.9
Net rating
+7.1
114.2
Offensive rating
112.5
119.1
Defensive rating
105.3
56.0%
Effective FG%
54.2%
60.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.28
41.1%
3-point %
36.6%
75.6%
Assist %
68.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 112.5Defence119.1 · 105.3Shooting56.0% · 54.2%3-point %41.1% · 36.6%Ball care19.2% · 16.4%Off. rebounds29.9% · 30.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lietkabelis wins
3
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
01/11/23Gran Canaria v Lietkabelis88-77
07/12/16Lietkabelis v Gran Canaria73-92
02/11/16Gran Canaria v Lietkabelis86-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24ANeptunas89-91
27/12/23ATrento70-76
23/12/23ABC Wolves78-73
19/12/23HUlm94-90
17/12/23ANevezis94-106
12/12/23AAris60-69
06/12/23HBuducnost81-83
03/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas68-80
29/11/23ACluj-Napoca111-120 OT
26/11/23ASiauliai88-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24AValencia86-79
30/12/23HBreogan86-60
26/12/23AJL Bourg84-92 OT
22/12/23AMoraBanc Andorra98-77
19/12/23HTrento76-98
16/12/23HBilbao83-75
12/12/23AUlm99-103 OT
10/12/23AReal Madrid71-97
06/12/23HAris93-65
03/12/23HPalencia100-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%67%14%
Points / game82.890.776.0
Allowed / game86.287.085.6
Point differential-3.5+3.7-9.6
Avg total169.0177.7161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %15%17%14%
Gran Canaria
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL77%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%86%67%
Points / game88.990.087.7
Allowed / game78.377.978.8
Point differential+10.6+12.1+8.8
Avg total167.2167.9166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%57%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %15%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1312192%99.180.5+18.6
2 JL Bourg1311285%84.577.7+6.8
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1411379%96.687.5+9.1
4 Gran Canaria1310377%88.978.3+10.6
5 London Lions1410471%91.588.9+2.6
6 Cluj-Napoca139469%84.280.5+3.6
7 Besiktas138562%78.075.2+2.8
8 Joventut Badalona138562%86.884.0+2.8
9 Ulm138562%89.286.7+2.5
10 Prometey137654%87.486.5+0.9
11 Aris136746%73.474.5-1.1
12 Trento136746%80.283.2-3.1
13 Lietkabelis135838%82.886.2-3.5
14 Buducnost135838%78.082.8-4.8
15 BC Wolves145936%82.489.8-7.4
16 Turk Telekom134931%80.383.8-3.5
17 Venezia134931%81.585.1-3.6
18 Hamburg1321115%81.499.1-17.7
19 Slask Wroclaw131128%76.083.6-7.6
20 Cedevita Olimpija140140%83.091.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1325202684
Gran Canaria2322182992
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