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Lietkabelis vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-90
18-19 25-28 25-18 26-25
Position#17
Record4-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#9
Record8-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game86.2
EuropeEurocupRound 12· Kalnapilio arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Ulm
27 Oct 2026
LIE68
ULM86
15 Oct 2025
LIE94
ULM98
19 Dec 2023
LIE94
ULM90
19 Oct 2022
LIE80
ULM76
11 Jan 2017
LIE86
ULM84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
91-88
91
88
+3
90avg 77
A11/11
LKL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
96avg 77
H14/11
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#7
W
82-64
82
64
+18
81avg 77
A18/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
75-71
75
71
+4
69avg 77
A22/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 77
A26/11
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
111-120 OT
111
120
-9
108avg 77
A29/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 77
H03/12
LKL
Buducnost
#13
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 77
H06/12
Eurocup
Aris
#11
L
60-69
60
69
-9
57avg 77
A12/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
94-106
94
106
-12
94avg 77
A17/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
19-15
23-28
29-25
19-24
25-24
18-22
24-16
24-9
15-25
20-13
23-17
28-24
15-12
25-14
7-21
30-19
17-16
18-17
23-22
23-21
13-23
23-30
38-23
15-17
17-13
21-21
15-29
21-18
16-21
17-22
27-22
16-18
8-17
20-12
16-22
26-25
23-32
19-22
26-27
168.4Avg total
84.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.986.8169.7-3.936%
Season at home (5)90.086.4176.4+3.660%
Season away (6)77.087.2164.2-10.217%
Last 10 (10)84.384.1168.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)82.891.6174.4-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)83.193.4176.5-10.330%
vs Similar (13)78.579.1157.6-0.546%
vs Weaker (7)89.680.0169.6+9.686%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 81
H14/11
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 81
A19/11
BBL
Aris
#11
W
99-88 OT
99
88
+11
108avg 81
A22/11
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
94-87
94
87
+7
47avg 81
H25/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
81avg 81
H29/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
L
89-107
89
107
-18
87avg 81
H03/12
BBL
Trento
#16
W
85-83
85
83
+2
82avg 81
A06/12
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
79avg 81
A09/12
German Cup
Gran Canaria
#6
W
103-99 OT
103
99
+4
99avg 81
H12/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 81
A17/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
14-18
22-11
25-19
25-19
20-22
19-15
24-27
19-21
22-21
14-17
26-22
25-29
23-18
19-21
27-19
17-17
16-36
20-15
31-21
18-28
34-27
18-29
19-23
21-13
22-29
20-21
22-20
22-20
17-19
30-21
18-18
20-24
24-25
24-17
18-20
17-25
28-18
18-23
17-29
176.9Avg total
89.3Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.086.2176.2+3.873%
Season at home (6)93.083.7176.7+9.383%
Season away (5)86.489.2175.6-2.860%
Last 10 (10)89.387.6176.9+1.770%
Last 5 (5)88.892.4181.2-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)86.289.2175.4-3.056%
vs Similar (14)88.684.0172.6+4.686%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)97.389.6186.9+7.786%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
LietkabelisUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/11
LKL
Turk Telekom
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H14/11
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A18/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A26/11
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/12
LKL
Buducnost
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H06/12
Eurocup
Aris
#11
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A12/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A17/12
LKL
78.3Avg total
39.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.781.1-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.740.782.3+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.879.9-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.378.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.076.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.541.679.1-4.130%-
vs Similar (13)40.040.180.1-0.138%-
vs Weaker (7)45.340.786.0+4.671%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/11
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A19/11
BBL
Aris
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/11
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H03/12
BBL
Trento
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A06/12
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A09/12
German Cup
Gran Canaria
#6
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/12
BBL
87.5Avg total
42.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.886.9+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.243.689.8+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)42.042.084.0+0.067%-
Last 10 (10)42.744.887.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.645.690.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.444.184.6-3.744%-
vs Similar (14)43.140.883.9+2.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)50.745.195.9+5.686%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.214.9
51.0%
54.0%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.612.4
40.5%
35.5%37.2
🏀 Free throws20.315.9
78.3%
74.5%15.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.423.0
61.5%
54.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.1
35.0%
35.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
74.5%15.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LLLLLWWWWW
Ulm
LWWWLLWWWW
#17
League position
#9
-1.7
Net rating
+2.7
114.9
Offensive rating
112.8
116.6
Defensive rating
110.1
56.0%
Effective FG%
57.8%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.6%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.5%
3-point %
35.0%
77.3%
Assist %
64.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 112.8Defence116.6 · 110.1Shooting56.0% · 57.8%3-point %40.5% · 35.0%Ball care18.7% · 19.6%Off. rebounds31.0% · 30.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lietkabelis wins
2
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
17/10/23Ulm v Lietkabelis99-74
18/01/23Ulm v Lietkabelis78-69
19/10/22Lietkabelis v Ulm80-76
08/02/17Ulm v Lietkabelis81-86
11/01/17Lietkabelis v Ulm86-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ANevezis94-106
12/12/23AAris60-69
06/12/23HBuducnost81-83
03/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas68-80
29/11/23ACluj-Napoca111-120 OT
26/11/23ASiauliai88-74
22/11/23ASlask Wroclaw75-71
18/11/23AMazeikiai82-64
14/11/23HTurk Telekom93-86 OT
11/11/23AJuventus91-88
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ABayern80-95
12/12/23HGran Canaria103-99 OT
09/12/23AChemnitz87-78
06/12/23ATrento85-83
03/12/23HRostock89-107
29/11/23HJL Bourg84-89
25/11/23HCrailsheim Merlins94-87
22/11/23AAris99-88 OT
19/11/23AWurzburg88-83
14/11/23HBuducnost84-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game82.990.077.0
Allowed / game86.886.487.2
Point differential-3.9+3.6-10.2
Avg total169.7176.4164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %18%20%17%
Ulm
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game90.093.086.4
Allowed / game86.283.789.2
Point differential+3.8+9.3-2.8
Avg total176.2176.7175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %27%33%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1110191%97.679.8+17.8
2 Gran Canaria1110191%90.575.3+15.3
3 JL Bourg119282%82.676.1+6.5
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv108280%95.086.3+8.7
5 Cluj-Napoca118373%84.279.3+4.9
6 London Lions118373%92.387.8+4.5
7 Ulm118373%90.086.2+3.8
8 Besiktas116555%77.675.9+1.7
9 Joventut Badalona116555%85.984.7+1.2
10 Prometey116555%85.785.0+0.7
11 BC Wolves104640%84.591.3-6.8
12 Venezia114736%81.583.4-1.8
13 Lietkabelis114736%82.986.8-3.9
14 Aris114736%69.673.8-4.2
15 Buducnost114736%77.983.5-5.6
16 Trento114736%78.985.1-6.2
17 Turk Telekom113827%79.583.2-3.7
18 Hamburg112918%78.795.5-16.7
19 Slask Wroclaw111109%76.283.1-6.9
20 Cedevita Olimpija110110%80.990.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1825252694
Ulm1928182590
← all games of the day
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