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Limoges vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 63-69
14-17 19-14 18-23 12-15
Position#28
Record5-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#11
Record7-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game75.5
EuropeChampions League
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limoges winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimogesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimoges
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#12
L
68-84
68
84
-16
53avg 75
A20/01
LNB
Galatasaray
#16
L
73-100
73
100
-27
59avg 75
A24/01
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
78-61
78
61
+17
79avg 75
H28/01
LNB
Unicaja
#2
L
67-84
67
84
-17
57avg 75
H31/01
Champions League
JL Bourg
#5
L
75-98
75
98
-23
no box
A04/02
LNB
AEK Athens
#11
L
72-82
72
82
-10
no box
A07/02
Champions League
Nanterre
#14
L
70-87
70
87
-17
59avg 75
A11/02
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
H15/02
French Cup
Dijon
#3
L
65-83
65
83
-18
no box
A17/02
Leaders Cup
Nancy
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 75
H04/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
17-21
17-20
22-20
20-20
17-28
18-25
18-27
21-17
23-12
15-18
19-14
19-17
15-28
19-18
14-21
13-23
30-18
10-29
22-28
25-14
17-21
23-24
7-23
18-25
17-22
19-18
16-22
19-28
19-26
15-25
26-15
18-26
16-22
11-13
20-22
22-17
16-22
18-16
26-21
157.8Avg total
72.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.875.9151.7-0.242%
Season at home (5)73.868.6142.4+5.240%
Season away (7)77.181.1158.3-4.043%
Last 10 (10)72.984.9157.8-12.020%
Last 5 (5)73.684.4158.0-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.080.5160.5-0.555%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.577.8155.3-0.353%
vs Weaker (2)65.562.0127.5+3.550%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
W
69-61
69
61
+8
67avg 73
A21/01
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 73
A25/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
W
68-64
68
64
+4
63avg 73
H28/01
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
W
81-71
81
71
+10
78avg 73
A31/01
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
A04/02
Basket League
Limoges
#28
W
82-72
82
72
+10
no box
H07/02
Champions League
Lavrio
#9
L
81-95
81
95
-14
76avg 73
H11/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
A16/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#10
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
H18/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#12
W
98-79
98
79
+19
90avg 73
A04/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
18-10
23-23
11-13
20-29
19-15
15-15
12-29
16-16
15-17
21-13
16-18
18-19
17-17
26-21
20-14
19-26
16-13
16-19
13-16
14-25
21-17
24-23
23-7
20-23
16-19
20-25
25-28
21-28
23-18
23-25
17-13
21-24
18-10
14-19
12-24
29-25
20-11
24-19
25-24
153.6Avg total
76.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.875.5152.4+1.364%
Season at home (5)73.869.2143.0+4.680%
Season away (6)79.380.8160.2-1.550%
Last 10 (10)76.776.9153.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)83.882.2166.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.181.9154.0-9.838%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.375.9150.2-1.650%
vs Weaker (10)80.870.6151.4+10.290%
This opponent (Limoges) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
LimogesAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimogesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#12
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A20/01
LNB
Galatasaray
#16
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/01
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H28/01
LNB
Unicaja
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H31/01
Champions League
JL Bourg
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A04/02
LNB
AEK Athens
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A07/02
Champions League
Nanterre
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/02
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H15/02
French Cup
Dijon
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A17/02
Leaders Cup
Nancy
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H04/03
LNB
80.4Avg total
37.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.078.5-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.040.079.0-1.042%-
Last 30 away (18)36.541.678.1-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.443.080.4-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.682.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.540.076.5-3.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.341.179.3-2.840%-
vs Weaker (2)39.035.574.5+3.550%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A21/01
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A25/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/01
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A31/01
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A04/02
Basket League
Limoges
#28
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H07/02
Champions League
Lavrio
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H11/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A16/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A04/03
Basket League
75.5Avg total
37.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.375.0+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.335.471.6+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)39.038.977.9+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.775.5+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.080.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.940.076.9-3.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.238.573.7-3.317%-
vs Weaker (10)41.533.675.1+7.980%-
This opponent (Limoges) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limogestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limoges: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.9
48.9%
51.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.1
39.1%
35.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.112.1
70.8%
74.3%12.1
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.2
51.3%
51.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
35.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.111.9
69.6%
74.3%11.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limoges
WLLLLLLWLL
AEK Athens
WLWLWLWWLW
#28
League position
#11
-11.0
Net rating
+1.0
107.7
Offensive rating
104.5
118.7
Defensive rating
103.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
51.8%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
20.0%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.1%
3-point %
35.0%
59.3%
Assist %
71.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 104.5Defence118.7 · 103.5Shooting52.7% · 51.8%3-point %39.1% · 35.0%Ball care17.2% · 20.0%Off. rebounds27.9% · 30.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Limoges   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Limoges wins
1
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
07/02/23AEK Athens v Limoges82-72
Limogeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HNancy82-76
17/02/23ADijon65-83
15/02/23HJL Bourg79-94
11/02/23ANanterre70-87
07/02/23AAEK Athens72-82
04/02/23AJL Bourg75-98
31/01/23HUnicaja67-84
28/01/23HGravelines-Dunkerque78-61
24/01/23AGalatasaray73-100
20/01/23ALe Portel68-84
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23AIonikos98-79
18/02/23HPeristeri65-77
16/02/23APanionios93-88 OT
11/02/23HLavrio81-95
07/02/23HLimoges82-72
04/02/23AAris64-74
31/01/23AGalatasaray81-71
28/01/23HPeristeri68-64
25/01/23AUnicaja66-88
21/01/23AApollon Patras69-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limoges
Champions League 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL42%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%40%43%
Points / game75.873.877.1
Allowed / game75.968.681.1
Point differential-0.2+5.2-4.0
Avg total151.7142.4158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game76.873.879.3
Allowed / game75.569.280.8
Point differential+1.3+4.6-1.5
Avg total152.4143.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja109190%89.071.8+17.2
2 Bonn98189%82.973.2+9.7
3 Tenerife108280%82.968.9+14.0
4 Hapoel Jerusalem108280%78.074.0+4.0
5 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
6 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
7 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
8 Manresa96367%82.677.6+5.0
9 Strasbourg96367%84.782.7+2.0
10 Murcia128467%86.284.8+1.5
11 Benfica117464%79.177.2+1.9
12 AEK Athens117464%76.875.5+1.3
13 Galatasaray85362%85.678.4+7.2
14 Dijon127558%80.180.7-0.6
15 Ludwigsburg95456%83.178.7+4.4
16 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
17 Rytas126650%82.879.6+3.2
18 Bilbao105550%77.274.2+3.0
19 Hapoel Holon126650%85.883.4+2.3
20 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
21 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
22 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
23 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
24 Oostende94544%78.079.7-1.7
25 Peristeri94544%79.284.6-5.3
26 Limoges125742%75.875.9-0.2
27 Darussafaka125742%77.280.1-2.8
28 Bahcesehir Kol.125742%75.179.2-4.1
29 Tofas104640%78.275.5+2.7
30 Igokea83538%78.281.2-3.0
31 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
32 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
33 PAOK93633%73.377.7-4.3
34 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
35 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
36 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
37 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
38 Karsiyaka82625%81.085.4-4.4
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limoges1419181263
AEK Athens1714231569
← all games of the day
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