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Ulm vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-89
25-29 17-19 23-14 14-27
Position#15
Record5-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#16
Record2-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game87.0
EuropeEurocupRound 12· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Ulm v Lietkabelis
30 Dec 2026
ULM v LIE
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
ULM79
LIE89
17 Oct 2023
ULM99
LIE74
18 Jan 2023
ULM78
LIE69
08 Feb 2017
ULM81
LIE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#6
L
71-101
71
101
-30
62avg 77
A18/11
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
63avg 77
H23/11
BBL
Trento
#8
L
87-100
87
100
-13
79avg 77
H04/12
Eurocup
Jena
#16
W
92-70
92
70
+22
89avg 77
A06/12
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
53-87
53
87
-34
39avg 77
H10/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
53avg 77
H13/12
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
94-69
94
69
+25
94avg 77
A17/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
W
67-66
67
66
+1
52avg 77
A20/12
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
106-83
106
83
+23
107avg 77
A27/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
66-61
66
61
+5
58avg 77
H29/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
23-27
7-26
20-22
19-15
17-23
15-14
17-16
22-24
24-21
18-28
23-27
22-19
20-11
20-24
30-16
4-10
21-25
13-24
15-28
24-12
16-22
17-25
20-16
23-15
23-10
24-16
24-28
21-22
16-24
16-8
14-12
26-21
27-14
23-26
30-22
17-17
18-15
14-12
17-17
158.3Avg total
79.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.592.0176.5-7.545%
Season at home (6)82.294.3176.5-12.233%
Season away (5)87.489.2176.6-1.860%
Last 10 (10)79.079.3158.3-0.360%
Last 5 (5)82.070.8152.8+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.193.5171.6-15.412%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.776.8155.5+1.869%
vs Weaker (8)86.980.2167.1+6.662%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
96-85
96
85
+11
95avg 77
A16/11
LKL
Panionios
#19
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 77
A19/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
70avg 77
H23/11
LKL
London Lions
#17
L
61-74
61
74
-13
48avg 77
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
71avg 77
H06/12
LKL
Besiktas
#2
L
85-94 OT
85
94
-9
73avg 77
A09/12
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
84-73
84
73
+11
76avg 77
A13/12
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
79-85
79
85
-6
66avg 77
H16/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 77
A20/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
69-77
69
77
-8
53avg 77
A28/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
18-28
27-20
26-17
16-12
19-19
20-21
24-20
18-20
19-15
22-27
18-19
17-16
10-20
22-25
12-13
21-22
16-27
16-17
27-20
19-27
19-20
27-17
15-16
20-17
18-17
23-20
23-19
21-26
15-23
23-19
20-17
15-18
15-23
18-14
25-21
14-22
16-17
17-20
22-18
158.6Avg total
78.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.687.0164.6-9.418%
Season at home (6)80.789.0169.7-8.317%
Season away (5)74.084.6158.6-10.620%
Last 10 (10)78.380.3158.6-2.030%
Last 5 (5)78.081.0159.0-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.086.9165.9-7.931%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.786.2164.8-7.50%
vs Weaker (11)87.979.3167.2+8.673%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
UlmLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#6
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A18/11
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H23/11
BBL
Trento
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H04/12
Eurocup
Jena
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/12
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H10/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/12
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A17/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/12
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A27/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H29/12
BBL
77.7Avg total
40.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.381.6+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.438.978.3+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)43.141.584.6+1.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.377.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.476.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.245.286.5-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.237.978.2+2.346%-
vs Weaker (8)43.239.282.5+4.075%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A16/11
LKL
Panionios
#19
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A19/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H23/11
LKL
London Lions
#17
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H06/12
LKL
Besiktas
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/12
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A13/12
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H16/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A20/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A28/12
LKL
76.0Avg total
35.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.482.1-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.543.585.0-2.036%-
Last 30 away (16)36.443.279.6-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)35.140.976.0-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.076.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.546.383.8-8.823%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.245.381.5-9.217%-
vs Weaker (11)41.738.880.5+2.945%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.5
49.9%
54.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.1
32.2%
34.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.613.9
67.5%
75.2%13.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.918.6
45.5%
54.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.3
38.1%
34.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.715.2
77.2%
75.2%15.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWWLWLLL
Lietkabelis
LLLWLLLLWW
#15
League position
#16
-0.1
Net rating
-3.3
102.0
Offensive rating
107.2
102.1
Defensive rating
110.5
49.2%
Effective FG%
49.5%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
19.7%
Turnover %
17.8%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.2%
3-point %
38.1%
56.5%
Assist %
54.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 107.2Defence102.1 · 110.5Shooting49.2% · 49.5%3-point %32.2% · 38.1%Ball care19.7% · 17.8%Off. rebounds32.5% · 32.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Ulm   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ulm wins
4
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
15/10/25Lietkabelis v Ulm94-98
19/12/23Lietkabelis v Ulm94-90
17/10/23Ulm v Lietkabelis99-74
18/01/23Ulm v Lietkabelis78-69
19/10/22Lietkabelis v Ulm80-76
08/02/17Ulm v Lietkabelis81-86
11/01/17Lietkabelis v Ulm86-84
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25HWurzburg66-61
27/12/25ABamberg106-83
20/12/25AAlba Berlin67-66
17/12/25APanionios94-69
13/12/25HVechta77-75
10/12/25HTurk Telekom53-87
06/12/25AJena92-70
04/12/25HTrento87-100
23/11/25HBayern77-81 OT
18/11/25ABuducnost71-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25ANevezis69-77
20/12/25AJuventus73-76
16/12/25HChemnitz79-85
13/12/25ARytas84-73
09/12/25ABesiktas85-94 OT
06/12/25HSiauliai80-86
04/12/25HLondon Lions61-74
23/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas77-81
19/11/25APanionios79-72
16/11/25AJonava96-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW45%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%33%60%
Points / game84.582.287.4
Allowed / game92.094.389.2
Point differential-7.5-12.2-1.8
Avg total176.5176.5176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %18%17%20%
Points / game77.680.774.0
Allowed / game87.089.084.6
Point differential-9.4-8.3-10.6
Avg total164.6169.7158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem1210283%95.182.2+12.9
2 JL Bourg1210283%80.172.7+7.4
3 Cedevita Olimpija128467%88.478.3+10.1
4 Buducnost128467%88.278.6+9.6
5 Besiktas128467%93.184.8+8.3
6 Bahcesehir Kol.128467%90.782.6+8.1
7 Turk Telekom127558%85.976.2+9.8
8 Cluj-Napoca127558%96.392.8+3.6
9 Trento127558%83.285.7-2.4
10 Venezia126650%88.888.2+0.6
11 Chemnitz126650%82.782.2+0.4
12 Manresa126650%85.587.3-1.8
13 Aris126650%81.886.6-4.8
14 Ulm115645%84.592.0-7.5
15 Neptunas125742%94.297.3-3.2
16 London Lions125742%76.981.6-4.7
17 Slask Wroclaw124833%85.391.7-6.3
18 Lietkabelis112918%77.687.0-9.4
19 Panionios121118%75.188.1-13.0
20 Hamburg120120%77.096.1-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2517231479
Lietkabelis2919142789
← all games of the day
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