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Jonava vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 93-98 (OT)
18-18 20-13 31-18 12-32 12-17
Position#5
Record19-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#7
Record13-22
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game88.4
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Jonava v Neptunas
08 May 2027
JON v NEP
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
JON83
NEP84
21 Mar 2026
JON81
NEP64
07 Dec 2025
JON117
NEP124
20 May 2025
JON93
NEP98
28 Dec 2024
JON86
NEP82
15 Oct 2024
JON88
NEP84
08 Apr 2024
JON78
NEP81
29 Oct 2023
JON88
NEP77
01 Feb 2023
JON83
NEP66
21 Jan 2023
JON76
NEP75
16 Dec 2021
JON64
NEP89
21 Oct 2021
JON86
NEP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
116-55
116
55
+61
106avg 80
H16/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
99-104
99
104
-5
82avg 80
H21/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
78avg 80
H23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
102-80
102
80
+22
105avg 80
A26/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-112
82
112
-30
70avg 80
A29/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
106-101
106
101
+5
97avg 80
H04/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
107-86
107
86
+21
105avg 80
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 80
H11/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
55avg 80
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
79avg 80
A18/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-10
28-18
35-14
16-13
29-26
25-30
21-28
24-20
24-16
23-17
13-25
18-14
22-22
17-19
30-22
33-17
22-32
31-27
4-24
25-29
29-22
29-24
23-24
25-31
31-19
22-19
24-24
30-24
24-20
22-25
12-25
23-21
24-15
8-16
19-21
17-20
30-22
14-28
23-14
20-27
179.0Avg total
92.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)89.489.8179.1-0.454%
Season at home (17)90.888.5179.3+2.259%
Season away (18)88.190.9179.0-2.950%
Last 10 (10)92.686.4179.0+6.250%
Last 5 (5)89.888.2178.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.691.8171.3-12.222%
vs Similar ◀ (17)91.891.9183.7-0.259%
vs Weaker (4)95.572.8168.2+22.875%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-97
85
97
-12
85avg 81
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
94-100
94
100
-6
92avg 81
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
79avg 81
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
89avg 81
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 81
A30/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
96-90
96
90
+6
97avg 81
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
49-84
49
84
-35
38avg 81
A07/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
84-96
84
96
-12
70avg 81
A11/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 81
H14/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
100-88
100
88
+12
102avg 81
H17/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
23-15
23-30
21-30
24-36
18-17
20-25
32-22
16-30
24-21
22-26
23-26
28-26
19-19
14-27
29-23
24-27
23-19
16-18
16-20
27-20
20-18
21-26
28-26
7-20
8-27
18-22
16-15
21-25
21-27
21-26
21-18
23-20
21-14
26-28
15-17
25-15
21-28
28-28
26-17
176.3Avg total
84.7Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)84.388.4172.7-4.037%
Season at home (18)83.486.2169.6-2.839%
Season away (17)85.490.6176.0-5.335%
Last 10 (10)84.791.6176.3-6.930%
Last 5 (5)82.887.4170.2-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.289.9169.2-10.719%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.591.4179.9-2.925%
vs Weaker (6)88.776.0164.7+12.783%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
JonavaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
65-28
65
28
+37
H16/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H21/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A26/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A29/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H04/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H11/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A18/05
LKL
91.8Avg total
49.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.186.9+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.943.691.5+4.362%-
Last 30 away (17)40.642.783.4-2.135%-
Last 10 (10)49.142.791.8+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.088.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.145.785.8-5.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)45.344.489.7+0.947%-
vs Weaker (4)45.831.877.5+14.075%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A30/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
15-47
15
47
-32
A07/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H14/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H17/05
LKL
85.7Avg total
41.1Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.344.484.7-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.842.884.6-1.153%-
Last 30 away (13)38.446.584.8-8.115%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.685.7-3.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.881.6-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.644.983.5-6.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.547.589.0-6.025%-
vs Weaker (6)43.338.882.2+4.550%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.2
53.8%
55.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.4
37.3%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.516.4
76.3%
75.0%16.4
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.320.2
58.9%
55.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.1
33.5%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.016.1
73.2%
75.0%16.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLLWWLWWLW
Neptunas
WWLLWLLLLL
#5
League position
#7
+8.5
Net rating
-8.9
118.2
Offensive rating
109.1
109.7
Defensive rating
118.0
54.6%
Effective FG%
55.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
21.1%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.3%
3-point %
33.5%
55.8%
Assist %
72.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 109.1Defence109.7 · 118.0Shooting54.6% · 55.0%3-point %37.3% · 33.5%Ball care16.5% · 21.1%Off. rebounds35.0% · 31.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Jonava   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Jonava wins
5
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25Neptunas v Jonava97-98
28/12/24Jonava v Neptunas86-82
13/11/24Neptunas v Jonava111-110 OT
15/10/24Jonava v Neptunas88-84
29/09/24Neptunas v Jonava90-87
08/04/24Jonava v Neptunas78-81
10/12/23Neptunas v Jonava69-64
29/10/23Jonava v Neptunas88-77
26/03/23Neptunas v Jonava76-70
01/02/23Jonava v Neptunas83-66
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25ABC Wolves87-91
13/05/25ALietkabelis68-72
11/05/25HZalgiris Kaunas81-91
06/05/25AMazeikiai107-86
04/05/25HSiauliai106-101
29/04/25ARytas82-112
26/04/25ANevezis102-80
23/04/25HJuventus78-72
21/04/25HRytas99-104
16/04/25HMazeikiai116-55
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HJuventus100-88
14/05/25HMazeikiai85-79
11/05/25ABC Wolves84-96
07/05/25AZalgiris Kaunas49-84
04/05/25HNevezis96-90
30/04/25ALietkabelis79-84
27/04/25HSiauliai90-95
24/04/25ARytas85-103
21/04/25AJuventus94-100
15/04/25HBC Wolves85-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL54%
HomeWLWWL59%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %54%59%50%
Points / game89.490.888.1
Allowed / game89.888.590.9
Point differential-0.4+2.2-2.9
Avg total179.1179.3179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%18%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)62% (8)50% (8)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW37%
HomeLLWWW39%
AwayLLLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %37%39%35%
Points / game84.383.485.4
Allowed / game88.486.290.6
Point differential-4.0-2.8-5.3
Avg total172.7169.6176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3533294%91.973.7+18.2
2 Rytas3528780%92.783.8+8.9
3 Lietkabelis36201656%83.581.1+2.4
4 BC Wolves35191654%89.889.3+0.6
5 Jonava35191654%89.489.8-0.4
6 Juventus36162044%85.487.7-2.3
7 Siauliai35142140%91.595.6-4.1
8 Neptunas35132237%84.388.4-4.0
9 Nevezis35112431%90.590.3+0.1
10 Mazeikiai353329%78.998.2-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Jonava182031121293
Neptunas181318321798
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