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Lithuania W vs Finland W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 74-76
18-20 20-12 19-25 17-19
Position#13
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game67.0
Lithuania W
vs
Finland W 🏆
Position#14
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game86.5
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 3· Svyturio Arena
Women2025
Meetings · Lithuania W v Finland W
12 Nov 2026
LITH74
FINL76
11 Nov 2021
LITH69
FINL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Finland W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lithuania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland W
#15
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H06/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A21/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A24/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H27/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
87-99
87
99
-12
H29/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#34
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A13/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#12
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H16/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
22-13
16-15
16-19
13-15
25-20
17-13
14-22
27-19
15-15
16-21
19-16
16-14
14-16
24-19
20-14
14-18
9-16
19-12
9-19
14-35
17-21
14-15
16-12
17-19
17-23
26-21
16-18
21-26
25-26
28-21
13-26
28-15
23-22
18-14
18-14
11-14
21-23
15-16
26-16
146.2Avg total
72.7Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.773.5146.2-0.850%
Last 5 (5)76.879.4156.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.779.4150.1-8.833%
vs Similar (6)62.768.0130.7-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.459.0146.4+28.486%
This opponent (Finland W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Finland WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine W
#11
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A09/02
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
46-82
46
82
-36
H12/02
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A09/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H07/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H10/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
50-80
50
80
-30
A06/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
47-96
47
96
-49
A09/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#12
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A13/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#34
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H16/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
20-31
10-21
13-7
6-20
20-17
4-30
16-15
23-24
10-11
17-8
25-22
13-15
15-16
15-15
13-21
15-18
17-18
15-25
15-23
27-21
32-7
12-32
14-12
8-20
13-19
9-24
20-17
14-21
14-18
4-33
15-24
15-31
17-19
17-23
23-23
24-16
21-20
21-20
20-21
143.1Avg total
63.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.086.5165.5-7.550%
Season at home (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)72.096.0168.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)63.879.3143.1-15.530%
Last 5 (5)68.084.2152.2-16.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)62.179.2141.3-17.216%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -10.7-10.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -10.7-10.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
Lithuania WFinland W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lithuania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland W
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A21/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A24/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H29/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#34
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A13/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H16/11
European Championship Women
75.9Avg total
36.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)36.637.674.1-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.835.872.6+1.138%-
Last 30 away (12)36.239.575.8-3.242%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.275.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.883.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.242.277.3-7.025%-
vs Similar (6)32.337.369.7-5.017%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.629.972.4+12.786%-
This opponent (Finland W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Finland WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine W
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A09/02
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H12/02
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A09/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H10/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A06/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A09/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#12
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A13/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#34
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H16/11
European Championship Women
71.7Avg total
34.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)31.939.070.9-7.010%-
Last 30 at home (10)33.636.670.2-3.020%-
Last 30 away (10)30.341.371.6-11.00%-
Last 10 (10)34.037.771.7-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.475.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)31.339.170.4-7.85%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)45.036.081.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lithuania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania W: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 25% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.1
47.1%
-40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.75.0
31.8%
-15.0
🏀 Free throws25.118.5
73.7%
-18.5
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Finland Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland W: 61.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 12% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.515.0
43.5%
-30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws13.57.5
55.6%
-7.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lithuania W
WWLLLLWWLW
Finland W
WLLLWLLWLL
#13
League position
#14
+2.1
Net rating
-19.0
97.7
Offensive rating
78.6
95.6
Defensive rating
97.6
47.3%
Effective FG%
43.9%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
22.9%
Turnover %
24.9%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.8%
3-point %
29.6%
72.1%
Assist %
79.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Lithuania W   ■ Finland W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lithuania W wins
0
Finland W wins
DateGameScore
27/11/22Finland W v Lithuania W56-65
11/11/21Lithuania W v Finland W69-59
Lithuania Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HBelgium W73-69
13/11/25ASweden W87-65
29/06/25HTurkey W87-99
27/06/25HCzech Republic W76-81
24/06/25AFrance W61-83
21/06/25AItaly W51-65
19/06/25HSerbia W74-63
18/06/25ASlovenia W77-71
09/02/25HBelgium W69-70
06/02/25HPoland W72-69
Finland Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HSweden W86-77
13/11/25ABelgium W72-96
09/02/25ASlovenia W47-96
06/02/25AHungary W50-80
10/11/24HBulgaria W85-72
07/11/24HSlovenia W62-84
12/11/23HHungary W56-67
09/11/23ABulgaria W75-65
12/02/23HFrance W46-82
09/02/23AUkraine W59-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.073.087.0
Allowed / game67.069.065.0
Point differential+13.0+4.0+22.0
Avg total147.0142.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Finland W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.086.072.0
Allowed / game86.577.096.0
Point differential-7.5+9.0-24.0
Avg total165.5163.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W110100%104.057.0+47.0
2 Poland W770100%78.152.1+26.0
3 Serbia W550100%81.661.6+20.0
4 Turkey W110100%79.062.0+17.0
5 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
6 Hungary W110100%70.064.0+6.0
7 Italy W110100%67.062.0+5.0
8 Spain W110100%73.071.0+2.0
9 Bulgaria W76186%92.160.0+32.1
10 Latvia W76186%79.963.4+16.4
11 Israel W76186%84.670.6+14.0
12 Great Britain W75271%77.469.3+8.1
13 Austria W75271%77.470.1+7.3
14 Montenegro W74357%76.662.9+13.7
15 Slovakia W74357%70.159.9+10.3
16 Greece W74357%88.378.4+9.9
17 Ukraine W74357%70.463.7+6.7
18 Croatia W74357%80.073.6+6.4
19 Slovenia W74357%76.671.0+5.6
20 Netherlands W74357%78.776.4+2.3
21 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
22 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
23 Denmark W73443%85.078.4+6.6
24 Luxembourg W73443%67.366.1+1.1
25 Portugal W52340%69.668.4+1.2
26 Switzerland W62433%69.773.2-3.5
27 Ireland W62433%73.580.3-6.8
28 Romania W62433%58.775.0-16.3
29 Iceland W41325%64.284.0-19.8
30 Bosnia & Herzegovina W61517%71.285.8-14.7
31 North Macedonia W61517%62.596.5-34.0
32 Czech Republic W1010%71.073.0-2.0
33 Germany W1010%64.070.0-6.0
34 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
35 Estonia W6060%62.086.8-24.8
36 Norway W6060%51.075.8-24.8
37 Cyprus W6060%54.280.2-26.0
38 Azerbaijan W6060%45.7105.0-59.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania W1820191774
Finland W2012251976
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