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Lietkabelis vs Jonava Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 04 May 2027
Tip-off: 15:50
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record3-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.0
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Jonava
04 May 2027
LIE v JON
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
LIE65
JON71
15 Mar 2026
LIE91
JON80
23 Sep 2025
LIE101
JON74
16 Jun 2025
LIE92
JON78
11 Jun 2025
LIE83
JON90
13 May 2025
LIE72
JON68
08 Feb 2025
LIE86
JON88
24 Mar 2024
LIE90
JON80
04 Nov 2023
LIE84
JON79
09 Jun 2023
LIE84
JON72
05 Jun 2023
LIE63
JON82
31 May 2023
LIE80
JON89
16 Apr 2023
LIE85
JON72
07 Jan 2023
LIE86
JON84
03 Mar 2022
LIE103
JON71
02 Jan 2022
LIE88
JON69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 67
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 67
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 67
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 67
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 67
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#16
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 67
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
W
99-79
99
79
+20
91avg 67
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
61-99
61
99
-38
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
15-13
15-14
22-24
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
19-33
29-20
25-11
26-15
14-24
14-21
17-22
21-13
20-21
22-25
23-14
20-21
19-22
16-25
9-32
17-20
155.0Avg total
75.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.681.1160.7-1.656%
Season at home (5)83.678.4162.0+5.280%
Season away (4)74.584.5159.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)75.679.4155.0-3.850%
Last 5 (5)75.885.0160.8-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.186.9165.1-8.829%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.677.9156.5+0.745%
vs Weaker (5)71.671.0142.6+0.660%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
81avg 75
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
61avg 75
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
54avg 75
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
71-65
71
65
+6
65avg 75
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
79avg 75
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-86
63
86
-23
53avg 75
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 75
A28/10
ENBL
Juventus
#7
W
94-82
94
82
+12
94avg 75
H31/10
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H05/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
no box
H08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
19-18
21-18
27-10
14-22
23-14
21-22
13-19
16-20
17-28
17-22
13-9
20-13
13-15
14-15
24-22
24-29
21-19
21-17
17-19
15-24
11-17
14-24
23-21
20-18
17-20
24-12
19-17
16-27
29-15
24-25
25-15
22-27
22-22
22-12
21-30
20-17
16-20
18-30
16-24
155.4Avg total
76.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.482.0160.4-3.633%
Season at home (6)80.382.0162.3-1.733%
Season away (3)74.782.0156.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)76.778.7155.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)78.883.4162.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)82.990.0172.8-7.127%
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.283.0165.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (2)82.566.0148.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
LietkabelisJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#16
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/11
Eurocup
79.1Avg total
38.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.642.079.6-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.142.280.3-4.120%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.979.0-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.679.1-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.048.287.2-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.643.883.4-4.214%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.043.580.5-6.518%-
vs Weaker (5)33.434.067.4-0.660%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
ENBL
Juventus
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H31/10
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H05/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H08/11
LKL
77.7Avg total
37.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.784.0-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.042.683.6-1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)39.645.084.6-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.477.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.479.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.645.085.5-4.432%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.541.281.7-0.767%-
vs Weaker (2)37.037.574.5-0.50%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.8
35.0%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
70.8%14.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.2
56.8%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.1
30.2%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.514.5
67.4%
70.8%14.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWLWLLWWWL
Jonava
LLWWLLWLLW
#5
League position
#8
-2.7
Net rating
+6.4
95.5
Offensive rating
91.3
98.3
Defensive rating
84.9
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.7%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.0%
3-point %
30.2%
56.1%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 91.3Defence98.3 · 84.9Shooting51.9% · 51.7%3-point %35.0% · 30.2%Ball care15.3% · 17.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Lietkabelis wins
3
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Lietkabelis v Jonava65-71
29/04/26Jonava v Lietkabelis69-67
15/03/26Lietkabelis v Jonava91-80
16/11/25Jonava v Lietkabelis85-96
23/09/25Lietkabelis v Jonava101-74
18/06/25Jonava v Lietkabelis73-81
16/06/25Lietkabelis v Jonava92-78
13/06/25Jonava v Lietkabelis85-104
11/06/25Lietkabelis v Jonava83-90
13/05/25Lietkabelis v Jonava72-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABahcesehir Kol.61-99
07/11/26HRytas85-81
04/11/26HManresa66-80
31/10/26HNeptunas99-79
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86
10/10/26HJonava65-71
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HGargzdai70-91
05/11/26HRytas87-91
31/10/26HJuventus94-82
28/10/26ACIU80-67
25/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas63-86
17/10/26HNeptunas83-84
10/10/26ALietkabelis71-65
03/10/26HSiauliai63-79
27/09/26HTindastoll71-77
22/09/26HNevezis85-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game79.683.674.5
Allowed / game81.178.484.5
Point differential-1.6+5.2-10.0
Avg total160.7162.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game78.480.374.7
Allowed / game82.082.082.0
Point differential-3.6-1.7-7.3
Avg total160.4162.3156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Gargzdai96367%89.086.2+2.8
3 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
4 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
5 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1.6
6 Siauliai94544%83.286.0-2.8
7 Juventus93633%85.288.0-2.8
8 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
9 Taurage93633%81.287.1-5.9
10 Nevezis81712%73.982.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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