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Lietkabelis vs Nevezis-OPTIBET Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 88-95
28-27 23-18 12-27 25-23
Position#3
Record20-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game79.7
Lietkabelis
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis-OPTIBET 🏆
Lithuania
Position#10
Record8-23
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game84.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Nevezis-OPTIBET
24 Apr 2021
LIE88
NOP95
20 Jan 2021
LIE98
NOP69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis-OPTIBET winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 74
A03/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
67-76
67
76
-9
53avg 74
A06/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
no box
A09/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
no box
A14/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 74
A20/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
88-94
88
94
-6
85avg 74
H06/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H08/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
no box
H11/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
87-97
87
97
-10
73avg 74
A15/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
98-90
98
90
+8
99avg 74
H18/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
28-17
16-16
19-22
19-16
14-24
18-15
16-21
22-21
23-15
6-18
16-27
19-20
17-19
27-22
22-24
29-19
21-24
19-25
19-10
30-26
16-32
18-18
24-18
25-17
17-25
23-23
17-12
20-17
14-21
21-17
20-20
27-22
26-17
7-26
27-32
27-26
19-24
21-19
31-21
169.2Avg total
84.6Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.779.7164.3+5.067%
Season at home (14)90.480.3170.6+10.179%
Season away (16)79.779.1158.8+0.656%
Last 10 (10)84.684.6169.2+0.060%
Last 5 (5)88.487.4175.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.078.4152.4-4.425%
vs Similar (4)86.079.2165.2+6.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.081.9169.9+6.178%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis-OPTIBET
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
81-99
81
99
-18
68avg 66
H28/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
76-67
76
67
+9
70avg 66
H06/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
71-84
71
84
-13
60avg 66
H13/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
62avg 66
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
82avg 66
A03/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
70-97
70
97
-27
58avg 66
A05/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 66
A14/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
73-92
73
92
-19
56avg 66
A17/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
57-71
57
71
-14
43avg 66
H20/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-35
24-16
20-20
19-28
16-19
24-14
15-18
21-16
21-20
12-26
17-16
21-22
20-29
25-24
19-20
12-14
23-22
17-21
22-24
21-17
18-20
17-33
19-22
16-22
22-16
26-20
22-18
18-23
20-22
12-16
21-25
18-21
25-22
25-24
11-23
12-23
13-21
17-20
18-14
9-16
158.8Avg total
74.6Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.984.7159.6-9.826%
Season at home (16)74.183.0157.1-8.944%
Season away (15)75.886.5162.3-10.77%
Last 10 (10)74.684.2158.8-9.620%
Last 5 (5)71.884.2156.0-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.386.3158.6-14.018%
vs Similar (13)77.883.6161.5-5.831%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
LietkabelisNevezis-OPTIBET
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A03/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A14/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A20/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H06/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H08/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H11/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A15/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H18/04
LKL
86.7Avg total
43.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.481.4+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.941.583.4+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)40.239.579.8+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.186.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.489.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.139.575.6-3.450%-
vs Similar (4)41.538.880.2+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.141.284.3+1.844%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H28/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H13/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A05/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H20/04
LKL
83.5Avg total
39.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.742.880.5-5.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.641.679.1-4.044%-
Last 30 away (14)37.844.282.0-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.083.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.881.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.543.781.2-6.235%-
vs Similar (13)37.841.679.5-3.831%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.7
54.1%
54.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.3
37.7%
36.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.714.1
75.4%
75.2%14.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.0
45.8%
54.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.5
33.3%
36.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.612.6
67.7%
75.2%12.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLWWLWWLLW
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LLLWLLLLWL
#3
League position
#10
-1.5
Net rating
-12.4
109.1
Offensive rating
99.0
110.5
Defensive rating
111.5
55.0%
Effective FG%
47.5%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
21.6%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.7%
3-point %
33.3%
59.7%
Assist %
61.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 99.0Defence110.5 · 111.5Shooting55.0% · 47.5%3-point %37.7% · 33.3%Ball care18.7% · 21.6%Off. rebounds26.9% · 35.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Nevezis-OPTIBET
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lietkabelis wins
2
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
DateGameScore
06/03/21Nevezis-OPTIBET v Lietkabelis76-67
20/01/21Lietkabelis v Nevezis-OPTIBET98-69
24/09/20Nevezis-OPTIBET v Lietkabelis76-70
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/21HPieno Zvaigzdes98-90
15/04/21ASiauliai87-97
11/04/21HCBet87-79 OT
08/04/21HNeptunas82-77
06/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas88-94
20/03/21AJuventus88-78
14/03/21AAlytaus Dzukija96-90 OT
09/03/21ARytas67-81
06/03/21ANevezis-OPTIBET67-76
03/03/21ASiauliai86-84
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/21HAlytaus Dzukija57-71
17/04/21AJuventus73-92
14/04/21APieno Zvaigzdes71-84
11/04/21HNeptunas88-77
05/04/21ACBet70-97
03/04/21ANeptunas83-84
20/03/21AAlytaus Dzukija76-87
13/03/21HCBet71-84
06/03/21HLietkabelis76-67
28/02/21HJuventus81-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayLLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %67%79%56%
Points / game84.790.479.7
Allowed / game79.780.379.1
Point differential+5.0+10.1+0.6
Avg total164.3170.6158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %10%14%6%
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL26%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %26%44%7%
Points / game74.974.175.8
Allowed / game84.783.086.5
Point differential-9.8-8.9-10.7
Avg total159.6157.1162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%12%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2926390%90.170.4+19.7
2 Rytas2923679%88.079.5+8.4
3 Lietkabelis30201067%84.779.7+5.0
4 Juventus32201262%87.585.3+2.2
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes31121939%80.183.1-3.0
6 CBet31121939%84.288.4-4.2
7 Siauliai30111937%84.690.1-5.4
8 Alytaus Dzukija30102033%80.384.0-3.7
9 Neptunas31102132%77.585.0-7.5
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET3182326%74.984.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2823122588
Nevezis-OPTIBET2718272395
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