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Lithuania W vs Turkey W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 08:45
Final 87-99
21-26 25-26 28-21 13-26
Position#17
Record6-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game69.5
Lithuania W
vs
Turkey W 🏆
Position#5
Record8-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game65.9
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenEuroBasket Women - 7th place· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Women2024
Meetings · Lithuania W v Turkey W
29 Jun 2025
LITH87
TURK99
04 Feb 2021
LITH55
TURK67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Turkey W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lithuania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Poland W
#15
W
75-73 OT
75
73
+2
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
73avg 71
A07/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
108-47
108
47
+61
123avg 71
A10/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
72-69
72
69
+3
67avg 71
H06/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
69-70
69
70
-1
66avg 71
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
77-71
77
71
+6
75avg 71
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
74-63
74
63
+11
72avg 71
H19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
51-65
51
65
-14
44avg 71
A21/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
61-83
61
83
-22
59avg 71
A24/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
76-81
76
81
-5
74avg 71
H27/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
17-14
20-10
14-14
15-19
20-22
14-25
21-15
23-16
30-13
24-13
31-5
18-22
22-13
16-15
16-19
13-15
25-20
17-13
14-22
27-19
15-15
16-21
19-16
16-14
14-16
24-19
20-14
14-18
9-16
19-12
9-19
14-35
17-21
14-15
16-12
17-19
17-23
26-21
16-18
143.6Avg total
73.3Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.669.5145.2+6.155%
Season at home (5)78.069.0147.0+9.060%
Season away (6)73.770.0143.7+3.750%
Last 10 (10)73.370.3143.6+3.050%
Last 5 (5)67.872.6140.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)69.277.6146.8-8.536%
vs Similar (5)60.667.8128.4-7.220%
vs Weaker (6)87.558.0145.5+29.583%
This opponent (Turkey W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Turkey WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Iceland W
#29
W
72-65
72
65
+7
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
101-54
101
54
+47
110avg 80
H07/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
W
65-50
65
50
+15
62avg 80
A10/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
83-76
83
76
+7
81avg 80
H06/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
99-61
99
61
+38
98avg 80
A09/02
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
61avg 80
H18/06
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
91-67
91
67
+24
102avg 80
A19/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
83-72
83
72
+11
90avg 80
A21/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
69avg 80
A24/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
73-93
73
93
-20
66avg 80
H27/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
19-9
18-24
15-15
25-16
33-15
20-10
23-13
19-9
13-9
19-20
14-12
22-15
16-18
26-23
19-20
23-12
21-17
30-14
25-18
23-22
21-14
10-12
15-23
27-13
24-21
17-19
23-14
17-21
26-14
19-24
21-13
17-20
18-11
15-19
18-18
15-23
13-27
24-23
21-20
149.5Avg total
81.0Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.565.9146.4+14.573%
Season at home (5)80.266.8147.0+13.460%
Season away (6)80.765.2145.8+15.583%
Last 10 (10)81.068.5149.5+12.570%
Last 5 (5)78.075.8153.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)60.966.1127.0-5.212%
vs Similar (6)71.762.3134.0+9.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.565.2148.8+18.275%
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
Lithuania WTurkey W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lithuania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland W
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A12/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A10/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A21/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A24/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/06
European Championship Women
73.6Avg total
35.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)35.737.072.6-1.341%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.534.270.6+2.345%-
Last 30 away (11)34.939.774.6-4.836%-
Last 10 (10)35.837.873.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.039.271.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.241.375.5-7.127%-
vs Similar (5)32.437.469.8-5.020%-
vs Weaker (6)41.228.769.8+12.583%-
This opponent (Turkey W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Turkey WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iceland W
#29
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H07/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
W
32-18
32
18
+14
A10/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A09/02
European Championship Women
France W
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H18/06
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A19/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A21/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A24/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H27/06
European Championship Women
73.5Avg total
41.2Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.131.368.3+5.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.732.870.5+4.953%-
Last 30 away (15)36.529.766.2+6.760%-
Last 10 (10)41.232.373.5+8.990%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.277.4+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.632.663.2-2.025%-
vs Similar (6)35.230.065.2+5.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.031.172.1+9.969%-
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lithuania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania W: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.1
46.6%
45.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.34.9
30.1%
30.0%14.7
🏀 Free throws26.319.4
73.8%
72.4%19.4
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Turkey Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey W: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.0
50.2%
45.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.2
35.8%
30.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.116.4
74.2%
72.4%16.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lithuania W
LLLWWLWWLW
Turkey W
LLWWLWWWWW
#17
League position
#5
+3.4
Net rating
+16.7
94.5
Offensive rating
108.7
91.1
Defensive rating
92.0
46.2%
Effective FG%
51.4%
42.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
23.3%
Turnover %
19.6%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.1%
3-point %
35.8%
77.5%
Assist %
74.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 108.7Defence91.1 · 92.0Shooting46.2% · 51.4%3-point %30.1% · 35.8%Ball care23.3% · 19.6%Off. rebounds31.1% · 36.3%Free throws0.46 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Lithuania W   ■ Turkey W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lithuania W wins
2
Turkey W wins
DateGameScore
04/02/21Lithuania W v Turkey W55-67
17/11/19Turkey W v Lithuania W74-51
Lithuania Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/25HCzech Republic W76-81
24/06/25AFrance W61-83
21/06/25AItaly W51-65
19/06/25HSerbia W74-63
18/06/25ASlovenia W77-71
09/02/25HBelgium W69-70
06/02/25HPoland W72-69
10/11/24AAzerbaijan W108-47
07/11/24ABelgium W70-81
12/11/23APoland W75-73 OT
Turkey Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/25HGermany W73-93
24/06/25AItaly W74-76 OT
21/06/25AGreece W83-72
19/06/25ASwitzerland W91-67
18/06/25HFrance W69-71
09/02/25ARomania W99-61
06/02/25HIceland W83-76
10/11/24ASlovakia W65-50
07/11/24HRomania W101-54
12/11/23AIceland W72-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game75.678.073.7
Allowed / game69.569.070.0
Point differential+6.1+9.0+3.7
Avg total145.2147.0143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Turkey W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL73%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game80.580.280.7
Allowed / game65.966.865.2
Point differential+14.5+13.4+15.5
Avg total146.4147.0145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain W11110100%76.561.7+14.7
2 France W1110191%90.350.1+40.2
3 Belgium W1110191%83.256.6+26.5
4 Sweden W97278%75.466.6+8.9
5 Turkey W118373%80.565.9+14.5
6 Italy W118373%69.061.4+7.6
7 Slovenia W96367%77.668.3+9.2
8 Croatia W64267%76.067.8+8.2
9 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
10 Slovakia W64267%71.565.7+5.8
11 Portugal W96367%60.058.8+1.2
12 Latvia W64267%75.076.5-1.5
13 Germany W117464%72.670.5+2.2
14 Serbia W95456%74.859.4+15.3
15 Lithuania W116555%75.669.5+6.1
16 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
17 Hungary W63350%73.567.7+5.8
18 Czech Republic W115645%69.169.9-0.8
19 Great Britain W94544%72.363.8+8.6
20 Montenegro W94544%65.466.8-1.3
21 Switzerland W94544%62.269.1-6.9
22 Greece W93633%68.872.7-3.9
23 Bulgaria W62433%76.381.5-5.2
24 Ukraine W62433%64.270.0-5.8
25 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
26 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
27 Finland W62433%62.577.3-14.8
28 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
29 Iceland W61517%68.877.7-8.8
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W6060%53.074.0-21.0
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W6060%56.086.8-30.8
35 Ireland W6060%55.597.2-41.7
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania W2125281387
Turkey W2626212699
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