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Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 82-77
25-17 17-25 23-23 17-12
Position#3
Record17-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#6
Record9-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game84.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE99
NEP79
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
02 May 2020
LIE v NEP
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
A14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
93-85
93
85
+8
92avg 73
H24/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 73
A27/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 73
A03/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
67-76
67
76
-9
53avg 73
A06/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
no box
A09/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
no box
A14/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 73
A20/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
88-94
88
94
-6
85avg 73
H06/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
30-23
20-20
18-19
8-19
20-18
13-21
28-18
22-16
23-22
29-18
19-29
21-17
19-20
17-24
23-16
23-29
28-17
16-16
19-22
19-16
14-24
18-15
16-21
22-21
23-15
6-18
16-27
19-20
17-19
27-22
22-24
29-19
21-24
19-25
19-10
30-26
16-32
18-18
24-18
163.2Avg total
81.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.178.7162.8+5.365%
Season at home (11)90.779.8170.5+10.973%
Season away (15)79.277.9157.1+1.360%
Last 10 (10)81.881.4163.2+0.460%
Last 5 (5)81.283.8165.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.679.9154.5-5.318%
vs Similar (4)86.079.2165.2+6.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.280.5167.7+6.780%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
99-93
99
93
+6
103avg 72
H06/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
81-64
81
64
+17
82avg 72
H09/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
69-86
69
86
-17
no box
H14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
65avg 72
A28/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
58-98
58
98
-40
37avg 72
A03/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
66-72
66
72
-6
60avg 72
A07/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
59-80
59
80
-21
56avg 72
H13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
68-99
68
99
-31
no box
A21/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
84-83
84
83
+1
80avg 72
H03/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
29-17
20-21
30-27
15-10
26-23
22-16
18-15
21-15
14-23
18-17
19-29
11-21
22-19
18-25
18-21
26-22
11-27
17-16
18-20
17-22
13-24
16-29
12-23
28-10
18-15
13-28
7-19
5-22
18-15
18-18
18-25
18-22
10-27
15-26
25-24
22-23
21-17
24-22
17-21
157.2Avg total
72.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.884.8161.6-8.135%
Season at home (13)80.484.4164.8-4.054%
Season away (13)73.285.3158.5-12.215%
Last 10 (10)72.884.4157.2-11.630%
Last 5 (5)67.086.4153.4-19.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.988.9162.8-15.17%
vs Similar (15)78.179.6157.7-1.553%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H24/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A03/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A14/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A20/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H06/04
LKL
82.8Avg total
42.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.580.6-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.241.083.2+1.255%-
Last 30 away (19)39.040.279.2-1.237%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.882.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.285.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.340.476.6-4.136%-
vs Similar (4)41.538.880.2+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.741.083.7+1.747%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H06/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H09/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A28/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A03/03
LKL
CBet
#5
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A07/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A21/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H03/04
LKL
76.7Avg total
36.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.580.2-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.842.081.8-2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)37.841.078.8-3.225%-
Last 10 (10)36.540.276.7-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.473.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.743.180.7-5.433%-
vs Similar (15)39.739.979.6-0.140%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.1
51.7%
54.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.4
37.2%
36.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.114.3
79.0%
75.2%14.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.1
54.0%
54.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.8
32.5%
36.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.511.1
63.4%
75.2%11.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWWLLWWWLW
Neptunas
WLLLLLLLWW
#3
League position
#6
-1.2
Net rating
-9.5
107.3
Offensive rating
99.6
108.5
Defensive rating
109.1
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
18.3%
Turnover %
22.6%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.2%
3-point %
32.5%
63.2%
Assist %
64.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 99.6Defence108.5 · 109.1Shooting53.2% · 52.0%3-point %37.2% · 32.5%Ball care18.3% · 22.6%Off. rebounds26.1% · 32.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lietkabelis wins
4
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas88-94
20/03/21AJuventus88-78
14/03/21AAlytaus Dzukija96-90 OT
09/03/21ARytas67-81
06/03/21ANevezis-OPTIBET67-76
03/03/21ASiauliai86-84
27/02/21APieno Zvaigzdes80-77
24/02/21HAlytaus Dzukija93-85
14/02/21AZalgiris Kaunas69-76
13/02/21AJuventus84-73
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/21HNevezis-OPTIBET84-83
21/03/21ASiauliai68-99
13/03/21HRytas59-80
07/03/21ACBet66-72
03/03/21AJuventus58-98
28/02/21AZalgiris Kaunas72-85
14/02/21HJuventus69-86
13/02/21AZalgiris Kaunas72-84
09/02/21HAlytaus Dzukija81-64
06/02/21HPieno Zvaigzdes99-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL65%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %65%73%60%
Points / game84.190.779.2
Allowed / game78.779.877.9
Point differential+5.3+10.9+1.3
Avg total162.8170.5157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %8%9%7%
Neptunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeWWWLW54%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%54%15%
Points / game76.880.473.2
Allowed / game84.884.485.3
Point differential-8.1-4.0-12.2
Avg total161.6164.8158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2321291%89.869.4+20.4
2 Rytas2721678%88.079.2+8.8
3 Lietkabelis2617965%84.178.7+5.3
4 Juventus27171063%87.885.2+2.6
5 CBet27111641%85.188.3-3.1
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes27111641%79.182.2-3.1
7 Alytaus Dzukija2691735%80.983.8-2.9
8 Neptunas2691735%76.884.8-8.1
9 Siauliai2681831%82.890.3-7.5
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET2772026%75.385.3-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2517231782
Neptunas1725231277
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