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Lietkabelis vs Rytas Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 29 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:10
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
3.6/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game85.4
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Rytas
29 Mar 2027
LIE v RYT
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
LIE85
RYT81
03 May 2026
LIE96
RYT71
11 Oct 2025
LIE89
RYT84
06 Jun 2025
LIE87
RYT76
01 Jun 2025
LIE76
RYT73
15 Mar 2025
LIE82
RYT75
12 Oct 2024
LIE67
RYT84
28 Mar 2024
LIE77
RYT89
22 Oct 2022
LIE79
RYT70
04 Jun 2022
LIE77
RYT78
29 May 2022
LIE66
RYT88
11 Apr 2022
LIE86
RYT90
29 Jan 2022
LIE83
RYT80
27 May 2021
LIE74
RYT94
10 May 2021
LIE85
RYT79
12 Dec 2020
LIE78
RYT59
28 Nov 2019
LIE83
RYT74
28 Apr 2019
LIE83
RYT74
23 Dec 2018
LIE73
RYT95
26 Apr 2018
LIE83
RYT104
23 Dec 2017
LIE69
RYT75
23 May 2017
LIE86
RYT77
17 May 2017
LIE90
RYT73
25 Feb 2017
LIE86
RYT77
23 Dec 2016
LIE93
RYT85
30 Apr 2016
LIE66
RYT85
10 Jan 2016
LIE75
RYT65
04 Oct 2015
LIE67
RYT91
31 Mar 2015
LIE79
RYT101
23 Nov 2014
LIE69
RYT97
27 Dec 2013
LIE68
RYT98
20 Dec 2012
LIE66
RYT114
09 Mar 2012
LIE49
RYT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
BC Roma
#24
L
87-92
87
92
-5
71avg 70
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 70
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#9
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 70
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 70
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 70
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 70
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#14
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 70
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
W
99-79
99
79
+20
91avg 70
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H07/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
27-21
25-27
24-22
13-20
15-13
15-14
22-24
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
19-33
29-20
25-11
26-15
14-24
14-21
17-22
21-13
20-21
22-25
23-14
20-21
156.9Avg total
78.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.681.1160.7-1.656%
Season at home (5)83.678.4162.0+5.280%
Season away (4)74.584.5159.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)78.278.7156.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)79.681.8161.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.387.2167.6-6.933%
vs Similar (16)78.679.4158.0-0.844%
vs Weaker (5)71.671.0142.6+0.660%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Sabah Baku
#36
W
82-73
82
73
+9
74avg 87
H06/10
Champions League
Neptunas
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 87
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#30
L
65-93
65
93
-28
57avg 87
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
97avg 87
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 87
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
94-76
94
76
+18
94avg 87
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#15
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 87
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A05/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A07/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
23-18
22-19
21-16
18-22
22-18
27-21
19-16
17-21
13-14
15-31
20-27
21-27
27-15
28-24
19-22
21-24
12-17
24-16
22-14
30-25
21-17
20-10
23-24
25-22
21-7
26-28
25-24
21-25
28-17
20-28
20-24
27-22
22-22
12-22
30-21
21-20
25-22
14-23
21-20
168.4Avg total
85.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.685.4175.0+4.262%
Season at home (3)92.392.0184.3+0.333%
Season away (5)88.081.4169.4+6.680%
Last 10 (10)85.982.5168.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)90.484.6175.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.285.8166.0-5.525%
vs Similar (5)93.085.6178.6+7.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.284.2175.4+7.071%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
LietkabelisRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Roma
#24
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#14
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/11
LKL
79.0Avg total
38.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.779.5-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.141.980.1-3.825%-
Last 30 away (14)37.341.578.8-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.279.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.686.0-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.644.084.6-3.422%-
vs Similar (16)37.542.980.4-5.419%-
vs Weaker (5)33.434.067.4-0.660%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabah Baku
#36
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/10
Champions League
Neptunas
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#30
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#15
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A05/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/11
LKL
82.6Avg total
43.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.686.2+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.139.784.8+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.143.587.6+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.582.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.888.0+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.537.077.5+3.550%-
vs Similar (5)39.842.482.2-2.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.542.388.8+4.271%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.8
35.0%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
70.8%14.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.6
58.7%
55.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
35.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws27.618.8
68.1%
70.8%18.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLWLLWWWLL
Rytas
LWLWWWWLWW
#5
League position
#2
-2.7
Net rating
+2.5
95.5
Offensive rating
99.7
98.3
Defensive rating
97.2
51.9%
Effective FG%
55.3%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.44
35.0%
3-point %
33.9%
56.1%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 99.7Defence98.3 · 97.2Shooting51.9% · 55.3%3-point %35.0% · 33.9%Ball care15.3% · 15.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lietkabelis wins
4
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Lietkabelis v Rytas85-81
03/05/26Lietkabelis v Rytas96-71
22/03/26Rytas v Lietkabelis96-81
21/02/26Rytas v Lietkabelis106-89
13/12/25Rytas v Lietkabelis73-84
11/10/25Lietkabelis v Rytas89-84
08/06/25Rytas v Lietkabelis94-70
06/06/25Lietkabelis v Rytas87-76
04/06/25Rytas v Lietkabelis87-86
01/06/25Lietkabelis v Rytas76-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HRytas85-81
04/11/26HManresa66-80
31/10/26HNeptunas99-79
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86
10/10/26HJonava65-71
07/10/26ABC Roma87-92
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALietkabelis81-85
05/11/26AJonava91-87
02/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas89-94
28/10/26HTrabzonspor97-81
25/10/26AJuventus94-76
21/10/26ATaurage79-71
17/10/26ASiauliai95-88
13/10/26ANanterre65-93
10/10/26HNeptunas86-77
06/10/26HSabah Baku82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game79.683.674.5
Allowed / game81.178.484.5
Point differential-1.6+5.2-10.0
Avg total160.7162.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%33%80%
Points / game89.692.388.0
Allowed / game85.492.081.4
Point differential+4.2+0.3+6.6
Avg total175.0184.3169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas880100%93.175.0+18.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai85362%88.888.2+0.5
4 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
5 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1.6
6 Jonava83538%79.580.9-1.4
7 Juventus83538%85.287.2-2.0
8 Siauliai83538%83.287.2-4.0
9 Taurage93633%81.287.1-5.9
10 Nevezis71614%73.682.4-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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