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Donar Groningen vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-85
17-26 24-20 17-19 17-20
Position#14
Record6-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game84.6
Donar Groningen
vs
Mechelen 🏆
Position#3
Record15-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game74.2
EuropeBNXT League· MartiniPlaza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Donar Groningen v Mechelen
15 Dec 2026
DGR v MECH
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
DGR99
MECH63
08 Feb 2025
DGR75
MECH85
22 Apr 2023
DGR73
MECH48
01 Jun 2022
DGR84
MECH86
15 Apr 2022
DGR71
MECH66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#17
W
87-84
87
84
+3
76avg 71
H11/12
ENBL
Zwolle
#15
W
83-65
83
65
+18
86avg 71
A22/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 71
A27/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
78-112
78
112
-34
70avg 71
H11/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
79-124
79
124
-45
63avg 71
A17/01
BNXT League
Tartu Ulikool
#14
L
70-89
70
89
-19
62avg 71
H21/01
ENBL
Den Bosch
#8
L
98-102
98
102
-4
85avg 71
H23/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 71
H26/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
H28/01
DBL Cup
Opava
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
80avg 71
A04/02
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
24-24
24-19
13-21
22-13
26-13
22-21
13-18
23-11
13-30
25-19
16-14
22-32
17-27
21-23
18-30
19-30
20-29
19-32
21-33
12-19
25-21
22-23
11-26
16-25
19-20
30-27
33-30
23-18
18-16
21-19
20-23
28-11
12-25
16-20
28-23
19-34
16-17
24-25
27-12
171.7Avg total
82.4Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.984.6161.4-7.733%
Season at home (9)77.484.4161.9-7.033%
Season away (9)76.384.7161.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)82.489.3171.7-6.950%
Last 5 (5)84.086.8170.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.988.4165.3-11.412%
vs Similar (6)84.081.7165.7+2.350%
vs Weaker (7)76.975.4152.3+1.471%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Leiden
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 75
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
75-48
75
48
+27
72avg 75
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 75
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
65avg 75
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
60avg 75
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
72-69
72
69
+3
44avg 75
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-70
77
70
+7
66avg 75
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 75
H01/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-8
23-24
24-18
15-19
14-9
22-15
20-14
19-10
23-19
21-31
30-19
26-24
21-18
21-17
19-14
15-16
24-19
15-17
18-30
25-20
17-17
15-28
26-11
15-22
10-18
22-20
23-5
20-26
19-27
18-17
20-11
15-14
20-13
18-28
19-21
20-8
10-18
32-20
25-20
22-11
151.6Avg total
80.0Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.474.2154.6+6.275%
Season at home (10)82.071.6153.6+10.490%
Season away (10)78.876.7155.5+2.160%
Last 10 (10)80.071.6151.6+8.480%
Last 5 (5)77.271.0148.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.886.8166.5-7.025%
vs Similar (10)75.076.2151.2-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.971.8156.7+13.193%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
Donar GroningenMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#17
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H11/12
ENBL
Zwolle
#15
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A22/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H11/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A17/01
BNXT League
Tartu Ulikool
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/01
ENBL
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H26/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/01
DBL Cup
Opava
#6
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/02
ENBL
83.5Avg total
40.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.480.7-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.982.3-1.460%-
Last 30 away (15)38.141.079.1-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.583.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.278.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.642.579.1-5.931%-
vs Similar (6)42.342.785.0-0.350%-
vs Weaker (7)41.139.180.3+2.071%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/02
BNXT League
76.7Avg total
38.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.038.079.0+3.069%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.336.478.6+5.986%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.579.4+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.376.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.277.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.241.881.0-2.550%-
vs Similar (10)39.738.678.3+1.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.436.679.0+5.880%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.8
55.2%
52.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.6
34.9%
34.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.612.3
74.1%
71.9%12.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.3
51.4%
52.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.2
32.7%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.615.4
74.8%
71.9%15.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
LWWLLLLWWW
Mechelen
WWWWLLWWWW
#14
League position
#3
-9.3
Net rating
+13.8
107.7
Offensive rating
108.9
117.0
Defensive rating
95.1
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.5%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
19.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.9%
3-point %
32.7%
57.1%
Assist %
49.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 108.9Defence117.0 · 95.1Shooting53.9% · 50.5%3-point %34.9% · 32.7%Ball care19.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.2% · 31.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Donar Groningen wins
3
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
22/04/23Donar Groningen v Mechelen73-48
19/04/23Mechelen v Donar Groningen74-72
03/06/22Mechelen v Donar Groningen85-89
01/06/22Donar Groningen v Mechelen84-86
15/04/22Donar Groningen v Mechelen71-66
30/03/22Mechelen v Donar Groningen86-61
Donar Groningenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25AOpava86-88
28/01/25HLWD Basket84-79
26/01/25HLeuven Bears82-76
23/01/25HDen Bosch98-102
21/01/25HTartu Ulikool70-89
17/01/25AKortrijk79-124
11/01/25HOostende78-112
27/12/24AQSTA Utd77-74
22/12/24AZwolle83-65
11/12/24HSpartak Pleven87-84
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HLWD Basket89-69
25/01/25ABAL Weert77-70
18/01/25HDen Bosch72-69
12/01/25AZwolle75-69
05/01/25ALeuven Bears73-78
03/01/25HLeuven Bears82-86
26/12/24HLimburg76-65
21/12/24HFeyenoord100-93
14/12/24ADen Helder75-48
07/12/24ALeiden81-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.977.476.3
Allowed / game84.684.484.7
Point differential-7.7-7.0-8.3
Avg total161.4161.9161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game80.482.078.8
Allowed / game74.271.676.7
Point differential+6.2+10.4+2.1
Avg total154.6153.6155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2018290%92.375.8+16.6
2 Kortrijk1915479%97.279.0+18.2
3 Mechelen2015575%80.474.2+6.2
4 Limburg1913668%80.374.3+6.0
5 Okapi Aalst2113862%83.378.0+5.4
6 Leuven Bears2012860%80.573.6+6.8
7 Circus Brussels2012860%76.576.2+0.3
8 Spirou Charleroi2112957%79.774.0+5.6
9 LWD Basket2011955%81.281.2+0.0
10 Den Bosch21111052%81.780.6+1.0
11 Belfius Mons20101050%80.279.2+1.0
12 Antwerp Giants20101050%78.879.8-0.9
13 Leiden21101148%76.679.9-3.2
14 Zwolle2171433%80.785.7-5.0
15 Donar Groningen1861233%76.984.6-7.7
16 Den Helder2161529%70.383.7-13.4
17 Feyenoord1951426%80.489.7-9.3
18 BAL Weert1921711%67.984.6-16.6
19 QSTA Utd2021810%77.589.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen1724171775
Mechelen2620192085
← all games of the day
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