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Neptunas vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-89
28-26 18-25 23-19 22-19
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#7
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals· Svyturio arena
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Neptunas v Lietkabelis
17 Feb 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
23 Jan 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
11 Jun 2026
NEP66
LIE63
06 Jun 2026
NEP86
LIE73
28 Mar 2026
NEP96
LIE87
22 Feb 2026
NEP73
LIE94
24 Jan 2026
NEP97
LIE87
02 Mar 2025
NEP72
LIE91
11 Jan 2025
NEP56
LIE63
13 Apr 2024
NEP88
LIE84
03 Jan 2024
NEP91
LIE89
16 Sep 2023
NEP91
LIE81
03 Apr 2023
NEP73
LIE86
05 Mar 2022
NEP73
LIE83
05 Jan 2022
NEP69
LIE73
06 Oct 2021
NEP53
LIE81
16 May 2021
NEP78
LIE94
01 May 2021
NEP83
LIE73
05 Dec 2020
NEP80
LIE90
29 Feb 2020
NEP78
LIE84
09 Nov 2019
NEP78
LIE74
17 Mar 2019
NEP72
LIE74
30 Sep 2018
NEP76
LIE89
15 Jun 2018
NEP79
LIE71
10 Jun 2018
NEP69
LIE83
27 Jan 2018
NEP83
LIE78
02 Dec 2017
NEP86
LIE76
15 Jan 2017
NEP86
LIE61
19 Nov 2016
NEP67
LIE77
16 Jan 2016
NEP70
LIE74
22 Nov 2015
NEP73
LIE65
01 Feb 2015
NEP102
LIE76
16 Nov 2014
NEP98
LIE86
09 Oct 2013
NEP84
LIE79
03 Oct 2012
NEP84
LIE78
01 Oct 2011
NEP80
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-80
109
80
+29
112avg 79
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
74avg 79
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 79
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
97-74
97
74
+23
106avg 79
H20/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
80avg 79
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 79
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
75avg 79
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
69-64
69
64
+5
68avg 79
H10/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
59avg 79
A17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 79
H23/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
33-20
25-23
25-15
28-28
10-22
20-24
17-19
24-19
12-28
21-21
27-10
19-24
24-14
28-15
26-21
24-21
22-19
16-29
16-23
31-16
21-16
10-22
26-22
24-19
18-26
19-13
25-25
12-13
20-19
12-16
25-16
18-17
15-17
23-23
12-13
17-19
17-18
24-21
12-19
161.1Avg total
82.4Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.285.5176.7+5.783%
Season at home (3)95.082.7177.7+12.3100%
Season away (3)87.388.3175.7-1.067%
Last 10 (10)82.478.7161.1+3.760%
Last 5 (5)76.274.0150.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.295.2178.5-12.012%
vs Similar (8)84.584.8169.2-0.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.781.6172.4+9.179%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
75-71
75
71
+4
69avg 77
A22/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 77
A26/11
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
111-120 OT
111
120
-9
108avg 77
A29/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 77
H03/12
LKL
Buducnost
#13
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 77
H06/12
Eurocup
Aris
#11
L
60-69
60
69
-9
57avg 77
A12/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
94-106
94
106
-12
94avg 77
A17/12
LKL
Ulm
#9
W
94-90
94
90
+4
94avg 77
H19/12
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
69avg 77
A23/12
LKL
Trento
#16
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 77
A27/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
15-12
25-14
7-21
30-19
17-16
18-17
23-22
23-21
13-23
23-30
38-23
15-17
17-13
21-21
15-29
21-18
16-21
17-22
27-22
16-18
8-17
20-12
16-22
26-25
23-32
19-22
26-27
18-19
25-28
25-18
26-25
23-20
24-14
12-21
19-18
17-20
10-15
19-19
24-22
166.1Avg total
81.9Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.984.2166.1-2.340%
Last 5 (5)79.282.8162.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)85.291.1176.3-5.945%
vs Similar (12)76.977.3154.2-0.442%
vs Weaker (7)89.680.0169.6+9.686%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
NeptunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H20/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H10/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H23/12
LKL
81.2Avg total
41.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.185.4+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.544.185.6-2.629%-
Last 30 away (16)44.940.285.2+4.762%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.781.2+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.074.6+2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.144.685.8-3.538%-
vs Similar (8)41.939.981.8+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.441.987.3+3.650%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A26/11
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/12
LKL
Buducnost
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H06/12
Eurocup
Aris
#11
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A12/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A17/12
LKL
Ulm
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H19/12
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/12
LKL
Trento
#16
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A27/12
Eurocup
77.7Avg total
38.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.880.3+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.740.483.1+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)38.539.377.8-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.277.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.679.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.541.280.6-1.736%-
vs Similar (12)38.638.076.6+0.642%-
vs Weaker (7)45.340.786.0+4.671%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.1
56.8%
56.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.7
37.5%
34.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.911.3
71.1%
74.5%11.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.414.2
48.3%
56.9%28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.7
40.3%
34.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws22.117.2
77.8%
74.5%17.2
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWWWLWWLW
Lietkabelis
LWWLLLLLWW
#3
League position
#7
+5.4
Net rating
-4.0
113.1
Offensive rating
112.2
107.7
Defensive rating
116.2
56.6%
Effective FG%
54.4%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
59.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
19.9%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.38
37.5%
3-point %
40.3%
71.8%
Assist %
76.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 112.2Defence107.7 · 116.2Shooting56.6% · 54.4%3-point %37.5% · 40.3%Ball care19.3% · 19.9%Off. rebounds32.6% · 31.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
7
Lietkabelis wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HRytas70-77
17/12/23AMazeikiai68-70
10/12/23HJonava69-64
03/12/23APieno Zvaigzdes86-83
27/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas88-76
23/11/23AJuventus78-92
20/11/23HNevezis97-74
16/11/23HGargzdai84-78
11/11/23ARytas75-93
08/11/23HMazeikiai109-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23ATrento70-76
23/12/23ABC Wolves78-73
19/12/23HUlm94-90
17/12/23ANevezis94-106
12/12/23AAris60-69
06/12/23HBuducnost81-83
03/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas68-80
29/11/23ACluj-Napoca111-120 OT
26/11/23ASiauliai88-74
22/11/23ASlask Wroclaw75-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game91.295.087.3
Allowed / game85.582.788.3
Point differential+5.7+12.3-1.0
Avg total176.7177.7175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Lietkabelis
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%95.076.0+19.0
2 Rytas110100%98.086.0+12.0
3 Siauliai65183%94.284.3+9.8
4 Neptunas65183%91.285.5+5.7
5 Juventus95456%90.184.9+5.2
6 Nevezis84450%91.090.0+1.0
7 BC Olimpas Palanga63350%76.279.0-2.8
8 Gargzdai62433%79.785.7-6.0
9 Mazeikiai61517%84.393.0-8.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes61517%85.294.3-9.2
11 BC Wolves1010%76.095.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2818232291
Lietkabelis2625191989
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