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Lietkabelis vs Nevezis-OPTIBET Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 98-69
29-14 21-17 23-23 25-15
Position#3
Record10-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game74.6
Lietkabelis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis-OPTIBET
Lithuania
Position#10
Record5-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game82.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Nevezis-OPTIBET
24 Apr 2021
LIE88
NOP95
20 Jan 2021
LIE98
NOP69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis-OPTIBET winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H12/12
LKL
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H16/12
Eurocup
Monaco
#2
L
64-88
64
88
-24
H18/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H20/12
LKL
Prienai
#6
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H02/01
LKL
CBet
#5
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A06/01
LKL
CBet
#5
W
92-70
92
70
+22
A09/01
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H13/01
LKL
Prienai
#6
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
20-10
21-19
18-12
20-20
19-17
18-20
20-12
15-21
18-21
9-27
22-19
13-27
7-13
27-13
30-29
13-19
16-15
22-15
36-19
24-18
14-23
23-6
23-13
24-26
18-23
20-24
16-20
26-15
19-20
25-22
22-13
21-22
32-20
24-19
23-18
27-18
27-26
25-21
17-25
159.1Avg total
83.3Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.874.6158.4+9.271%
Season at home (7)87.375.0162.3+12.371%
Season away (7)80.374.1154.4+6.171%
Last 10 (10)83.375.8159.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)90.078.4168.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.979.5151.4-7.527%
vs Similar (5)84.879.0163.8+5.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.675.5159.1+8.171%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H18/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H25/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H31/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A07/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A22/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H01/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
58-81
58
81
-23
H28/12
LKL
CBet
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H14/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
17-29
26-16
26-31
18-20
29-16
17-18
32-23
23-20
27-24
21-29
29-21
16-14
22-25
20-22
16-19
13-20
33-27
16-20
23-20
22-25
15-24
16-16
17-22
12-27
12-23
20-18
14-13
23-17
12-33
31-16
19-21
23-24
19-18
29-23
20-31
24-23
18-17
14-22
22-20
168.8Avg total
82.9Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.982.9163.8-1.936%
Season at home (7)81.482.7164.1-1.357%
Season away (7)80.483.0163.4-2.614%
Last 10 (10)82.985.9168.8-3.030%
Last 5 (5)76.486.6163.0-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.784.6165.3-3.929%
vs Similar (7)81.181.1162.3+0.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
LietkabelisNevezis-OPTIBET
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H12/12
LKL
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H16/12
Eurocup
Monaco
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H18/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H20/12
LKL
Prienai
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H02/01
LKL
CBet
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A06/01
LKL
CBet
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A09/01
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H13/01
LKL
Prienai
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
78.4Avg total
39.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.478.1-0.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.339.780.0+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)37.039.176.1-2.120%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.278.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.288.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.740.174.8-5.418%-
vs Similar (5)40.439.479.8+1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.138.980.0+2.343%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H31/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A22/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H01/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
24-50
24
50
-26
H28/12
LKL
CBet
#5
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/01
LKL
83.9Avg total
40.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)39.940.980.8-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (7)40.341.481.7-1.157%-
Last 30 away (7)39.440.479.9-1.029%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.883.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.046.282.2-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.140.680.7-0.443%-
vs Similar (7)39.641.380.9-1.743%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.0
55.6%
54.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.4
36.7%
36.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.112.7
74.3%
75.2%12.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.3
55.9%
54.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.9
32.4%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.414.8
76.3%
75.2%14.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WWWLWWLLWW
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LLLLLLLWWW
#3
League position
#10
+7.0
Net rating
-4.2
110.6
Offensive rating
104.5
103.7
Defensive rating
108.7
55.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
20.0%
Turnover %
21.7%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.7%
3-point %
32.4%
56.8%
Assist %
55.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 104.5Defence103.7 · 108.7Shooting55.4% · 52.7%3-point %36.7% · 32.4%Ball care20.0% · 21.7%Off. rebounds33.5% · 32.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Nevezis-OPTIBET
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lietkabelis wins
1
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
DateGameScore
24/09/20Nevezis-OPTIBET v Lietkabelis76-70
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21HPrienai96-90
13/01/21HJuventus100-79
09/01/21ACBet92-70
06/01/21ACBet78-93
02/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes84-60
23/12/20APrienai87-68
20/12/20HZalgiris Kaunas77-82
18/12/20HMonaco64-88
16/12/20HMoraBanc Andorra77-69
12/12/20HRytas78-59
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/21HAlytaus Dzukija78-82
09/01/21ARytas91-96
03/01/21ACBet85-87
28/12/20HPieno Zvaigzdes58-81
01/12/20HJuventus70-87
22/11/20ASiauliai85-87
07/11/20AAlytaus Dzukija74-80
31/10/20HRytas100-94
25/10/20HSiauliai96-77
18/10/20HCBet92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game83.887.380.3
Allowed / game74.675.074.1
Point differential+9.2+12.3+6.1
Avg total158.4162.3154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%57%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game80.981.480.4
Allowed / game82.982.783.0
Point differential-1.9-1.3-2.6
Avg total163.8164.1163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1211192%87.768.2+19.4
2 Lietkabelis1410471%83.874.6+9.2
3 Rytas149564%89.181.9+7.2
4 Juventus138562%85.787.1-1.4
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes147750%79.281.0-1.8
6 Nevezis-OPTIBET145936%80.982.9-1.9
7 CBet1761135%86.190.1-3.9
8 Alytaus Dzukija124833%80.984.0-3.1
9 Neptunas1551033%77.285.9-8.7
10 Siauliai134931%80.292.3-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2921232598
Nevezis-OPTIBET1417231569
← all games of the day
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