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Gran Canaria vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 86-60
22-10 28-25 23-9 13-16
Position#7
Record9-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#16
Record4-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game80.1
SpainACBRound 16· Gran Canaria Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Gran Canaria v Breogan
22 Mar 2026
GKA75
BRE83
08 Dec 2024
GKA73
BRE82
30 Dec 2023
GKA86
BRE60
15 Apr 2023
GKA77
BRE66
01 May 2022
GKA84
BRE86
07 Oct 2018
GKA96
BRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
82-94 OT
82
94
-12
no box
H26/11
ACB
Buducnost
#13
W
97-70
97
70
+27
98avg 80
H29/11
Eurocup
Palencia
#18
W
100-73
100
73
+27
94avg 80
H03/12
ACB
Aris
#11
W
93-65
93
65
+28
94avg 80
H06/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-97
71
97
-26
48avg 80
A10/12
ACB
Ulm
#9
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
98avg 80
A12/12
Eurocup
Bilbao
#13
W
83-75
83
75
+8
87avg 80
H16/12
ACB
Trento
#16
L
76-98
76
98
-22
70avg 80
H19/12
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
98-77
98
77
+21
97avg 80
A22/12
ACB
JL Bourg
#2
L
84-92 OT
84
92
-8
67avg 80
A26/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
13-29
18-13
27-16
28-23
21-21
26-10
22-16
22-13
24-23
32-19
22-18
29-17
20-21
23-12
21-15
14-31
23-23
16-20
18-23
24-20
25-24
17-24
20-18
19-25
23-18
17-23
24-9
31-27
13-24
15-28
17-19
24-16
27-17
26-20
21-24
19-25
17-26
22-11
18-14
172.7Avg total
88.3Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.583.8167.3-0.360%
Season at home (8)85.980.1166.0+5.875%
Season away (7)80.988.0168.9-7.143%
Last 10 (10)88.384.4172.7+3.950%
Last 5 (5)88.089.0177.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.087.5161.5-13.525%
vs Similar (8)84.485.6170.0-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.279.1167.3+9.178%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 63
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 63
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 63
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 63
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
38avg 63
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
65-77
65
77
-12
56avg 63
A06/12
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
W
76-68
76
68
+8
72avg 63
A09/12
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 63
H17/12
ACB
Bonn
#9
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
94avg 63
H20/12
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 63
H23/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
19-21
26-24
20-17
24-30
28-15
15-19
16-23
22-17
19-16
19-22
22-17
16-23
18-17
18-17
30-20
19-17
9-24
12-27
18-23
15-19
15-22
11-18
24-18
13-22
18-12
18-19
27-15
16-31
18-15
18-14
22-23
21-19
15-20
21-17
23-24
22-23
18-23
24-20
24-24
160.5Avg total
78.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.180.1154.2-6.127%
Season at home (8)76.980.5157.4-3.625%
Season away (7)70.979.7150.6-8.929%
Last 10 (10)78.482.1160.5-3.740%
Last 5 (5)80.082.0162.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.983.2155.1-11.28%
vs Similar (15)78.979.5158.4-0.547%
vs Weaker (3)64.066.3130.3-2.333%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
Gran CanariaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H26/11
ACB
Buducnost
#13
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H29/11
Eurocup
Palencia
#18
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/12
ACB
Aris
#11
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H06/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A10/12
ACB
Ulm
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A12/12
Eurocup
Bilbao
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H16/12
ACB
Trento
#16
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H19/12
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A22/12
ACB
JL Bourg
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A26/12
Eurocup
87.1Avg total
43.2Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.983.5+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.438.783.1+5.769%-
Last 30 away (14)40.643.484.0-2.957%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.987.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.444.488.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.245.081.2-8.825%-
vs Similar (8)41.140.481.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.740.284.9+4.478%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A06/12
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A09/12
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H17/12
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H23/12
ACB
76.7Avg total
35.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.538.873.3-4.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.037.873.8-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)33.139.872.9-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)35.940.876.7-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.241.275.4-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.639.572.1-6.98%-
vs Similar (15)37.039.476.4-2.433%-
vs Weaker (3)30.033.063.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.3
55.5%
53.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.4
34.8%
34.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.7%
75.6%14.5
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.8
51.6%
53.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.7
29.3%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.617.1
75.7%
75.6%17.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
LWLWLLWWWL
Breogan
LWLWLLWWLL
#7
League position
#16
+9.1
Net rating
-4.4
113.0
Offensive rating
103.7
103.9
Defensive rating
108.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
48.4%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.9%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.8%
3-point %
29.3%
71.6%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 103.7Defence103.9 · 108.1Shooting54.0% · 48.4%3-point %34.8% · 29.3%Ball care16.5% · 18.9%Off. rebounds31.1% · 30.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Gran Canaria wins
2
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
15/04/23Gran Canaria v Breogan77-66
16/10/22Breogan v Gran Canaria53-71
01/05/22Gran Canaria v Breogan84-86
06/11/21Breogan v Gran Canaria76-66
12/05/19Breogan v Gran Canaria77-92
07/10/18Gran Canaria v Breogan96-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/23AJL Bourg84-92 OT
22/12/23AMoraBanc Andorra98-77
19/12/23HTrento76-98
16/12/23HBilbao83-75
12/12/23AUlm99-103 OT
10/12/23AReal Madrid71-97
06/12/23HAris93-65
03/12/23HPalencia100-73
29/11/23HBuducnost97-70
26/11/23HTenerife82-94 OT
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HObradoiro CAB88-90
20/12/23HBonn97-92 OT
17/12/23HMurcia74-83
09/12/23ABilbao76-68
06/12/23ABursaspor65-77
03/12/23AReal Madrid58-91
26/11/23HBasket Zaragoza82-77
22/11/23HHapoel Holon82-72
18/11/23ABasquet Girona83-87
15/11/23AHapoel Holon79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game83.585.980.9
Allowed / game83.880.188.0
Point differential-0.3+5.8-7.1
Avg total167.3166.0168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%12%0%
Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL27%
HomeLWWLL25%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%25%29%
Points / game74.176.970.9
Allowed / game80.180.579.7
Point differential-6.1-3.6-8.9
Avg total154.2157.4150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1514193%91.777.2+14.5
2 Unicaja1613381%88.276.9+11.4
3 Valencia1510567%80.978.0+2.9
4 Barcelona1610662%85.479.6+5.8
5 Murcia1610662%83.879.6+4.2
6 Gran Canaria159660%83.583.8-0.3
7 Manresa169756%85.884.9+0.9
8 Baskonia158753%84.285.0-0.8
9 Tenerife168850%82.181.3+0.8
10 Joventut Badalona168850%81.187.1-6.1
11 Basquet Girona157847%82.586.4-3.9
12 Basket Zaragoza167944%81.982.3-0.4
13 Obradoiro CAB1661038%80.883.4-2.6
14 Bilbao1661038%77.480.6-3.2
15 Granada1651131%83.886.6-2.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra1651131%81.584.8-3.3
17 Breogan1541127%74.180.1-6.1
18 Palencia1621412%75.786.5-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gran Canaria2228231386
Breogan102591660
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