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Lietkabelis vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-98
17-28 25-33 29-19 23-18
Position#16
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Ulm 🏆
Position#15
Record2-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game94.5
EuropeEurocupRound 3· Kalnapilio arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Ulm
27 Oct 2026
LIE68
ULM86
15 Oct 2025
LIE94
ULM98
19 Dec 2023
LIE94
ULM90
19 Oct 2022
LIE80
ULM76
11 Jan 2017
LIE86
ULM84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
104-85
104
85
+19
106avg 79
A13/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 79
H16/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 79
A18/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
84-96
84
96
-12
80avg 79
H20/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
105avg 79
H23/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
111avg 79
H28/09
LKL
Besiktas
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 79
H01/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
69avg 79
A05/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
67-86
67
86
-19
51avg 79
A08/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 79
H11/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
27-21
28-20
32-23
16-18
23-25
24-13
29-22
15-22
16-15
31-19
19-17
21-26
18-18
22-29
23-23
21-13
31-17
21-21
28-23
27-13
30-13
21-28
22-22
22-19
13-24
20-14
30-22
16-19
26-22
22-24
16-22
17-28
12-25
17-18
21-15
23-21
22-20
24-21
20-22
170.1Avg total
88.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.082.5158.5-6.550%
Season at home (1)85.079.0164.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)67.086.0153.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)88.381.8170.1+6.570%
Last 5 (5)84.282.4166.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.084.3163.3-5.340%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.889.4171.2-7.620%
vs Weaker (15)91.378.3169.6+12.993%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 80
H18/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 80
A21/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
53-67
53
67
-14
39avg 80
H24/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
66avg 80
A26/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 80
H28/09
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
96-93
96
93
+3
89avg 80
A30/09
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#10
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 80
A02/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
87-80
87
80
+7
82avg 80
H04/10
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
103-96
103
96
+7
94avg 80
H07/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
71-75
71
75
-4
66avg 80
A11/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
14-15
21-7
23-20
17-20
20-22
22-20
22-17
13-19
19-13
12-17
9-18
21-28
20-20
20-17
16-16
27-27
15-11
26-26
26-17
20-23
28-16
22-26
26-28
26-20
22-32
22-18
23-16
18-10
18-23
21-28
30-19
28-22
24-25
25-24
26-25
20-23
23-17
15-21
13-14
163.6Avg total
83.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)99.594.5194.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)103.096.0199.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)96.093.0189.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.480.2163.6+3.270%
Last 5 (5)90.086.0176.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.093.0189.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.576.9156.5+2.664%
vs Weaker (18)90.682.7173.3+7.972%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
LietkabelisUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A13/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A18/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H23/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H28/09
LKL
Besiktas
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H01/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A05/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A08/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/10
LKL
81.3Avg total
41.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.884.1+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.838.882.6+5.059%-
Last 30 away (13)40.445.686.0-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.081.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.743.581.2-5.830%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.043.485.4-1.440%-
vs Weaker (15)45.540.185.6+5.560%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A21/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H24/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H28/09
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A30/09
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#10
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A02/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/10
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H07/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/10
BBL
82.2Avg total
41.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.682.6+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.039.686.6+7.480%-
Last 30 away (15)39.039.778.7-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.882.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.287.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.039.087.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.938.278.1+1.745%-
vs Weaker (18)44.640.685.2+4.172%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.5
57.3%
54.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.9
38.0%
34.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.515.8
77.1%
75.2%15.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.6
50.8%
54.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.0
35.3%
34.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.815.2
76.8%
75.2%15.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLLWWWLWWW
Ulm
LWWWWWLLWW
#16
League position
#15
+8.9
Net rating
+4.3
116.4
Offensive rating
110.4
107.5
Defensive rating
106.1
57.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.0%
3-point %
35.3%
69.7%
Assist %
59.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 110.4Defence107.5 · 106.1Shooting57.2% · 51.8%3-point %38.0% · 35.3%Ball care17.8% · 18.7%Off. rebounds28.7% · 34.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lietkabelis wins
2
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
19/12/23Lietkabelis v Ulm94-90
17/10/23Ulm v Lietkabelis99-74
18/01/23Ulm v Lietkabelis78-69
19/10/22Lietkabelis v Ulm80-76
08/02/17Ulm v Lietkabelis81-86
11/01/17Lietkabelis v Ulm86-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HRytas89-84
08/10/25AChemnitz67-86
05/10/25ASiauliai80-87
01/10/25HBesiktas85-79
28/09/25HNevezis100-76
23/09/25HJonava101-74
20/09/25HNeptunas84-96
18/06/25AJonava81-73
16/06/25HJonava92-78
13/06/25AJonava104-85
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25ASyntainics MBC71-75
07/10/25HPanionios103-96
04/10/25HRostock87-80
02/10/25AOldenburg93-86
30/09/25ATurk Telekom96-93
28/09/25HChemnitz94-81
26/06/25ABayern77-81
24/06/25HBayern53-67
21/06/25ABayern81-79
18/06/25HBayern79-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.085.067.0
Allowed / game82.579.086.0
Point differential-6.5+6.0-19.0
Avg total158.5164.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game99.5103.096.0
Allowed / game94.596.093.0
Point differential+5.0+7.0+3.0
Avg total194.0199.0189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg220100%83.564.0+19.5
2 Bahcesehir Kol.330100%99.083.0+16.0
3 Cedevita Olimpija330100%85.070.7+14.3
4 Ulm220100%99.594.5+5.0
5 Aris32167%80.779.0+1.7
6 Besiktas21150%89.079.0+10.0
7 Chemnitz21150%86.078.0+8.0
8 Manresa21150%71.569.0+2.5
9 Hapoel Jerusalem21150%92.092.0+0.0
10 Slask Wroclaw21150%78.579.5-1.0
11 Cluj-Napoca21150%98.5100.0-1.5
12 Panionios21150%92.594.5-2.0
13 Lietkabelis21150%76.082.5-6.5
14 Trento21150%77.587.5-10.0
15 Buducnost31233%84.781.7+3.0
16 Turk Telekom31233%84.085.3-1.3
17 Neptunas2020%93.5101.0-7.5
18 Venezia2020%77.589.0-11.5
19 Hamburg3030%82.0101.3-19.3
20 London Lions2020%66.092.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1725292394
Ulm2833191898
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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