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Jonava vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 May 2025
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 74-98
18-26 28-27 13-31 15-14
Position#5
Record21-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Position#1
Record37-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game73.1
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Semi-finals· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Jonava v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Apr 2027
JON v ZAL
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
JON v ZAL
upcoming
22 May 2026
JON75
ZAL90
14 Apr 2026
JON84
ZAL101
21 Dec 2025
JON73
ZAL118
20 Sep 2025
JON78
ZAL87
31 May 2025
JON74
ZAL98
11 May 2025
JON81
ZAL91
25 Sep 2024
JON72
ZAL93
07 Jan 2024
JON67
ZAL75
07 May 2023
JON82
ZAL89
19 Feb 2023
JON77
ZAL81
05 Dec 2022
JON75
ZAL80
10 Apr 2022
JON100
ZAL97
16 Jan 2022
JON75
ZAL86
20 Sep 2021
JON80
ZAL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
82-112
82
112
-30
70avg 80
A29/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
106-101
106
101
+5
97avg 80
H04/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
107-86
107
86
+21
105avg 80
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 80
H11/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
55avg 80
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
79avg 80
A18/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
91avg 80
H20/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
103-102
103
102
+1
86avg 80
A24/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
102-98
102
98
+4
101avg 80
H26/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
61-73
61
73
-12
46avg 80
A29/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
31-27
4-24
25-29
29-22
29-24
23-24
25-31
31-19
22-19
24-24
30-24
24-20
22-25
12-25
23-21
24-15
8-16
19-21
17-20
30-22
14-28
23-14
20-27
18-18
20-13
31-18
12-32
21-30
24-18
26-25
32-29
25-26
32-22
22-18
23-32
17-16
10-22
25-14
9-21
181.4Avg total
89.0Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)89.490.1179.5-0.754%
Season at home (19)91.589.5181.0+1.958%
Season away (20)87.590.6178.1-3.150%
Last 10 (10)89.092.4181.4-3.440%
Last 5 (5)89.292.4181.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.288.7167.9-9.422%
vs Similar (18)92.392.9185.2-0.761%
vs Weaker (3)102.071.0173.0+31.0100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
105-88
105
88
+17
109avg 80
H29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
92avg 80
A03/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
84-49
84
49
+35
82avg 80
H07/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
97avg 80
A11/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
89-75
89
75
+14
83avg 80
H14/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
97-79
97
79
+18
96avg 80
H18/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
71-66
71
66
+5
68avg 80
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
90avg 80
H24/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
98-70
98
70
+28
95avg 80
A26/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
73-61
73
61
+12
72avg 80
H29/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
27-30
29-23
25-17
21-16
22-20
26-22
19-18
20-7
27-8
22-18
15-16
20-24
25-22
25-12
21-23
21-20
29-16
23-16
16-23
25-11
22-18
22-26
28-24
23-17
12-23
21-11
15-15
21-14
22-20
24-21
21-20
22-22
27-13
27-17
22-18
16-17
22-10
14-25
21-9
160.4Avg total
88.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)90.973.1164.0+17.895%
Season at home (20)91.270.2161.4+21.0100%
Season away (19)90.676.1166.7+14.589%
Last 10 (10)88.472.0160.4+16.4100%
Last 5 (5)85.470.2155.6+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.788.3166.0-10.70%
vs Similar (5)76.676.2152.8+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.472.6162.0+16.8100%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
JonavaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A29/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H04/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H11/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A18/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H20/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A24/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H26/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A29/05
LKL
88.7Avg total
45.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.542.687.2+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.642.690.3+5.064%-
Last 30 away (16)41.842.684.4-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)45.343.488.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.085.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.644.885.3-4.233%-
vs Similar (18)45.243.288.4+2.050%-
vs Weaker (3)52.332.785.0+19.7100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A03/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
47-15
47
15
+32
H07/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A11/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H14/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A26/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H29/05
LKL
79.4Avg total
44.8Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.878.4+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.233.676.8+9.677%-
Last 30 away (17)40.439.379.6+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.834.679.4+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.433.075.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.081.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (5)34.841.676.4-6.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.534.978.5+8.673%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.9
52.9%
55.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.5
36.4%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.215.7
77.7%
75.0%15.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.822.8
65.5%
55.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.3
35.9%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.614.1
75.8%
75.0%14.1
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LWWLLLLWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
-4.7
Net rating
+23.8
114.8
Offensive rating
124.2
119.5
Defensive rating
100.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
60.5%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.7%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
35.9%
58.0%
Assist %
66.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 124.2Defence119.5 · 100.4Shooting53.6% · 60.5%3-point %36.4% · 35.9%Ball care16.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds32.1% · 31.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 100%
■ Jonava   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jonava wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/25AZalgiris Kaunas61-73
26/05/25HBC Wolves102-98
24/05/25ABC Wolves103-102
20/05/25HNeptunas93-98 OT
18/05/25ABC Wolves87-91
13/05/25ALietkabelis68-72
11/05/25HZalgiris Kaunas81-91
06/05/25AMazeikiai107-86
04/05/25HSiauliai106-101
29/04/25ARytas82-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/25HJonava73-61
26/05/25ANeptunas98-70
24/05/25HNeptunas88-75
21/05/25ASiauliai71-66
18/05/25HRytas97-79
14/05/25HBC Wolves89-75
11/05/25AJonava91-81
07/05/25HNeptunas84-49
03/05/25ALietkabelis88-76
29/04/25HNevezis105-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL54%
HomeWWLLW58%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %54%58%50%
Points / game89.491.587.5
Allowed / game90.189.590.6
Point differential-0.7+1.9-3.1
Avg total179.5181.0178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%16%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)60% (10)56% (9)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %95%100%89%
Points / game90.991.290.6
Allowed / game73.170.276.1
Point differential+17.8+20.9+14.5
Avg total164.0161.3166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%80%63%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3937295%90.973.1+17.8
2 Rytas3932782%94.284.1+10.1
3 Lietkabelis39221756%83.781.4+2.3
4 Jonava39211854%89.490.1-0.7
5 BC Wolves38201853%90.989.8+1.0
6 Juventus38162242%85.387.7-2.4
7 Neptunas38142437%84.188.7-4.7
8 Siauliai38142437%90.396.2-5.8
9 Nevezis36112531%90.890.8+0.0
10 Mazeikiai363338%79.098.5-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava1828131574
Zalgiris Kaunas2627311498
← all games of the day
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